Today's matchup
Ernie is at Seattle Mariners on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — hits (36.9/100, #116), rbis (27/100, #177), h+r+rbi (26.5/100, #161), runs (23.7/100, #181). We project Ernie for 1 on the hits board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.
Recent form
Over his last 5 games, Ernie is 6-for-18 (.333). The full log's below.
How our calls on Ernie have done
When we've ranked Ernie a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 10 of 13 games (77%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.
How the model reads him
Ernie's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.