Best MLB Stolen Bases Matchups — Wednesday, July 1, 2026
Top stolen bases spot: Bobby Witt Jr.
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Shane McClanahan. The righty is running at .146 SB/PA against lefties this year — and .154 over the last two weeks, an active bat that turns into a stolen base in about 3% of his trips. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .200 in 5 career PA against Shane McClanahan, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Jake McCarthy (COL) (86) vs RHP Max Meyer: an active bat at .024.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (80) vs RHP Walker Buehler: a high-volume bat at .033.
- Juan Soto (NYM) (73) vs RHP Braydon Fisher: an active bat at .020.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) (72) vs RHP Colin Rea: an active bat at .028, hot bat.
- Corbin Carroll (AZ) (71) vs RHP Trevor McDonald: an active bat at .020, due to bounce back.
- Geraldo Perdomo (AZ) (66) vs RHP Trevor McDonald: an occasional bat at .018.
- A.J. Ewing (NYM) (63) vs RHP Braydon Fisher: an active bat at .021.
Platoon edges to target
- Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) — righty bat vs LHP, .146 against lefties this year.
- Jake McCarthy (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .050 against righties this year.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .068 against righties this year.
- Juan Soto (NYM) — lefty bat vs RHP, .032 against righties this year.
- Corbin Carroll (AZ) — lefty bat vs RHP, .017 against righties this year.
Lineup watch
252 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these stolen bases matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's stolen bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.