MatchWiz

TJ Friedl

TJ Friedl — hitting .164 in our graded log with 4 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
43.2
Walks · vs CHC · 2026-09-18
Our calls on him · hits
50%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
80
this season, box-score final
TJ Friedl
CFBats LThrows LCincinnati Reds
Walks43.2/100proj 0.4#87Singles24.6/100proj 0.5#221Stolen Bases16.2/100proj 0.1#106Total Bases11.3/100proj 1.3#264Fantasy Points11/100proj 5.3#260Runs10.1/100proj 0.4#267RBIs10/100proj 0.3#264Hits9.7/100proj 0.8#264Home Runs8.2/100proj 0.1#252Triples7.2/100proj 0#215H+R+RBI3.1/100proj 1.3#267Doubles0.6/100proj 0.1#269

Not on the current slate

TJ hasn't been scored in 20 days — his last matchup was against Chicago Cubs on Friday, September 18, 2026. A gap that long usually means an injury, a minor-league option, or a roster move rather than a rest day. Everything below is his most recent real production, not a projection.

He's a left-handed bat

TJ hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

TJ has recorded at least one hit in 25 of 70 games he's batted in — 36% — with 8 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

TJ is hitting .150 at home (17-for-113) and .178 on the road (18-for-101) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

TJ's biggest night was Thursday, September 17, 2026 against LAD — 2-for-3. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked TJ a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 2 times so far. He's appeared in 80 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

TJ was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: walks graded 43.2/100 while doubles came in at 0.6/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

TJ gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.

What we'd flag

Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample. For TJ specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Friday, September 18vs CHC00000
Thursday, September 17vs LAD32000
Wednesday, September 16@ —11001
Sunday, September 13@ —00000
Saturday, September 12@ —00000
Friday, September 11@ MIL10000
Wednesday, September 9@ LAD30000
Sunday, September 6@ —00000
Saturday, September 5@ —00000
Wednesday, September 2vs SD00000
Tuesday, September 1vs SD10000
Monday, August 31vs SD30000

TJ Friedl — FAQ

Is TJ Friedl playing today?

TJ Friedl isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Friday, September 18, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How has TJ Friedl been hitting lately?

TJ is 3-for-8 (.375) over his last 10 games, against .164 on the season across 214 at-bats in our log, with 4 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does TJ Friedl appear on?

TJ was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — walks, singles, stolen bases, total bases, fantasy points. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are TJ Friedl's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).