MatchWiz

Daulton Varsho

Daulton Varsho — today's matchup, what the model projects, and how our calls on him have graded. Top board: rbis at 57.7/100.

Today's top board
57.7
RBIs · vs AZ
Our calls on him · hits
70%
1+ hit in 7/10 top-20 calls
Games graded
123
this season, box-score final
Daulton Varsho
CFBats LThrows RHouston Astros
RBIs57.7/100proj 0.5#71Total Bases48.7/100proj 1.6#105H+R+RBI48.5/100proj 1.7#120Doubles48.4/100proj 0.2#101Runs46.8/100proj 0.5#116Fantasy Points43/100proj 6.5#120Triples41.4/100proj 0#21Hits37.6/100proj 0.9#150Home Runs36/100proj 0.2#71Walks34.7/100proj 0.3#149Singles29.9/100proj 0.6#188Stolen Bases12.1/100proj 0.1#116

Today's matchup

Daulton draws Arizona Diamondbacks at home today. He shows up on 12 boards — rbis (57.7/100, #71), total bases (48.7/100, #105), h+r+rbi (48.5/100, #120), doubles (48.4/100, #101). We've got him at 0.5 on the rbis board. Open any board row for the full breakdown of what's driving it.

Recent form

Daulton is 7-for-38 (.184) over his last 10 games, in line with his .231 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Daulton has 10 home runs and 35 extra-base hits in 428 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a left-handed bat

Daulton hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Daulton has recorded at least one hit in 71 of 115 games he's batted in — 62% — with 22 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Daulton is hitting .219 at home (48-for-219) and .244 on the road (51-for-209) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

Daulton's biggest night was Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at NYY — 2-for-4 with 1 homer, 1 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Daulton have graded

In the 10 games where we ranked Daulton a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 7 times — 70%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Daulton was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: rbis graded 57.7/100 while stolen bases came in at 12.1/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Daulton gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.

What we'd flag

Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Friday, September 4vs AZ30000
Thursday, September 3vs CWS41012
Wednesday, September 2vs CWS31000
Monday, August 31vs CWS40000
Sunday, August 30@ NYM40001
Saturday, August 29@ NYM30000
Friday, August 28@ NYM41002
Thursday, August 27@ NYY40010
Wednesday, August 26@ NYY42111
Tuesday, August 25@ NYY52002
Sunday, August 23vs ATH51000
Saturday, August 22vs ATH42111

Daulton Varsho — FAQ

Who is Daulton Varsho facing today?

Daulton Varsho is hosting Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday, September 5, 2026. His strongest matchup grades 57.7/100 on our rbis board, ranked #71.

What is Daulton Varsho's projection today?

We project Daulton for 0.5 on the rbis board. That's the model's number for this specific matchup — the opposing arm, the park, the weather, and his expected playing time all feed it. It's graded against the real box score tonight.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Daulton Varsho graded?

In the 10 games where our model ranked Daulton a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 7 times — 70%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Daulton Varsho been hitting lately?

Daulton is 7-for-38 (.184) over his last 10 games, against .231 on the season across 428 at-bats in our log, with 10 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Daulton Varsho appear on?

Daulton was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — rbis, total bases, h+r+rbi, doubles, runs. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Daulton Varsho's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).