MatchWiz

Trevor Story

Trevor Story — hitting .234 in our graded log with 5 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
42.4
RBIs · @ NYY · 2026-09-30
Our calls on him · hits
—
record builds as games settle
Games graded
64
this season, box-score final
Trevor Story
SSBats RThrows RBoston Red Sox
RBIs42.4/100proj 0.4#23Hits40.2/100proj 0.9#23Singles36.5/100proj 0.6#23H+R+RBI31/100proj 1.5#26Stolen Bases27.3/100proj 0.1#13Fantasy Points19.8/100proj 5.5#32Home Runs18.6/100proj 0.1#28Doubles12/100proj 0.1#30Total Bases11.7/100proj 1.3#34Triples8.5/100proj 0#24Walks8.5/100proj 0.3#34Runs8.2/100proj 0.4#34

Last scored matchup

Trevor isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 14 days ago, away at New York Yankees on Wednesday, September 30, 2026, where he landed on rbis (42.4/100), hits (40.2/100), singles (36.5/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Trevor is 6-for-33 (.182) over his last 10 games, in line with his .234 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Trevor strikes out a lot — 85 strikeouts in 248 at-bats, roughly 34%. That cuts both ways in the WizLine. It drags his floor on the hits board, since he needs contact to get there. But it barely dents the power boards, where one swing settles it — he's got 5 homers. Against a high-strikeout arm his score will fall further than a contact hitter's would.

He's a right-handed bat

Trevor hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Trevor has recorded at least one hit in 44 of 64 games he's batted in — 69% — with 11 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Trevor is hitting .203 at home (26-for-128) and .267 on the road (32-for-120) across the season. That's a real-looking split, and it's the kind of thing that's usually part park and part noise. The model doesn't apply a blanket home-road adjustment — it prices the actual ballpark he's standing in, which is the part that carries signal.

His best game in the log

Trevor's biggest night was Thursday, September 17, 2026 at TEX — 2-for-4 with 1 homer, 3 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Trevor a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — not once so far. He's appeared in 64 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Trevor was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: rbis graded 42.4/100 while runs came in at 8.2/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Trevor gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.

What we'd flag

Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample. For Trevor specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Wednesday, September 30@ NYY30000
Tuesday, September 29@ NYY31000
Sunday, September 27vs CHC20000
Friday, September 25vs CHC30000
Thursday, September 24vs CLE30000
Wednesday, September 23vs CLE40000
Sunday, September 20@ TB41111
Saturday, September 19@ TB41000
Friday, September 18@ TB31010
Thursday, September 17@ TEX42113
Wednesday, September 16@ TEX31000
Tuesday, September 15@ TEX31000

Trevor Story — FAQ

Is Trevor Story playing today?

Trevor Story isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Wednesday, September 30, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How has Trevor Story been hitting lately?

Trevor is 6-for-33 (.182) over his last 10 games, against .234 on the season across 248 at-bats in our log, with 5 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Trevor Story appear on?

Trevor was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — rbis, hits, singles, h+r+rbi, stolen bases. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Trevor Story's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).