Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Saturday, May 23, 2026)?

Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.4 K against LAA. A 24% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Saturday, May 23, 2026: Nathan Eovaldi (~6.4 K), Paul Skenes (~6.0 K), Zack Wheeler (~5.4 K), Taj Bradley (~5.8 K), J.T. Ginn (~5.0 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Saturday, May 23, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Saturday, May 23, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Results show how each call played out.

★★ Plays of the Day

Our highest-conviction strikeout calls — where our model diverges a high percentage from the book's line (lineups final, so the play is locked). To date this season, strikeout PODs are hitting at a 64% rate — a +15% return.

Δ2.5Bryan HudsonFinal CWS @ SFwe project 3.0 K vs the 0.5 lineOver 0.5-145✓

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice — 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Final · 0–0

STLaway

CINhomeTop matchup50 Final · 3–0

HOUaway

CHChomeTop matchup44 Final · 2–5

PITaway

TORhomeTop matchup99 Final · 0–3

CLEaway

PHIhomeTop matchup77 Final · 3–10

CWSaway

SFhomeTop matchup26 Final · 0–5

SEAaway

KChomeTop matchup69 Final · 4–2

MINaway

BOShomeTop matchup73 Final · 2–0

WSHaway

ATLhomeTop matchup44 Final · 1–4

NYMaway

MIAhomeTop matchup65 Final · 6–7

STLaway

CINhomeTop matchup41 Final · 11–3

LADaway

MILhomeTop matchup61 Final · 0–2

ATHaway

SDhomeTop matchup69 Final · 2–5

TEXaway

LAAhomeTop matchup100 Final · 4–5

COLaway

AZhomeTop matchup29

Sort

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.2% K / BF

vs LHB23.4%

vs RHB24.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.3 BF

Expected batters faced24.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)28.2%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)23.8%3.0

3. Vaughn Grissom (R)15.5%3.0

4. Jorge Soler (R)27.6%3.0

5. Jo Adell (R)24.1%3.0

6. Jose Siri (R)26.7%3.0

7. Oswald Peraza (R)22.8%2.3

8. Sebastián Rivero (R)24.2%2.0

9. Donovan Walton (L)20.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BRBetRivers-130-103

BOVBovada-110-120

DKDraftKings-124-103

FANFanatics-125-105

FDFanDuel-108-122

We project 6.4 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate28.8% K / BF

vs LHB27.8%

vs RHB27.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. George Springer (R)21.0%3.0

2. Daulton Varsho (L)23.6%3.0

3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)13.8%3.0

4. Davis Schneider (R)26.5%3.0

5. Myles Straw (R)16.6%2.7

6. Ernie Clement (R)14.1%2.0

7. Andrés Giménez (L)22.4%2.0

8. Kazuma Okamoto (R)32.0%2.0

9. Tyler Heineman (L)20.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-110-120

BRBetRivers-113-118

BOVBovada-110-120

DKDraftKings-108-118

FDFanDuel-112-118

We project 6.0 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.7% K / BF

vs LHB24.6%

vs RHB24.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Travis Bazzana (L)19.1%3.0

2. José Ramírez (L)18.1%3.0

3. Chase DeLauter (L)15.3%3.0

4. Kyle Manzardo (L)27.6%3.0

5. Rhys Hoskins (R)22.5%3.0

6. Daniel Schneemann (L)25.2%2.4

7. Angel Martínez (L)22.4%2.0

8. Steven Kwan (L)13.7%2.0

9. Patrick Bailey (L)22.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-160+120

BRBetRivers-165+123

BOVBovada-145+110

DKDraftKings-149+117

FDFanDuel-140+114

We project 5.4 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.8% K / BF

vs LHB27.2%

vs RHB21.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jarren Duran (L)25.6%3.0

2. Mickey Gasper (L)20.3%3.0

3. Wilyer Abreu (L)22.5%3.0

4. Willson Contreras (R)24.8%3.0

5. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)19.7%3.0

6. Nick Sogard (L)23.1%2.9

7. Caleb Durbin (R)19.5%2.0

8. Connor Wong (R)23.7%2.0

9. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)18.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-115-115

