Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Sunday, May 24, 2026)?

Dylan Cease (TOR) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 7.1 K against PIT. A 31% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Sunday, May 24, 2026: Dylan Cease (~7.1 K), Reid Detmers (~6.3 K), Ryan Weathers (~5.4 K), Parker Messick (~5.5 K), Bryan Woo (~5.4 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Sunday, May 24, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Sunday, May 24, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Results show how each call played out.

★ Plays of the Day

No identified Plays of the Day on this slate — our model didn't find a strikeout disagreement with the book big enough to clear our edge threshold. The model still ran every matchup; it just didn't flag a play worth posting today. This season strikeout PODs are hitting 64% — a +15% return.

Final · 0–0

DETaway

BALhomeTop matchup51 Final · 4–1

PITaway

TORhomeTop matchup100 Final · 3–5

DETaway

BALhomeTop matchup46 Final · 6–5

MINaway

BOShomeTop matchup50 Final · 3–1

CLEaway

PHIhomeTop matchup65 Final · 0–2

TBaway

NYYhomeTop matchup66 Final · 0–4

NYMaway

MIAhomeTop matchup30 Final · 6–8

SEAaway

KChomeTop matchup63 Final · 5–1

LADaway

MILhomeTop matchup63 Final · 8–5

HOUaway

CHChomeTop matchup50 Final · 5–8

CWSaway

SFhomeTop matchup41 Final · 1–9

COLaway

AZhomeTop matchup42 Final · 5–2

ATHaway

SDhomeTop matchup59 Final · 2–1

WSHaway

ATLhomeTop matchup47 Final · 1–2

TEXaway

LAAhomeTop matchup81

Sort

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher strikeouts Rate31.1% K / BF

vs LHB31.3%

vs RHB26.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.7 BF

Expected batters faced23.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection7.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Spencer Horwitz (L)18.6%3.0

2. Brandon Lowe (L)22.4%3.0

3. Bryan Reynolds (L)21.9%3.0

4. Nick Gonzales (R)16.4%3.0

5. Oneil Cruz (L)30.0%3.0

6. Endy Rodríguez (L)22.8%2.7

7. Jhostynxon Garcia (R)23.1%2.0

8. Jake Mangum (L)21.1%2.0

9. Jared Triolo (R)22.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 7.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-150+110

BRBetRivers-167+125

BOVBovada-150+115

FDFanDuel-144+118

We project 7.1 K vs the 7.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.4% K / BF

vs LHB21.1%

vs RHB27.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Alejandro Osuna (L)24.2%3.0

2. Justin Foscue (R)23.8%3.0

3. Brandon Nimmo (L)21.0%3.0

4. Jake Burger (R)24.4%3.0

5. Ezequiel Duran (R)22.7%3.0

6. Danny Jansen (R)24.0%2.6

7. Sam Haggerty (R)25.9%2.0

8. Joc Pederson (L)22.7%2.0

9. Michael Helman (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-115-115

BRBetRivers-112-120

BOVBovada-125-105

DKDraftKings-127-101

FANFanatics-120-110

FDFanDuel-118-102

We project 6.3 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.8% K / BF

vs LHB25.8%

vs RHB27.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Oliver Dunn (L)22.0%3.0

2. Jonathan Aranda (L)23.9%3.0

3. Junior Caminero (R)16.6%3.0

4. Ryan Vilade (R)20.6%3.0

5. Chandler Simpson (L)15.7%3.0

6. Nick Fortes (R)18.3%2.1

7. Taylor Walls (R)19.3%2.0

8. Cedric Mullins (L)17.1%2.0

9. Richie Palacios (L)21.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-130-105

BRBetRivers-114-117

BOVBovada-110-120

DKDraftKings-104-122

FANFanatics-115-115

FDFanDuel-106-114

We project 5.4 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.1% K / BF

vs LHB22.4%

vs RHB26.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Trea Turner (R)18.3%3.0

2. Kyle Schwarber (L)26.2%3.0

3. Bryce Harper (L)21.8%3.0

4. Alec Bohm (R)18.1%3.0

5. J.T. Realmuto (R)19.4%3.0

6. Bryson Stott (L)17.5%2.1

7. Adolis García (R)24.5%2.0

8. Justin Crawford (L)22.0%2.0

9. Brandon Marsh (L)27.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-150+110

BRBetRivers-127-106

BOVBovada-130+100

DKDraftKings-133+104

FANFanatics-140+105

FDFanDuel-132+100

We project 5.5 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.6% K / BF

vs LHB25.2%

vs RHB24.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Maikel Garcia (R)16.3%3.0

2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)20.0%3.0

3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)16.8%3.0

4. Salvador Perez (R)20.5%3.0

5. Carter Jensen (L)26.3%3.0

6. Tyler Tolbert (R)22.7%2.2

7. Isaac Collins (L)25.5%2.0

8. Michael Massey (L)18.1%2.0

9. Kyle Isbel (L)21.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers+125-167

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+123-157

FDFanDuel+120-160

We project 5.4 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.1% K / BF

vs LHB24.1%

vs RHB26.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.0 BF

Expected batters faced24.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jackson Chourio (R)24.8%3.0

