MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Tuesday, April 14, 2026

TOR @ MIL Home Runs matchups · Tuesday, April 14, 2026

TOR
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
97
Final
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
MIL
American Family FieldElevation 597 ftCenter Field 400 ft 76°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

TOR TOR Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 BF
Season.00034 BF
Last 2 Years.035174 BF
wOBA allowed.209
Hard-Hit %50%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 BF
Season.06133 BF
Last 2 Years.024166 BF
wOBA allowed.320
Hard-Hit %28%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.00045 PA
Last 2 Years.016731 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.06133 PA
Last 2 Years.024166 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–3
ERA1.46
WHIP0.77
IP99.0
H / K / BB49 / 146 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028215 PA
Season.027263 PA
Last 2 Years.0262760 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.1

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+900
CZRCaesars+850
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Ernie Clement's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.02442 PA
Last 2 Years.053626 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.00034 PA
Last 2 Years.035174 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–3
ERA1.46
WHIP0.77
IP99.0
H / K / BB49 / 146 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.013159 PA
Season.030199 PA
Last 2 Years.0241852 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.165

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+460
CZRCaesars+425
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Daulton Varsho's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00041 PA
Season.00051 PA
Last 2 Years.0351075 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.06133 PA
Last 2 Years.024166 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–3
ERA1.46
WHIP0.77
IP99.0
H / K / BB49 / 146 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028215 PA
Season.027263 PA
Last 2 Years.0262760 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.345
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.157

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+500
BRBetRivers+430
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA
Season.04643 PA
Last 2 Years.035864 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.00034 PA
Last 2 Years.035174 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–3
ERA1.46
WHIP0.77
IP99.0
H / K / BB49 / 146 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.013159 PA
Season.030199 PA
Last 2 Years.0241852 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.171

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+575
CZRCaesars+575
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jesús Sánchez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.0005 PA
Last 2 Years.019161 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.06133 PA
Last 2 Years.024166 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–3
ERA1.46
WHIP0.77
IP99.0
H / K / BB49 / 146 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028215 PA
Season.027263 PA
Last 2 Years.0262760 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Myles Straw's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA
Season.08312 PA
Last 2 Years.044412 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.06133 PA
Last 2 Years.024166 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–3
ERA1.46
WHIP0.77
IP99.0
H / K / BB49 / 146 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028215 PA
Season.027263 PA
Last 2 Years.0262760 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.152

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Davis Schneider's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA
Season.04346 PA
Last 2 Years.04346 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.06133 PA
Last 2 Years.024166 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–3
ERA1.46
WHIP0.77
IP99.0
H / K / BB49 / 146 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028215 PA
Season.027263 PA
Last 2 Years.0262760 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.13

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+650
CZRCaesars+575
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Kazuma Okamoto's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06531 PA
Season.05139 PA
Last 2 Years.022742 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.00034 PA
Last 2 Years.035174 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–3
ERA1.46
WHIP0.77
IP99.0
H / K / BB49 / 146 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.013159 PA
Season.030199 PA
Last 2 Years.0241852 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.106

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Andrés Giménez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.00011 PA
Last 2 Years.014143 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.00034 PA
Last 2 Years.035174 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–3
ERA1.46
WHIP0.77
IP99.0
H / K / BB49 / 146 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.013159 PA
Season.030199 PA
Last 2 Years.0241852 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.093

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Tyler Heineman's full player page →

MIL MIL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 BF
Season.00034 BF
Last 2 Years.024778 BF
wOBA allowed.201
Hard-Hit %33%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 BF
Season.03330 BF
Last 2 Years.026769 BF
wOBA allowed.129
Hard-Hit %40%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.00035 PA
Last 2 Years.015839 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.00034 PA
Last 2 Years.024778 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L4–7
ERA4.19
WHIP1.19
IP101.0
H / K / BB96 / 100 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040175 PA
Season.034206 PA
Last 2 Years.0322746 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.101

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Sal Frelick's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 8-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.05040 PA
Last 2 Years.033978 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.03330 PA
Last 2 Years.026769 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L4–7
ERA4.19
WHIP1.19
IP101.0
H / K / BB96 / 100 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030168 PA
Season.031223 PA
Last 2 Years.0293907 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.173

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+500
CZRCaesars+500
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

William Contreras's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10030 PA
Season.07540 PA
Last 2 Years.025958 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.00034 PA
Last 2 Years.024778 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L4–7
ERA4.19
WHIP1.19
IP101.0
H / K / BB96 / 100 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040175 PA
Season.034206 PA
Last 2 Years.0322746 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.151

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Brice Turang's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15413 PA
Season.13315 PA
Last 2 Years.041222 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.03330 PA
Last 2 Years.026769 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L4–7
ERA4.19
WHIP1.19
IP101.0
H / K / BB96 / 100 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030168 PA
Season.031223 PA
Last 2 Years.0293907 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.185
Plate Appearances27

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.154

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+390
BOLBetOnline+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Gary Sánchez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.4× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10329 PA
Season.11136 PA
Last 2 Years.042521 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.00034 PA
Last 2 Years.024778 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L4–7
ERA4.19
WHIP1.19
IP101.0
H / K / BB96 / 100 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040175 PA
Season.034206 PA
Last 2 Years.0322746 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.17

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+500
BOLBetOnline+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jake Bauers's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.00027 PA
Last 2 Years.000108 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.03330 PA
Last 2 Years.026769 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L4–7
ERA4.19
WHIP1.19
IP101.0
H / K / BB96 / 100 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030168 PA
Season.031223 PA
Last 2 Years.0293907 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.104

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Brandon Lockridge's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.03033 PA
Last 2 Years.033274 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.00034 PA
Last 2 Years.024778 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L4–7
ERA4.19
WHIP1.19
IP101.0
H / K / BB96 / 100 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040175 PA
Season.034206 PA
Last 2 Years.0322746 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.134

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+600
CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

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Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.00026 PA
Last 2 Years.014720 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.03330 PA
Last 2 Years.026769 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L4–7
ERA4.19
WHIP1.19
IP101.0
H / K / BB96 / 100 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030168 PA
Season.031223 PA
Last 2 Years.0293907 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.293
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.086

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Joey Ortiz's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 5 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.00025 PA
Last 2 Years.016684 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.00034 PA
Last 2 Years.024778 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L4–7
ERA4.19
WHIP1.19
IP101.0
H / K / BB96 / 100 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040175 PA
Season.034206 PA
Last 2 Years.0322746 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.182
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.088

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

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