BRBetRivers+100-134

BOVBovada+100-130

DKDraftKings-113-113

FANFanatics-110-120

FDFanDuel-102-130

We project 5.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.6% K / BF

vs LHB19.9%

vs RHB25.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)20.5%3.0

2. Miguel Andujar (R)19.0%3.0

3. Gavin Sheets (L)21.1%3.0

4. Manny Machado (R)23.2%3.0

5. Bryce Johnson (L)24.2%2.4

6. Jackson Merrill (L)24.4%2.0

7. Ty France (R)18.6%2.0

8. Freddy Fermin (R)22.3%2.0

9. Sung-Mun Song (L)21.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-130-105

BRBetRivers-141+107

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-144+112

FDFanDuel-140+106

We project 5.0 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.8% K / BF

vs LHB21.0%

vs RHB24.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.3 BF

Expected batters faced24.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Maikel Garcia (R)15.9%3.0

2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)20.1%3.0

3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)17.0%3.0

4. Salvador Perez (R)21.2%3.0

5. Carter Jensen (L)27.7%3.0

6. Jac Caglianone (L)24.4%3.0

7. Isaac Collins (L)25.3%2.3

8. Michael Massey (L)18.4%2.0

9. Kyle Isbel (L)22.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers+145-195

BOVBovada+125-165

DKDraftKings+127-163

FDFanDuel+126-168

We project 5.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.4% K / BF

vs LHB25.8%

vs RHB23.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Carson Benge (L)18.7%3.0

2. Bo Bichette (R)19.3%3.0

3. Juan Soto (L)18.7%3.0

4. Tyrone Taylor (R)19.4%3.0

5. Mark Vientos (R)23.1%2.8

6. A.J. Ewing (L)24.1%2.0

7. Marcus Semien (R)20.0%2.0

8. MJ Melendez (L)27.6%2.0

9. Luis Torrens (R)21.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BRBetRivers-127-105

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-136+106

FANFanatics-140+105

FDFanDuel-134+110

We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.4% K / BF

vs LHB21.4%

vs RHB22.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jackson Chourio (R)23.6%3.0

2. Brice Turang (L)20.6%3.0

3. Andrew Vaughn (R)19.1%3.0

4. Christian Yelich (L)26.8%3.0

5. Gary Sánchez (R)22.1%2.8

6. Jake Bauers (L)24.3%2.0

7. Blake Perkins (L)24.6%2.0

8. Joey Ortiz (R)19.5%2.0

9. David Hamilton (L)20.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-150+110

BRBetRivers-167+125

BOVBovada-170+130

DKDraftKings-164+128

FDFanDuel-172+126

We project 5.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.5% K / BF

vs LHB22.7%

vs RHB24.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Xavier Edwards (L)15.4%3.0

2. Liam Hicks (L)12.8%3.0

3. Otto Lopez (R)19.1%3.0

4. Kyle Stowers (L)24.2%3.0

5. Jakob Marsee (L)21.4%3.0

6. Connor Norby (R)24.6%2.4

7. Owen Caissie (L)29.0%2.0

8. Graham Pauley (L)23.0%2.0

9. Joe Mack (L)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-120-110

BRBetRivers-118-113

BOVBovada-130+100

DKDraftKings-125-102

FDFanDuel-125-106

We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.6% K / BF

vs LHB20.0%

vs RHB21.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Trea Turner (R)22.8%3.0

2. Kyle Schwarber (L)31.8%3.0

3. Bryce Harper (L)20.2%3.0

4. Alec Bohm (R)17.1%3.0

5. Brandon Marsh (L)21.6%3.0

6. Bryson Stott (L)19.9%2.1

7. J.T. Realmuto (R)20.6%2.0

8. Adolis García (R)29.7%2.0

9. Justin Crawford (L)19.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BRBetRivers+102-134

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings+113-144

FANFanatics+115-150

FDFanDuel+106-140

We project 4.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.1% K / BF

vs LHB19.3%

vs RHB21.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. JJ Bleday (L)18.3%3.0

