MatchWiz

Daulton Varsho

Daulton Varsho — hitting .225 in our graded log with 12 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
39.4
Total Bases · vs ATL · 2026-09-20
Our calls on him · hits
70%
1+ hit in 7/10 top-20 calls
Games graded
136
this season, box-score final
Daulton Varsho
CFBats LThrows RHouston Astros
Total Bases39.4/100proj 1.5Singles29.5/100proj 0.6Doubles27.8/100proj 0.2Hits24.8/100proj 0.9Fantasy Points22.4/100proj 5.9Walks19.6/100proj 0.3Runs17.7/100proj 0.4H+R+RBI17.4/100proj 1.5Stolen Bases16.5/100proj 0.1RBIs16/100proj 0.4Triples13.8/100proj 0Home Runs13.2/100proj 0.1

Not on the current slate

Daulton hasn't been scored in 18 days — his last matchup was against Atlanta Braves on Sunday, September 20, 2026. A gap that long usually means an injury, a minor-league option, or a roster move rather than a rest day. Everything below is his most recent real production, not a projection.

He's in a cold stretch

Daulton is 4-for-36 (.111) across his last 10 games, down from .225 on the season. Slumps this size are mostly noise at this sample — 36 at-bats is a fortnight, not a trend — and the model treats it that way, discounting the cold run rather than writing him off. If the matchup underneath is good, he'll still grade well here. That's a feature, and sometimes it's wrong.

What kind of hitter he is

Daulton has 12 home runs and 38 extra-base hits in 476 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a left-handed bat

Daulton hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Daulton has recorded at least one hit in 77 of 128 games he's batted in — 60% — with 23 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Daulton is hitting .209 at home (51-for-244) and .241 on the road (56-for-232) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

Daulton's biggest night was Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at PHI — 3-for-5 with 1 homer, 1 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Daulton have graded

In the 10 games where we ranked Daulton a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 7 times — 70%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Daulton was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: total bases graded 39.4/100 while home runs came in at 13.2/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Daulton gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.

What we'd flag

Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Saturday, September 19vs ATL30000
Friday, September 18vs ATL40000
Thursday, September 17vs KC41111
Wednesday, September 16vs KC41000
Tuesday, September 15vs KC30000
Sunday, September 13@ TB20000
Saturday, September 12@ TB40000
Friday, September 11@ TB41000
Thursday, September 10@ PHI40000
Wednesday, September 9@ PHI41010
Tuesday, September 8@ PHI53121
Sunday, September 6vs AZ30000

Daulton Varsho — FAQ

Is Daulton Varsho playing today?

Daulton Varsho isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Sunday, September 20, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Daulton Varsho graded?

In the 10 games where our model ranked Daulton a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 7 times — 70%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Daulton Varsho been hitting lately?

Daulton is 4-for-36 (.111) over his last 10 games, against .225 on the season across 476 at-bats in our log, with 12 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Daulton Varsho appear on?

Daulton was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — total bases, singles, doubles, hits, fantasy points. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Daulton Varsho's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).