MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Sunday, July 5, 2026

PHI @ KC Home Runs matchups · Sunday, July 5, 2026

PHI
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
vs
3:00 PM EDT
KC
Kansas City Royals
KC
Kauffman StadiumElevation 856 ftCenter Field 410 ft

PHI PHI Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from PHI's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 BF
Season.024126 BF
Last 2 Years.020151 BF
wOBA allowed.338
Hard-Hit %30%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 BF
Season.02580 BF
Last 2 Years.018111 BF
wOBA allowed.406
Hard-Hit %38%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07540 PA
Season.036253 PA
Last 2 Years.031928 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs PIT1
Jun 30vs PIT1
Jul 1vs PIT1
Jul 2vs PIT0
Jul 4@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA
Season.02580 PA
Last 2 Years.018111 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–3
ERA5.40
WHIP1.67
IP46.2
H / K / BB48 / 43 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041146 PA
Season.0311027 PA
Last 2 Years.0273374 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.360
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.159

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Trea Turner's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~2.4× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.073

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09432 PA
Season.086233 PA
Last 2 Years.076908 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs PIT0
Jun 30vs PIT0
Jul 1vs PIT0
Jul 2vs PIT0
Jul 4@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.024126 PA
Last 2 Years.020151 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–3
ERA5.40
WHIP1.67
IP46.2
H / K / BB48 / 43 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029171 PA
Season.0291033 PA
Last 2 Years.0283028 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.378
Hard-Hit %44%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Home Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.448

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Kyle Schwarber's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.060

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.14335 PA
Season.075226 PA
Last 2 Years.054778 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs PIT1
Jun 30vs PIT0
Jul 1vs PIT0
Jul 2vs PIT0
Jul 4@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.024126 PA
Last 2 Years.020151 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–3
ERA5.40
WHIP1.67
IP46.2
H / K / BB48 / 43 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029171 PA
Season.0291033 PA
Last 2 Years.0283028 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.396
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Home Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.371

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Bryce Harper's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10837 PA
Season.050238 PA
Last 2 Years.037776 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs PIT2
Jun 30vs PIT0
Jul 1vs PIT1
Jul 2vs PIT0
Jul 4@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.024126 PA
Last 2 Years.020151 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–3
ERA5.40
WHIP1.67
IP46.2
H / K / BB48 / 43 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029171 PA
Season.0291033 PA
Last 2 Years.0283028 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.366
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.219

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Brandon Marsh's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02934 PA
Season.026228 PA
Last 2 Years.019779 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs PIT0
Jun 30vs PIT0
Jul 1vs PIT1
Jul 2vs PIT0
Jul 4@ KC1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA
Season.02580 PA
Last 2 Years.018111 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–3
ERA5.40
WHIP1.67
IP46.2
H / K / BB48 / 43 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041146 PA
Season.0311027 PA
Last 2 Years.0273374 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.296
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.360
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.089

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Alec Bohm's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02638 PA
Season.024249 PA
Last 2 Years.027898 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs PIT0
Jun 30vs PIT0
Jul 1vs PIT0
Jul 2vs PIT0
Jul 4@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.024126 PA
Last 2 Years.020151 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–3
ERA5.40
WHIP1.67
IP46.2
H / K / BB48 / 43 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029171 PA
Season.0291033 PA
Last 2 Years.0283028 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.112

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Bryson Stott's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA
Season.029172 PA
Last 2 Years.029702 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ NYM0
Jun 29vs PIT0
Jun 30vs PIT0
Jul 1vs PIT0
Jul 4@ KC1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA
Season.02580 PA
Last 2 Years.018111 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–3
ERA5.40
WHIP1.67
IP46.2
H / K / BB48 / 43 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041146 PA
Season.0311027 PA
Last 2 Years.0273374 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.360
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.103

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

J.T. Realmuto's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs PIT0
Jun 30vs PIT0
Jul 1vs PIT0
Jul 2vs PIT0
Jul 4@ KC1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.024126 PA
Last 2 Years.020151 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–3
ERA5.40
WHIP1.67
IP46.2
H / K / BB48 / 43 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029171 PA
Season.0291033 PA
Last 2 Years.0283028 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.121

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Gabriel Rincones Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.014

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00037 PA
Season.009225 PA
Last 2 Years.009225 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs PIT0
Jun 30vs PIT0
Jul 1vs PIT0
Jul 2vs PIT0
Jul 4@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.024126 PA
Last 2 Years.020151 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L3–3
ERA5.40
WHIP1.67
IP46.2
H / K / BB48 / 43 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029171 PA
Season.0291033 PA
Last 2 Years.0283028 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.052

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Justin Crawford's full player page →