2. Elly De La Cruz (L)25.3%3.0

3. Sal Stewart (R)19.1%3.0

4. Nathaniel Lowe (L)24.7%3.0

5. Eugenio Suárez (R)25.8%3.0

6. Spencer Steer (R)20.8%2.5

7. Blake Dunn (R)19.5%2.0

8. Tyler Stephenson (R)25.8%2.0

9. TJ Friedl (L)23.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.0% K / BF

vs LHB24.2%

vs RHB20.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)20.1%3.0

2. Michael Harris II (L)20.3%3.0

3. Matt Olson (L)23.7%3.0

4. Ozzie Albies (L)18.5%3.0

5. Dominic Smith (L)18.9%2.1

6. Austin Riley (R)25.3%2.0

7. Mauricio Dubón (R)18.6%2.0

8. Mike Yastrzemski (L)22.5%2.0

9. Chadwick Tromp (R)20.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers+128-175

BOVBovada+115-150

DKDraftKings+127-162

FDFanDuel+116-154

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.0% K / BF

vs LHB20.0%

vs RHB19.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jeremy Peña (R)20.7%3.0

2. Isaac Paredes (R)19.5%3.0

3. Zach Dezenzo (R)28.1%3.0

4. Christian Walker (R)23.5%3.0

5. Jake Meyers (R)22.9%2.8

6. Cam Smith (R)27.1%2.0

7. Nick Allen (R)21.1%2.0

8. Brice Matthews (R)27.9%2.0

9. César Salazar (L)19.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-120-110

BRBetRivers+100-134

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings-111-115

FDFanDuel-102-120

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.4% K / BF

vs LHB18.0%

vs RHB20.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Blake Dunn (R)19.5%3.0

2. Elly De La Cruz (L)25.3%3.0

3. JJ Bleday (L)18.3%3.0

4. Sal Stewart (R)19.1%3.0

5. Eugenio Suárez (R)25.8%2.8

6. Matt McLain (R)23.1%2.0

7. Spencer Steer (R)20.8%2.0

8. P.J. Higgins (R)22.3%2.0

9. Dane Myers (R)23.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers+106-141

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings+108-138

FANFanatics+110-145

FDFanDuel+102-136

We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.2% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB20.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)26.0%3.0

2. Luis García Jr. (L)16.7%3.0

3. José Tena (L)26.8%3.0

4. CJ Abrams (L)20.3%3.0

5. Dylan Crews (R)21.2%2.7

6. Jacob Young (R)17.5%2.0

7. Nasim Nuñez (L)20.9%2.0

8. Jorbit Vivas (L)19.1%2.0

9. Keibert Ruiz (L)17.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-110-120

BRBetRivers+100-132

BOVBovada-110-120

DKDraftKings-123-104

FANFanatics-110-120

FDFanDuel-105-115

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.7% K / BF

vs LHB20.9%

vs RHB21.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.6 BF

Expected batters faced20.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Danny Jansen (R)22.5%3.0

2. Brandon Nimmo (L)21.0%3.0

3. Michael Helman (R)20.7%2.6

4. Andrew McCutchen (R)24.9%2.0

5. Jake Burger (R)22.9%2.0

6. Evan Carter (L)21.3%2.0

7. Ezequiel Duran (R)23.4%2.0

8. Justin Foscue (R)24.7%2.0

9. Kyle Higashioka (R)24.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-125-105

BRBetRivers-124-108

BOVBovada-125-105

DKDraftKings-136+106

FDFanDuel-122+100

We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.4% K / BF

vs LHB22.1%

vs RHB17.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. J.P. Crawford (L)20.6%3.0

2. Julio Rodríguez (R)22.5%3.0

3. Josh Naylor (L)16.1%3.0

4. Randy Arozarena (R)22.5%3.0

5. Luke Raley (L)29.1%3.0

6. Cole Young (L)20.4%2.0

7. Dominic Canzone (L)21.5%2.0

8. Jhonny Pereda (R)24.7%2.0

9. Colt Emerson (L)24.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-145+105

BRBetRivers-167+125

BOVBovada-165+125

DKDraftKings-166+130

FDFanDuel-160+130

We project 4.8 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.0% K / BF

vs LHB19.6%

vs RHB21.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Carlos Cortes (L)15.4%3.0

