Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Friday, May 22, 2026)?

Jacob deGrom (TEX) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.6 K against LAA. A 28% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 25% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Friday, May 22, 2026: Jacob deGrom (~6.6 K), Cristopher Sánchez (~6.1 K), Michael Soroka (~6.0 K), Davis Martin (~5.9 K), Gavin Williams (~6.3 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Friday, May 22, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Friday, May 22, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Results show how each call played out.

★ Plays of the Day

No identified Plays of the Day on this slate — our model didn't find a strikeout disagreement with the book big enough to clear our edge threshold. The model still ran every matchup; it just didn't flag a play worth posting today. This season strikeout PODs are hitting 64% — a +15% return.

Final · 4–2

HOUaway

CHChomeTop matchup59 Final · 1–0

CLEaway

PHIhomeTop matchup87 Final · 4–2

TBaway

NYYhomeTop matchup63 Final · 2–6

PITaway

TORhomeTop matchup62 Final · 8–6

MINaway

BOShomeTop matchup66 Final · 1–2

NYMaway

MIAhomeTop matchup53 Final · 4–7

DETaway

BALhomeTop matchup59 Final · 4–5

WSHaway

ATLhomeTop matchup53 Final · 2–0

SEAaway

KChomeTop matchup72 Final · 1–5

LADaway

MILhomeTop matchup65 Final · 6–9

TEXaway

LAAhomeTop matchup100 Final · 3–2

COLaway

AZhomeTop matchup84 Final · 3–7

ATHaway

SDhomeTop matchup45 Final · 9–4

CWSaway

SFhomeTop matchup82

Sort

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.8% K / BF

vs LHB27.9%

vs RHB25.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness24.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)29.1%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)24.6%3.0

3. Nolan Schanuel (L)18.4%3.0

4. Jorge Soler (R)28.5%3.0

5. Jo Adell (R)24.8%2.6

6. Jose Siri (R)26.8%2.0

7. Oswald Peraza (R)22.5%2.0

8. Sebastián Rivero (R)24.2%2.0

9. Donovan Walton (L)22.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 7.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-120-110

BOLBetOnline-110-118

BRBetRivers-117-114

BOVBovada-120-110

DKDraftKings-121-106

FANFanatics-120-110

FDFanDuel-118-112

We project 6.6 K vs the 7.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.7% K / BF

vs LHB28.8%

vs RHB25.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.4 BF

Expected batters faced25.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Angel Martínez (R)18.1%3.0

2. José Ramírez (R)14.5%3.0

3. Kyle Manzardo (L)24.1%3.0

4. Chase DeLauter (L)17.4%3.0

5. Travis Bazzana (L)21.1%3.0

6. Brayan Rocchio (R)18.8%3.0

7. Steven Kwan (L)17.1%3.0

8. Austin Hedges (R)20.8%2.4

9. Petey Halpin (L)21.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BOLBetOnline-119-109

BRBetRivers-122-109

BOVBovada-115-115

DKDraftKings-130+102

FANFanatics-125-105

FDFanDuel-110-110

We project 6.1 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.6% K / BF

vs LHB23.0%

vs RHB27.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jake McCarthy (L)19.6%3.0

2. Hunter Goodman (R)26.1%3.0

3. Kyle Karros (R)21.7%3.0

4. Tyler Freeman (R)15.1%3.0

5. Troy Johnston (L)22.6%3.0

6. Willi Castro (L)26.3%2.4

7. Ezequiel Tovar (R)22.8%2.0

8. Sterlin Thompson (L)22.0%2.0

9. Chad Stevens (R)24.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline-154+118

BRBetRivers-157+118

BOVBovada-165+125

DKDraftKings-114-111

FDFanDuel-152+124

We project 6.0 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.8% K / BF

vs LHB24.2%

vs RHB25.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Willy Adames (R)25.1%3.0

2. Luis Arraez (L)8.1%3.0

3. Casey Schmitt (R)21.3%3.0

4. Rafael Devers (L)26.9%3.0

5. Matt Chapman (R)24.2%3.0

6. Bryce Eldridge (L)23.7%2.6

7. Jesus Rodriguez (R)22.0%2.0

8. Victor Bericoto (R)22.0%2.0

9. Harrison Bader (R)25.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers-186+138

BOVBovada-165+125

DKDraftKings-165+129

FDFanDuel-172+128

We project 5.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.9% K / BF

vs LHB27.1%

vs RHB23.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.3 BF

Expected batters faced24.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Trea Turner (R)22.9%3.0