KC KC Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from KC's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05934 BF
Season.051218 BF
Last 2 Years.051665 BF
wOBA allowed.386
Hard-Hit %38%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20010 BF
Season.050159 BF
Last 2 Years.037509 BF
wOBA allowed.347
Hard-Hit %28%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.046

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA
Season.048228 PA
Last 2 Years.050283 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ CWS0
Jun 30vs TB1
Jul 1vs TB0
Jul 2vs TB1
Jul 4vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.048

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA
Season.051218 PA
Last 2 Years.051665 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–5
ERA6.04
WHIP1.49
IP85.0
H / K / BB98 / 87 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018167 PA
Season.019791 PA
Last 2 Years.0252495 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.366
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.257

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Carter Jensen's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.044

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.14314 PA
Season.037273 PA
Last 2 Years.0461058 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ CWS0
Jun 30vs TB2
Jul 1vs TB0
Jul 2vs TB0
Jul 4vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20010 PA
Season.050159 PA
Last 2 Years.037509 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–5
ERA6.04
WHIP1.49
IP85.0
H / K / BB98 / 87 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029207 PA
Season.0241225 PA
Last 2 Years.0214189 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.368
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-6

Home Runs1 in 6 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB1 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.247

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Bobby Witt Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.033122 PA
Last 2 Years.028427 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ CWS0
Jun 30vs TB0
Jul 1vs TB0
Jul 2vs TB0
Jul 4vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20010 PA
Season.050159 PA
Last 2 Years.037509 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–5
ERA6.04
WHIP1.49
IP85.0
H / K / BB98 / 87 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029207 PA
Season.0241225 PA
Last 2 Years.0214189 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.286
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head4-for-16

Home Runs1 in 16 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances16
HR · K · BB1 · 5 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.111

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Lane Thomas's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09432 PA
Season.041218 PA
Last 2 Years.034383 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ CWS0
Jun 30vs TB0
Jul 1vs TB0
Jul 2vs TB0
Jul 4vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.048

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA
Season.051218 PA
Last 2 Years.051665 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–5
ERA6.04
WHIP1.49
IP85.0
H / K / BB98 / 87 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018167 PA
Season.019791 PA
Last 2 Years.0252495 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %44%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.366
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs1 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.219

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jac Caglianone's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.4× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.02290 PA
Last 2 Years.018228 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ CWS0
Jun 30vs TB0
Jul 1vs TB0
Jul 2vs TB0
Jul 4vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20010 PA
Season.050159 PA
Last 2 Years.037509 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–5
ERA6.04
WHIP1.49
IP85.0
H / K / BB98 / 87 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029207 PA
Season.0241225 PA
Last 2 Years.0214189 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.294
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.093

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nick Loftin's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.03727 PA
Last 2 Years.022276 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ CWS0
Jun 28@ CWS0
Jul 1vs TB0
Jul 2vs TB0
Jul 4vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20010 PA
Season.050159 PA
Last 2 Years.037509 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–5
ERA6.04
WHIP1.49
IP85.0
H / K / BB98 / 87 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029207 PA
Season.0241225 PA
Last 2 Years.0214189 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head11-for-31

Home Runs1 in 31 PA
Career Average.355
Plate Appearances31
HR · K · BB1 · 9 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.108

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Starling Marte's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.016

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.010192 PA
Last 2 Years.014495 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ CWS0
Jun 28@ CWS0
Jun 30vs TB0
Jul 2vs TB1
Jul 4vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.048

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA
Season.051218 PA
Last 2 Years.051665 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–5
ERA6.04
WHIP1.49
IP85.0
H / K / BB98 / 87 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018167 PA
Season.019791 PA
Last 2 Years.0252495 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.366
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs1 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB1 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.084

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Isaac Collins's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.035169 PA
Last 2 Years.027590 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ CWS0
Jun 30vs TB0
Jul 1vs TB0
Jul 2vs TB0
Jul 4vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.048

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA
Season.051218 PA
Last 2 Years.051665 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–5
ERA6.04
WHIP1.49
IP85.0
H / K / BB98 / 87 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018167 PA
Season.019791 PA
Last 2 Years.0252495 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.366
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Home Runs1 in 6 PA
Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.116

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Michael Massey's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.00016 PA
Last 2 Years.00038 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 24@ TB0
Jun 25@ TB0
Jun 28@ CWS0
Jul 1vs TB0
Jul 4vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20010 PA
Season.050159 PA
Last 2 Years.037509 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–5
ERA6.04
WHIP1.49
IP85.0
H / K / BB98 / 87 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029207 PA
Season.0241225 PA
Last 2 Years.0214189 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.093

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Tyler Tolbert's full player page →