2. Nick Kurtz (L)23.8%3.0

3. Shea Langeliers (R)20.7%3.0

4. Brent Rooker (R)24.6%3.0

5. Tyler Soderstrom (L)19.4%2.7

6. Zack Gelof (R)23.6%2.0

7. Henry Bolte (R)20.5%2.0

8. Jeff McNeil (L)17.8%2.0

9. Darell Hernaiz (R)19.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BRBetRivers+114-152

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings+103-132

FANFanatics+105-140

FDFanDuel+106-130

We project 4.4 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.7% K / BF

vs LHB17.7%

vs RHB21.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. JJ Wetherholt (L)20.3%3.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)19.9%3.0

3. Alec Burleson (L)18.4%3.0

4. Jordan Walker (R)24.4%3.0

5. Nolan Gorman (L)27.3%2.1

6. Masyn Winn (R)22.5%2.0

7. Bryan Torres (L)22.0%2.0

8. César Prieto (L)21.3%2.0

9. Victor Scott II (L)25.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.1% K / BF

vs LHB21.8%

vs RHB20.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Shohei Ohtani (L)21.9%3.0

2. Mookie Betts (R)16.8%3.0

3. Freddie Freeman (L)22.6%3.0

4. Andy Pages (R)22.5%3.0

5. Will Smith (R)22.9%2.7

6. Kyle Tucker (L)18.8%2.0

7. Teoscar Hernández (R)20.9%2.0

8. Miguel Rojas (R)17.3%2.0

9. Santiago Espinal (R)18.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BRBetRivers-143+108

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-127+100

FANFanatics-130+100

FDFanDuel-132+108

We project 4.3 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.1% K / BF

vs LHB18.5%

vs RHB20.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jake McCarthy (L)18.4%3.0

2. Hunter Goodman (R)25.2%3.0

3. TJ Rumfield (L)18.3%3.0

4. Tyler Freeman (R)14.8%3.0

5. Troy Johnston (L)23.4%2.5

6. Ezequiel Tovar (R)22.2%2.0

7. Sterlin Thompson (L)22.0%2.0

8. Chad Stevens (R)22.7%2.0

9. Kyle Karros (R)21.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers+148-200

BOVBovada+130-170

FDFanDuel+134-164

We project 4.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate16.1% K / BF

vs LHB17.3%

vs RHB17.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Sam Antonacci (L)15.4%3.0

2. Munetaka Murakami (L)26.1%3.0

3. Miguel Vargas (R)19.0%3.0

4. Colson Montgomery (L)27.1%3.0

5. Chase Meidroth (R)22.1%3.0

6. Andrew Benintendi (L)22.8%2.3

7. Randal Grichuk (R)20.9%2.0

8. Derek Hill (R)25.8%2.0

9. Drew Romo (L)22.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-155+115

BRBetRivers-148+110

BOVBovada-145+110

DKDraftKings-137+108

FDFanDuel-140+114

We project 4.1 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.0% K / BF

vs LHB22.6%

vs RHB16.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness24.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Nick Gonzales (R)20.7%3.0

2. Konnor Griffin (R)26.4%3.0

3. Bryan Reynolds (R)21.0%3.0

4. Marcell Ozuna (R)25.9%2.9

5. Spencer Horwitz (L)19.7%2.0

6. Jhostynxon Garcia (R)23.4%2.0

7. Brandon Lowe (L)26.2%2.0

8. Oneil Cruz (L)32.2%2.0

9. Endy Rodríguez (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-140

BRBetRivers+112-150

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings+109-139

FANFanatics+115-150

FDFanDuel+106-130

We project 4.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate16.6% K / BF

vs LHB20.6%

vs RHB16.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. JJ Wetherholt (L)20.3%3.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)19.9%3.0

3. Alec Burleson (L)18.4%3.0

4. Jordan Walker (R)24.4%3.0

5. Thomas Saggese (R)25.4%3.0

6. Masyn Winn (R)22.5%2.0

7. Bryan Torres (L)22.0%2.0

8. Yohel Pozo (R)21.0%2.0

9. Victor Scott II (L)25.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers-106-125

BOVBovada-120-110

DKDraftKings-115-111

FDFanDuel-114-106

We project 4.3 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.4% K / BF

vs LHB23.0%

vs RHB23.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload16.5 BF

Expected batters faced16.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)23.7%2.0