2. Kyle Schwarber (L)29.4%3.0

3. Bryce Harper (L)20.6%3.0

4. Alec Bohm (R)16.7%3.0

5. Brandon Marsh (L)20.7%3.0

6. Adolis García (R)28.9%3.0

7. Bryson Stott (L)20.4%2.3

8. J.T. Realmuto (R)20.2%2.0

9. Justin Crawford (L)19.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-140

BOLBetOnline-119-109

BRBetRivers-107-124

BOVBovada-125-105

DKDraftKings-103-124

FDFanDuel-108-122

We project 6.3 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.8% K / BF

vs LHB28.4%

vs RHB21.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Maikel Garcia (R)15.8%3.0

2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)19.1%3.0

3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)17.2%3.0

4. Salvador Perez (R)21.7%3.0

5. Carter Jensen (L)27.4%3.0

6. Jac Caglianone (L)24.4%2.2

7. Isaac Collins (L)24.0%2.0

8. Michael Massey (L)17.9%2.0

9. Kyle Isbel (L)22.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-125

BOLBetOnline+100-130

BRBetRivers-118-113

BOVBovada-110-120

DKDraftKings-104-122

FDFanDuel-106-125

We project 5.7 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.2% K / BF

vs LHB21.8%

vs RHB26.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jarren Duran (L)21.8%3.0

2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)27.5%3.0

3. Wilyer Abreu (L)18.6%3.0

4. Willson Contreras (R)21.1%3.0

5. Masataka Yoshida (L)18.2%2.0

6. Nick Sogard (R)21.6%2.0

7. Marcelo Mayer (L)22.1%2.0

8. Carlos Narváez (R)21.0%2.0

9. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)21.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-115-115

BOLBetOnline-103-125

BRBetRivers-105-129

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings-104-123

FDFanDuel-104-128

We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.6% K / BF

vs LHB25.5%

vs RHB26.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.2 BF

Expected batters faced21.2

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Shohei Ohtani (L)23.3%3.0

2. Mookie Betts (R)16.1%3.0

3. Freddie Freeman (L)17.2%3.0

4. Kyle Tucker (L)19.2%2.3

5. Andy Pages (R)20.3%2.0

6. Santiago Espinal (R)18.5%2.0

7. Teoscar Hernández (R)26.3%2.0

8. Dalton Rushing (L)26.7%2.0

9. Miguel Rojas (R)16.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-120-110

BOLBetOnline-110-118

BRBetRivers+102-137

BOVBovada-115-115

DKDraftKings-110-116

FANFanatics-115-115

FDFanDuel-104-118

We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.6% K / BF

vs LHB19.2%

vs RHB24.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Byron Buxton (R)22.6%3.0

2. Brooks Lee (R)21.3%3.0

3. Austin Martin (R)16.4%3.0

4. James Outman (L)27.1%3.0

5. Trevor Larnach (L)24.1%3.0

6. Ryan Kreidler (R)19.9%2.0

7. Kody Clemens (L)20.1%2.0

8. Luke Keaschall (R)19.0%2.0

9. Alex Jackson (R)27.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-115-115

BOLBetOnline-119-109

BRBetRivers-103-130

BOVBovada-130+100

DKDraftKings-131+103

FANFanatics-115-115

FDFanDuel-115-105

We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.0% K / BF

vs LHB27.0%

vs RHB21.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Chandler Simpson (L)14.5%3.0

2. Junior Caminero (R)19.8%3.0

3. Jonathan Aranda (L)22.3%3.0

4. Carson Williams (R)27.0%3.0

5. Richie Palacios (L)21.9%3.0

6. Ryan Vilade (R)20.5%2.0

7. Cedric Mullins (L)21.8%2.0

8. Nick Fortes (R)19.2%2.0

9. Taylor Walls (L)24.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-140+105

BOLBetOnline-175+134

BRBetRivers-157+118

BOVBovada-160+120

DKDraftKings-147+115

FDFanDuel-154+126

We project 5.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.5% K / BF

vs LHB22.2%

vs RHB22.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Oneil Cruz (L)28.2%3.0

