PHI @ KC Home Runs matchups · Saturday, July 4, 2026

PHI

Philadelphia Phillies

8:10 PM EDT

Kansas City Royals

◆ Kauffman StadiumElevation 856 ftCenter Field 410 ft

PHI Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from PHI's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ NYM0

Jun 29vs PIT1

Jun 30vs PIT1

Jul 1vs PIT1

Jul 2vs PIT0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–5

ERA3.31

WHIP1.14

IP108.2

H / K / BB94 / 84 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head2-for-5

Home Runs1 in 5 PA

Career Average.400

Plate Appearances5

HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.162

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Trea Turner's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ NYM1

Jun 29vs PIT0

Jun 30vs PIT0

Jul 1vs PIT0

Jul 2vs PIT0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–5

ERA3.31

WHIP1.14

IP108.2

H / K / BB94 / 84 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head6-for-19

Home Runs3 in 23 PA

Career Average.261

Plate Appearances23

HR · K · BB3 · 7 · 4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.15

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Kyle Schwarber's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ NYM0

Jun 29vs PIT1

Jun 30vs PIT0

Jul 1vs PIT0

Jul 2vs PIT0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–5

ERA3.31

WHIP1.14

IP108.2

H / K / BB94 / 84 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head7-for-22

Home Runs0 in 23 PA

Career Average.304

Plate Appearances23

HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.142

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Bryce Harper's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ NYM0

Jun 29vs PIT2

Jun 30vs PIT0

Jul 1vs PIT1

Jul 2vs PIT0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–5

ERA3.31

WHIP1.14

IP108.2

H / K / BB94 / 84 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head1-for-7

Home Runs0 in 7 PA

Career Average.143

Plate Appearances7

HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.139

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Brandon Marsh's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ NYM0

Jun 29vs PIT0

Jun 30vs PIT0

Jul 1vs PIT1

Jul 2vs PIT0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–5

ERA3.31

WHIP1.14

IP108.2

H / K / BB94 / 84 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head1-for-8

Home Runs0 in 8 PA

Career Average.125

Plate Appearances8

HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.136

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Alec Bohm's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ NYM0

Jun 29vs PIT0

Jun 30vs PIT0

Jul 1vs PIT0

Jul 2vs PIT0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–5

ERA3.31

WHIP1.14

IP108.2

H / K / BB94 / 84 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head2-for-5

Home Runs0 in 5 PA

Career Average.400

Plate Appearances5

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.143

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Bryson Stott's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ NYM0

Jun 29vs PIT0

Jun 30vs PIT0

Jul 1vs PIT0

Jul 2vs PIT0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–5

ERA3.31

WHIP1.14

IP108.2

H / K / BB94 / 84 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.128

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Gabriel Rincones Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2.3× / ~1.6×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ NYM0

Jun 29vs PIT0

Jun 30vs PIT0

Jul 1vs PIT0

Jul 2vs PIT0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–5

ERA3.31

WHIP1.14

IP108.2

H / K / BB94 / 84 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.125

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Justin Crawford's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14@ MIL0

Jun 17vs MIA0

Jun 22@ WSH0

Jun 27@ NYM0

Jul 2vs PIT0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–5

ERA3.31

WHIP1.14

IP108.2

H / K / BB94 / 84 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.122

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Rafael Marchán's full player page →

KC Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from KC's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ CWS0

Jun 28@ CWS0

Jun 30vs TB1

Jul 1vs TB0

Jul 2vs TB1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA3.88

WHIP1.30

IP97.1

H / K / BB94 / 116 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.149

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Carter Jensen's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ CWS0

Jun 28@ CWS0

Jun 30vs TB2

Jul 1vs TB0

Jul 2vs TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA3.88

WHIP1.30

IP97.1

H / K / BB94 / 116 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.146

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Bobby Witt Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ CWS0

Jun 27@ CWS0

Jun 30vs TB0

Jul 1vs TB0

Jul 2vs TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA3.88

WHIP1.30

IP97.1

H / K / BB94 / 116 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.142

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jac Caglianone's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ CWS0

Jun 28@ CWS0

Jun 30vs TB0

Jul 1vs TB0

Jul 2vs TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA3.88

WHIP1.30

IP97.1

H / K / BB94 / 116 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head8-for-19

Home Runs4 in 21 PA

Career Average.381

Plate Appearances21

HR · K · BB4 · 5 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.139

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Lane Thomas's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 25@ TB0

Jun 27@ CWS0

Jun 28@ CWS0

Jul 1vs TB0

Jul 2vs TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA3.88

WHIP1.30

IP97.1

H / K / BB94 / 116 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head5-for-19

Home Runs0 in 20 PA

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances20

HR · K · BB0 · 5 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.136

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Starling Marte's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 7 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ CWS0

Jun 27@ CWS0

Jun 30vs TB0

Jul 1vs TB0

Jul 2vs TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA3.88

WHIP1.30

IP97.1

H / K / BB94 / 116 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.135

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nick Loftin's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2.3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ CWS0

Jun 28@ CWS0

Jun 30vs TB0

Jul 1vs TB0

Jul 2vs TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA3.88

WHIP1.30

IP97.1

H / K / BB94 / 116 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.128

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Michael Massey's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ CWS0

Jun 27@ CWS0

Jun 28@ CWS0

Jun 30vs TB0

Jul 2vs TB1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA3.88

WHIP1.30

IP97.1

H / K / BB94 / 116 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.136

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Isaac Collins's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 23@ TB0

Jun 24@ TB0

Jun 28@ CWS0

Jul 1vs TB0

Jul 2vs TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA3.88

WHIP1.30

IP97.1

H / K / BB94 / 116 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.125

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Kameron Misner's full player page →