2. Alex Bregman (R)18.6%2.0

3. Michael Busch (L)20.5%2.0

4. Nico Hoerner (R)11.6%2.0

5. Kevin Alcántara (R)22.6%2.0

6. Seiya Suzuki (R)26.7%2.0

7. Moisés Ballesteros (L)22.0%2.0

8. Carson Kelly (R)20.8%1.5

9. Dansby Swanson (R)21.1%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.7% K / BF

vs LHB20.7%

vs RHB17.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ketel Marte (L)15.7%3.0

2. Corbin Carroll (L)23.0%3.0

3. Geraldo Perdomo (L)16.0%3.0

4. Nolan Arenado (R)17.7%2.9

5. Ildemaro Vargas (L)14.2%2.0

6. Gabriel Moreno (R)19.8%2.0

7. Jose Fernandez (R)25.3%2.0

8. Tim Tawa (R)23.8%2.0

9. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)27.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-145

BRBetRivers-108-122

BOVBovada+100-130

DKDraftKings+103-132

FANFanatics+100-130

FDFanDuel+100-132

We project 3.8 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.1% K / BF

vs LHB28.7%

vs RHB22.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.0 BF

Expected batters faced14.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Byron Buxton (R)24.0%2.0

2. James Outman (L)26.7%2.0

3. Austin Martin (R)15.8%2.0

4. Josh Bell (R)22.9%2.0

5. Kody Clemens (L)19.4%2.0

6. Victor Caratini (R)23.5%1.0

7. Orlando Arcia (R)23.1%1.0

8. Brooks Lee (R)23.1%1.0

9. Ryan Kreidler (R)20.4%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

★★ Play of the Day

We're projecting 3.0 K, but the book line is 0.5 — so the play is Over 0.5.

Our highest-conviction strikeout calls, where our model diverges a high percentage from the book's line. To date this season, strikeout PODs are hitting at a 64% rate — a +15% return on the season.

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.3% K / BF

vs LHB21.2%

vs RHB22.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.7 BF

Expected batters faced13.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Willy Adames (R)24.4%2.0

2. Luis Arraez (L)13.7%2.0

3. Casey Schmitt (R)20.8%2.0

4. Rafael Devers (L)24.5%2.0

5. Matt Chapman (R)23.0%1.7

6. Daniel Susac (R)20.3%1.0

7. Bryce Eldridge (L)25.2%1.0

8. Harrison Bader (R)22.8%1.0

9. Drew Gilbert (L)25.0%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

FANFanatics-145+110

We project 3.0 K vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Saturday, May 23, 2026

Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) is the top strikeout start on the Saturday, May 23, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 6.4 K, with Paul Skenes (PIT) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Nathan Eovaldi

Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 6.4 K against LAA. He's missing bats at a 24% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and LAA has been whiff-prone, going down 24% of the time. He's lined up for about 24 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Paul Skenes (PIT) (99) — about 6.0 K vs TOR: a 29% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
Zack Wheeler (PHI) (77) — about 5.4 K vs CLE: a 25% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
Taj Bradley (MIN) (73) — about 5.8 K vs BOS: a 25% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
J.T. Ginn (ATH) (69) — about 5.0 K vs SD: a 23% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
George Kirby (SEA) (69) — about 5.2 K vs KC: a 23% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

PIT is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Patrick Corbin is the arm to exploit it (22).
LAA is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Nathan Eovaldi is the arm to exploit it (100).
HOU is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Colin Rea is the arm to exploit it (44).
TEX is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Walbert Ureña is the arm to exploit it (39).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 5.4 strikeouts. Top play Nathan Eovaldi punched out 6. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) weighs his strikeout ability against every hitter in the lineup, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Higher means more whiffs point his way. The exact weighting is our own — we project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Saturday, May 23, 2026)?: Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.4 K against LAA. A 24% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Saturday, May 23, 2026: Nathan Eovaldi (~6.4 K), Paul Skenes (~6.0 K), Zack Wheeler (~5.4 K), Taj Bradley (~5.8 K), J.T. Ginn (~5.0 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Saturday, May 23, 2026?: Nathan Eovaldi punched out 6.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.