2. Brandon Lowe (L)21.3%3.0

3. Nick Gonzales (R)16.2%3.0

4. Bryan Reynolds (L)21.9%3.0

5. Konnor Griffin (R)22.7%3.0

6. Jared Triolo (R)22.1%2.4

7. Endy Rodríguez (L)21.6%2.0

8. Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.0%2.0

9. Jake Mangum (L)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-160+120

BOLBetOnline-156+121

BRBetRivers-165+123

BOVBovada-150+115

FDFanDuel-158+128

We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.6% K / BF

vs LHB23.1%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.0 BF

Expected batters faced24.0

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Nico Hoerner (R)11.1%3.0

2. Michael Busch (L)20.7%3.0

3. Alex Bregman (R)18.7%3.0

4. Ian Happ (L)29.9%3.0

5. Seiya Suzuki (R)27.4%3.0

6. Moisés Ballesteros (L)21.5%3.0

7. Carson Kelly (R)20.5%2.0

8. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)23.8%2.0

9. Dansby Swanson (R)20.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+120-160

BOLBetOnline+120-156

BRBetRivers+132-177

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+115-147

FDFanDuel+122-162

We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.3% K / BF

vs LHB20.7%

vs RHB22.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Sam Antonacci (L)15.8%3.0

2. Munetaka Murakami (L)25.9%3.0

3. Miguel Vargas (R)18.7%3.0

4. Colson Montgomery (L)27.7%3.0

5. Chase Meidroth (R)22.7%3.0

6. Andrew Benintendi (L)22.7%2.6

7. Edgar Quero (L)25.3%2.0

8. Tristan Peters (L)21.2%2.0

9. Derek Hill (R)25.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-160+120

BOLBetOnline-164+125

BRBetRivers-152+114

BOVBovada-150+115

FANFanatics-160+120

FDFanDuel-144+118

We project 5.2 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.1% K / BF

vs LHB20.2%

vs RHB25.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.7 BF

Expected batters faced21.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Taylor Ward (R)25.2%3.0

2. Gunnar Henderson (L)24.2%3.0

3. Adley Rutschman (L)19.0%3.0

4. Pete Alonso (R)24.0%2.7

5. Samuel Basallo (L)24.1%2.0

6. Leody Taveras (L)20.7%2.0

7. Tyler O'Neill (R)20.2%2.0

8. Blaze Alexander (R)26.7%2.0

9. Jackson Holliday (L)25.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-120-110

BOLBetOnline-112-115

BRBetRivers-114-117

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings-118-108

FANFanatics-110-120

FDFanDuel-106-125

We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.9% K / BF

vs LHB26.1%

vs RHB22.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Carson Benge (L)19.5%3.0

2. Bo Bichette (R)19.1%3.0

3. Juan Soto (L)19.0%3.0

4. Mark Vientos (R)23.3%3.0

5. Tyrone Taylor (R)19.8%2.9

6. Marcus Semien (R)19.6%2.0

7. Vidal Bruján (L)20.6%2.0

8. Nick Morabito (R)22.0%2.0

9. MJ Melendez (L)27.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-130-105

BOLBetOnline-133+103

BRBetRivers-136+102

BOVBovada-130+100

DKDraftKings-134+105

FANFanatics-125-105

FDFanDuel-128+104

We project 5.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.6% K / BF

vs LHB22.8%

vs RHB20.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.1 BF

Expected batters faced24.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)25.9%3.0

2. Andrés Chaparro (R)21.1%3.0

3. Curtis Mead (R)18.6%3.0

4. CJ Abrams (L)21.0%3.0

5. Dylan Crews (R)21.0%3.0

6. Daylen Lile (L)18.6%3.0

7. Paxton Schultz (L)22.0%2.1

8. Drew Millas (L)20.0%2.0

9. Nasim Nuñez (L)21.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BOLBetOnline-130+100

BRBetRivers-120-112

BOVBovada-125-105

DKDraftKings-123-104

FANFanatics-125-105

FDFanDuel-122+100

We project 5.0 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.0% K / BF

vs LHB23.0%

vs RHB21.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Andrew McCutchen (R)24.8%3.0

2. Josh Jung (R)18.9%3.0

3. Brandon Nimmo (L)21.2%3.0

4. Ezequiel Duran (R)23.4%3.0

5. Jake Burger (R)22.6%2.8

6. Alejandro Osuna (L)18.0%2.0

7. Justin Foscue (R)25.0%2.0

8. Sam Haggerty (L)22.4%2.0

9. Danny Jansen (R)21.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-140

BOLBetOnline+100-130

BRBetRivers+110-148

BOVBovada-115-115

DKDraftKings-108-117

FDFanDuel+100-122

We project 5.0 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.1% K / BF

vs LHB18.7%

vs RHB22.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.6 BF

Expected batters faced21.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Colby Thomas (R)24.0%3.0

