MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Tuesday, July 7, 2026

PHI @ CIN Home Runs matchups · Tuesday, July 7, 2026

PHI
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
vs
7:10 PM EDT
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
CIN
Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft

PHI PHI Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from PHI's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 BF
Season.027112 BF
Last 2 Years.016321 BF
wOBA allowed.310
Hard-Hit %36%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08834 BF
Season.040303 BF
Last 2 Years.039965 BF
wOBA allowed.333
Hard-Hit %32%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.008128 PA
Last 2 Years.029417 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1vs PIT1
Jul 2vs PIT0
Jul 4@ KC0
Jul 5@ KC0
Jul 6@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08834 PA
Season.040303 PA
Last 2 Years.039965 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.88
WHIP1.44
IP95.0
H / K / BB92 / 73 / 45

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-12

Home Runs0 in 15 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances15
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.131

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Trea Turner's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.064

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA
Season.069144 PA
Last 2 Years.073518 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1vs PIT0
Jul 2vs PIT0
Jul 4@ KC0
Jul 5@ KC0
Jul 6@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.027112 PA
Last 2 Years.016321 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.88
WHIP1.44
IP95.0
H / K / BB92 / 73 / 45

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.382
Hard-Hit %43%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-10

Home Runs0 in 11 PA
Career Average.182
Plate Appearances11
HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.399

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Kyle Schwarber's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA
Season.021145 PA
Last 2 Years.032468 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1vs PIT0
Jul 2vs PIT0
Jul 4@ KC0
Jul 5@ KC0
Jul 6@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.027112 PA
Last 2 Years.016321 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.88
WHIP1.44
IP95.0
H / K / BB92 / 73 / 45

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-10

Home Runs0 in 11 PA
Career Average.273
Plate Appearances11
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.151

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Bryce Harper's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.037107 PA
Last 2 Years.033307 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1vs PIT1
Jul 2vs PIT0
Jul 4@ KC1
Jul 5@ KC0
Jul 6@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08834 PA
Season.040303 PA
Last 2 Years.039965 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.88
WHIP1.44
IP95.0
H / K / BB92 / 73 / 45

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head4-for-7

Home Runs1 in 9 PA
Career Average.444
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.163

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Alec Bohm's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA
Season.03392 PA
Last 2 Years.028217 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1vs PIT1
Jul 2vs PIT0
Jul 4@ KC0
Jul 5@ KC0
Jul 6@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.027112 PA
Last 2 Years.016321 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.88
WHIP1.44
IP95.0
H / K / BB92 / 73 / 45

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-4

Home Runs0 in 4 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Brandon Marsh's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.03879 PA
Last 2 Years.041242 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 23@ WSH1
Jun 24@ WSH0
Jun 26@ NYM0
Jun 27@ NYM0
Jul 6@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08834 PA
Season.040303 PA
Last 2 Years.039965 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.88
WHIP1.44
IP95.0
H / K / BB92 / 73 / 45

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-7

Home Runs0 in 9 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.173

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Edmundo Sosa's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 8-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.017

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.01566 PA
Last 2 Years.009234 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1vs PIT0
Jul 2vs PIT0
Jul 4@ KC0
Jul 5@ KC0
Jul 6@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.027112 PA
Last 2 Years.016321 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.88
WHIP1.44
IP95.0
H / K / BB92 / 73 / 45

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-4

Home Runs0 in 4 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.059

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Bryson Stott's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.00059 PA
Last 2 Years.015269 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs PIT0
Jun 30vs PIT0
Jul 1vs PIT0
Jul 4@ KC1
Jul 6@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08834 PA
Season.040303 PA
Last 2 Years.039965 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.88
WHIP1.44
IP95.0
H / K / BB92 / 73 / 45

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.275
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-11

Home Runs0 in 11 PA
Career Average.273
Plate Appearances11
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.074

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

J.T. Realmuto's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA
Season.06380 PA
Last 2 Years.041194 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 25@ WSH1
Jun 26@ NYM0
Jun 28@ NYM0
Jun 30vs PIT0
Jul 6@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08834 PA
Season.040303 PA
Last 2 Years.039965 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.88
WHIP1.44
IP95.0
H / K / BB92 / 73 / 45

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Home Runs1 in 5 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.173

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Derek Hill's full player page →

CIN CIN Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from CIN's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).
?
Probable pitcher not announcedMatchups for this lineup are shown neutrally for now and will sharpen automatically once the opposing starter is posted (usually a day or two before first pitch).
Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL0
Jul 3vs BAL0
Jul 4vs BAL0
Jul 5vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031229 PA
Season.0251498 PA
Last 2 Years.0235020 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.147

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Elly De La Cruz's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL1
Jul 3vs BAL0
Jul 4vs BAL0
Jul 5vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031229 PA
Season.0251498 PA
Last 2 Years.0235020 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.144

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Sal Stewart's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL0
Jul 3vs BAL0
Jul 4vs BAL0
Jul 5vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022228 PA
Season.0251099 PA
Last 2 Years.0303394 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.141

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

JJ Bleday's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL0
Jul 3vs BAL0
Jul 4vs BAL0
Jul 5vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031229 PA
Season.0251498 PA
Last 2 Years.0235020 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.138

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Eugenio Suárez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL0
Jul 3vs BAL0
Jul 4vs BAL0
Jul 5vs BAL1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031229 PA
Season.0251498 PA
Last 2 Years.0235020 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.135

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Spencer Steer's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ PIT0
Jun 29@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 3vs BAL0
Jul 5vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031229 PA
Season.0251498 PA
Last 2 Years.0235020 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.129

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Tyler Stephenson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL1
Jul 2@ MIL0
Jul 3vs BAL0
Jul 5vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031229 PA
Season.0251498 PA
Last 2 Years.0235020 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.126

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Noelvi Marte's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL1
Jul 3vs BAL0
Jul 4vs BAL0
Jul 5vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022228 PA
Season.0251099 PA
Last 2 Years.0303394 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.124

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

TJ Friedl's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL0
Jul 3vs BAL0
Jul 5vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031229 PA
Season.0251498 PA
Last 2 Years.0235020 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Edwin Arroyo's full player page →