MatchWiz

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — our top-20 calls on him have hit 58% this season. His matchups, projections, and the full graded record.

Last scored board
72.3
Walks · vs CIN · 2026-09-27
Our calls on him · hits
58%
1+ hit in 18/31 top-20 calls
Games graded
141
this season, box-score final
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1BBats RThrows RToronto Blue Jays
Walks72.3/100proj 0.5H+R+RBI64.3/100proj 1.9Hits63.1/100proj 1.1Runs62.5/100proj 0.6RBIs60.4/100proj 0.5Fantasy Points60.3/100proj 7.2Singles59.1/100proj 0.7Total Bases44.3/100proj 1.7Doubles36/100proj 0.2Home Runs34.6/100proj 0.2Stolen Bases15.1/100proj 0.1Triples5.5/100proj 0

Last scored matchup

Vladimir isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 10 days ago, at home against Cincinnati Reds on Sunday, September 27, 2026, where he landed on walks (72.3/100), h+r+rbi (64.3/100), hits (63.1/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Vladimir is 10-for-37 (.270) over his last 10 games, in line with his .260 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Vladimir has 9 home runs and 35 extra-base hits in 534 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a right-handed bat

Vladimir hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Vladimir has recorded at least one hit in 92 of 141 games he's batted in — 65% — with 35 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Vladimir is hitting .249 at home (66-for-265) and .271 on the road (73-for-269) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

Vladimir's biggest night was Sunday, September 13, 2026 against BAL — 4-for-5 with 1 homer, 1 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Vladimir have graded

In the 31 games where we ranked Vladimir a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 18 times — 58%. Middle of the road, which is what most players look like. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Vladimir was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: walks graded 72.3/100 while triples came in at 5.5/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Vladimir and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Saturday, September 26vs CIN40000
Friday, September 25vs CIN51011
Wednesday, September 23@ BAL41000
Sunday, September 20@ TEX21000
Saturday, September 19@ TEX31000
Friday, September 18@ TEX41000
Wednesday, September 16vs DET31000
Tuesday, September 15vs DET30000
Monday, September 14vs DET40000
Sunday, September 13vs BAL54111
Saturday, September 12vs BAL41021
Friday, September 11vs BAL41000

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — FAQ

Is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. playing today?

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Sunday, September 27, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. graded?

In the 31 games where our model ranked Vladimir a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 18 times — 58%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Vladimir Guerrero Jr. been hitting lately?

Vladimir is 10-for-37 (.270) over his last 10 games, against .260 on the season across 534 at-bats in our log, with 9 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Vladimir Guerrero Jr. appear on?

Vladimir was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — walks, h+r+rbi, hits, runs, rbis. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).