2. Nick Kurtz (L)24.2%3.0

3. Shea Langeliers (R)20.8%3.0

4. Brent Rooker (R)24.5%2.6

5. Tyler Soderstrom (L)19.0%2.0

6. Zack Gelof (R)24.3%2.0

7. Henry Bolte (R)21.6%2.0

8. Jeff McNeil (L)17.5%2.0

9. Lawrence Butler (L)25.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-125

BOLBetOnline+106-137

BRBetRivers+112-148

BOVBovada+110-145

DKDraftKings+113-144

FANFanatics+105-140

FDFanDuel+112-138

We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.1% K / BF

vs LHB20.9%

vs RHB20.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. J.P. Crawford (L)16.7%3.0

2. Julio Rodríguez (R)21.3%3.0

3. Randy Arozarena (R)24.1%3.0

4. Dominic Canzone (L)23.6%3.0

5. Patrick Wisdom (R)24.9%3.0

6. Cole Young (L)22.3%2.2

7. Mitch Garver (R)22.6%2.0

8. Luke Raley (L)24.3%2.0

9. Colt Emerson (L)22.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BOLBetOnline-161+124

BRBetRivers-132+100

BOVBovada-145+110

DKDraftKings-141+110

FANFanatics-140+105

FDFanDuel-144+118

We project 4.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.9% K / BF

vs LHB19.2%

vs RHB18.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Trent Grisham (L)20.1%3.0

2. Aaron Judge (R)28.4%3.0

3. Ben Rice (L)22.9%3.0

4. Cody Bellinger (L)16.8%3.0

5. Paul Goldschmidt (R)23.2%3.0

6. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)27.7%2.5

7. José Caballero (R)19.4%2.0

8. Ryan McMahon (L)27.9%2.0

9. Austin Wells (L)27.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+115-155

BOLBetOnline+118-154

BRBetRivers+112-148

BOVBovada+115-150

DKDraftKings+118-150

FANFanatics+120-160

FDFanDuel+116-152

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.2% K / BF

vs LHB20.4%

vs RHB19.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jeremy Peña (R)20.8%3.0

2. Isaac Paredes (R)20.1%3.0

3. Yordan Alvarez (L)19.4%3.0

4. Christian Walker (R)22.4%3.0

5. Jake Meyers (R)22.8%3.0

6. Nick Allen (R)21.1%2.4

7. Cam Smith (R)26.9%2.0

8. Zach Cole (L)29.5%2.0

9. Christian Vázquez (R)17.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-115-115

BOLBetOnline-109-119

BRBetRivers+102-136

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings-110-116

FANFanatics-110-120

FDFanDuel-102-120

We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.2% K / BF

vs LHB20.0%

vs RHB20.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)25.9%3.0

2. Miguel Andujar (R)20.4%3.0

3. Gavin Sheets (L)20.3%3.0

4. Manny Machado (R)20.3%3.0

5. Xander Bogaerts (R)16.3%3.0

6. Ramón Laureano (R)24.3%2.2

7. Sung-Mun Song (L)21.1%2.0

8. Bryce Johnson (R)24.8%2.0

9. Rodolfo Durán (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-115-115

BOLBetOnline-130+100

BRBetRivers-115-115

BOVBovada-125-105

DKDraftKings-141+110

FDFanDuel-128-104

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.1% K / BF

vs LHB20.3%

vs RHB17.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jackson Chourio (R)23.3%3.0

2. Brice Turang (L)23.7%3.0

3. William Contreras (R)21.3%3.0

4. Christian Yelich (L)22.2%3.0

5. Andrew Vaughn (R)17.6%3.0

6. Blake Perkins (R)19.8%3.0

7. Luis Rengifo (R)20.8%2.2

8. Sal Frelick (L)18.5%2.0

9. Joey Ortiz (R)17.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-165+125

BOLBetOnline-161+124

BRBetRivers-180+135

BOVBovada-165+125

DKDraftKings-156+122

FDFanDuel-166+124

We project 4.3 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.6% K / BF

vs LHB19.1%

vs RHB21.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. George Springer (R)20.3%3.0

