Today's matchup
Elly is at Seattle Mariners on the Tuesday, July 21, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — total bases (98.3/100, #3), hits (80.2/100, #8), runs (76.8/100, #10), fantasy points (67/100, #7). We project Elly for 2 on the total bases board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.
Recent form
Over his last 5 games, Elly is 7-for-21 (.333) with 1 homer. The full log's below.
How our calls on Elly have done
When we've ranked Elly a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 12 of 18 games (67%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.
How the model reads him
Elly's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.