2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)14.3%3.0

3. Daulton Varsho (L)23.1%3.0

4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)30.0%3.0

5. Yohendrick Piñango (L)22.0%2.1

6. Ernie Clement (R)13.9%2.0

7. Myles Straw (R)16.6%2.0

8. Brandon Valenzuela (L)21.4%2.0

9. Andrés Giménez (L)21.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline-149+115

BRBetRivers-162+120

BOVBovada-160+120

DKDraftKings-163+127

FANFanatics-160+120

FDFanDuel-154+116

We project 4.2 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate14.9% K / BF

vs LHB15.9%

vs RHB16.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ketel Marte (L)16.3%3.0

2. Corbin Carroll (L)22.6%3.0

3. Geraldo Perdomo (L)16.1%3.0

4. Nolan Arenado (R)18.6%3.0

5. Ildemaro Vargas (L)14.8%2.6

6. Jose Fernandez (R)25.6%2.0

7. Gabriel Moreno (R)20.3%2.0

8. Adrian Del Castillo (L)28.8%2.0

9. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)27.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-110-120

BOLBetOnline-125-103

BRBetRivers-112-120

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-118-108

FANFanatics-115-115

FDFanDuel-118-112

We project 3.4 K vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.7% K / BF

vs LHB21.9%

vs RHB22.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.4 BF

Expected batters faced13.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Kevin McGonigle (L)20.5%2.0

2. Dillon Dingler (R)23.7%2.0

3. Colt Keith (L)21.6%2.0

4. Riley Greene (L)26.7%2.0

5. Spencer Torkelson (R)25.0%1.4

6. Wenceel Pérez (R)20.0%1.0

7. Zach McKinstry (L)22.9%1.0

8. Gage Workman (L)21.6%1.0

9. Hao-Yu Lee (R)25.5%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.8% K / BF

vs LHB24.6%

vs RHB18.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.7 BF

Expected batters faced14.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Xavier Edwards (L)15.0%2.0

2. Liam Hicks (L)13.0%2.0

3. Otto Lopez (R)19.2%2.0

4. Kyle Stowers (L)24.4%2.0

5. Jakob Marsee (L)21.3%2.0

6. Esteury Ruiz (R)22.4%1.7

7. Graham Pauley (L)23.0%1.0

8. Joe Mack (L)22.0%1.0

9. Javier Sanoja (R)16.6%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.8% K / BF

vs LHB23.0%

vs RHB20.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.6 BF

Expected batters faced13.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)22.7%2.0

2. Mauricio Dubón (R)17.5%2.0

3. Matt Olson (L)24.1%2.0

4. Ozzie Albies (R)12.8%2.0

5. Michael Harris II (L)22.7%1.6

6. Eli White (R)22.1%1.0

7. Dominic Smith (L)21.5%1.0

8. Ha-Seong Kim (R)22.0%1.0

9. Chadwick Tromp (R)23.2%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Friday, May 22, 2026

Jacob deGrom (TEX) is the top strikeout start on the Friday, May 22, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 6.6 K, with Cristopher Sánchez (PHI) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Jacob deGrom

Jacob deGrom (TEX) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 6.6 K against LAA. He's missing bats at a 28% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and LAA has been whiff-prone, going down 25% of the time. He's lined up for about 23 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Cristopher Sánchez (PHI) (87) — about 6.1 K vs CLE: a 28% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 19% of the time.
Michael Soroka (AZ) (84) — about 6.0 K vs COL: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Davis Martin (CWS) (82) — about 5.9 K vs SF: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Gavin Williams (CLE) (76) — about 6.3 K vs PHI: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Logan Gilbert (SEA) (72) — about 5.7 K vs KC: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

LAA is striking out 25% of the time in this spot — Jacob deGrom is the arm to exploit it (100).
NYY is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Nick Martinez is the arm to exploit it (44).
BAL is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Jack Flaherty is the arm to exploit it (59).
DET is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Keegan Akin is the arm to exploit it (13).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 5.4 strikeouts. Top play Jacob deGrom punched out 3. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) weighs his strikeout ability against every hitter in the lineup, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Higher means more whiffs point his way. The exact weighting is our own — we project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Friday, May 22, 2026)?: Jacob deGrom (TEX) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.6 K against LAA. A 28% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 25% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Friday, May 22, 2026: Jacob deGrom (~6.6 K), Cristopher Sánchez (~6.1 K), Michael Soroka (~6.0 K), Davis Martin (~5.9 K), Gavin Williams (~6.3 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Friday, May 22, 2026?: Jacob deGrom punched out 3.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.