2. Brice Turang (L)20.8%3.0

3. William Contreras (R)14.4%3.0

4. Luis Rengifo (L)14.8%3.0

5. Andrew Vaughn (R)18.4%3.0

6. Blake Perkins (L)24.6%3.0

7. Sal Frelick (L)14.9%2.0

8. Joey Ortiz (R)18.9%2.0

9. David Hamilton (L)19.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-140

BRBetRivers-105-127

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings+101-128

FDFanDuel-104-128

We project 5.3 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.5% K / BF

vs LHB25.7%

vs RHB23.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Lawrence Butler (L)25.7%3.0

2. Nick Kurtz (L)24.2%3.0

3. Shea Langeliers (R)19.5%3.0

4. Tyler Soderstrom (L)19.1%3.0

5. Jonah Heim (L)19.6%3.0

6. Zack Gelof (R)24.4%2.1

7. Jeff McNeil (L)17.4%2.0

8. Henry Bolte (R)20.7%2.0

9. Alika Williams (R)21.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BRBetRivers-141+106

BOVBovada-160+120

DKDraftKings-159+124

FANFanatics-145+110

FDFanDuel-152+124

We project 5.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.8% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB21.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Max Schuemann (R)23.2%3.0

2. Aaron Judge (R)27.1%3.0

3. Ben Rice (L)21.9%3.0

4. Cody Bellinger (L)16.4%3.0

5. Paul Goldschmidt (R)22.6%2.4

6. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)27.0%2.0

7. José Caballero (R)19.1%2.0

8. Ryan McMahon (L)28.5%2.0

9. Austin Wells (L)25.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+110-150

BRBetRivers+116-155

BOVBovada+115-150

DKDraftKings+121-155

FDFanDuel+116-154

We project 5.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.8% K / BF

vs LHB21.8%

vs RHB24.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)23.1%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)24.3%3.0

3. Vaughn Grissom (R)18.0%3.0

4. Donovan Walton (L)21.3%2.9

5. Jo Adell (R)22.4%2.0

6. Oswald Peraza (R)23.8%2.0

7. Wade Meckler (L)21.6%2.0

8. Sebastián Rivero (R)21.0%2.0

9. Adam Frazier (L)22.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers-155+116

BOVBovada-150+115

FDFanDuel-154+116

We project 5.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.4% K / BF

vs LHB17.1%

vs RHB24.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Taylor Ward (R)25.4%3.0

2. Gunnar Henderson (L)23.8%3.0

3. Adley Rutschman (L)18.6%3.0

4. Pete Alonso (R)23.9%3.0

5. Samuel Basallo (L)24.9%3.0

6. Leody Taveras (L)19.8%2.0

7. Tyler O'Neill (R)19.9%2.0

8. Blaze Alexander (R)26.4%2.0

9. Jackson Holliday (L)23.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.7% K / BF

vs LHB22.4%

vs RHB24.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.7 BF

Expected batters faced21.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Austin Martin (R)20.2%3.0

2. Brooks Lee (L)17.2%3.0

3. Trevor Larnach (L)19.1%3.0

4. Josh Bell (L)23.1%2.7

5. Kody Clemens (L)23.6%2.0

6. Victor Caratini (L)18.1%2.0

7. Orlando Arcia (R)20.7%2.0

8. James Outman (L)27.6%2.0

9. Ryan Kreidler (R)30.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-125

BRBetRivers+106-141

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings+102-130

FANFanatics+100-130

FDFanDuel+106-130

We project 4.9 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.7% K / BF

vs LHB24.6%

vs RHB21.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Brice Matthews (R)26.2%3.0

2. Jeremy Peña (R)18.8%3.0

3. Christian Walker (R)21.0%3.0

4. Isaac Paredes (R)18.7%3.0

5. Jake Meyers (R)21.7%3.0

6. Cam Smith (R)22.8%2.6

7. Braden Shewmake (L)22.1%2.0

8. Christian Vázquez (R)20.7%2.0

9. Nick Allen (R)20.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers-152+114

BOVBovada-145+110

DKDraftKings-160+125

FANFanatics-150+115

FDFanDuel-142+116

We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.0% K / BF

vs LHB24.0%

vs RHB22.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)22.2%3.0

2. Mauricio Dubón (R)17.4%3.0

3. Matt Olson (L)23.8%3.0

4. Ozzie Albies (R)12.5%3.0

5. Austin Riley (R)25.0%3.0

6. Michael Harris II (L)23.3%2.6

7. Eli White (R)22.1%2.0

8. Ha-Seong Kim (R)21.8%2.0

9. Chadwick Tromp (R)24.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BRBetRivers-106-127

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings-111-115

FANFanatics-105-125

FDFanDuel-104-128

We project 5.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.9% K / BF

vs LHB24.6%

vs RHB20.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)23.8%3.0

2. Nico Hoerner (R)11.7%3.0

3. Michael Busch (L)21.9%3.0

4. Alex Bregman (R)17.5%3.0

5. Michael Conforto (L)24.8%3.0

6. Seiya Suzuki (R)27.3%2.4

7. Moisés Ballesteros (L)22.2%2.0

8. Miguel Amaya (R)21.5%2.0

9. Pedro Ramírez (L)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-115-115

BRBetRivers-105-127

BOVBovada-115-115

DKDraftKings-103-124

FDFanDuel-114-114

We project 5.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.4% K / BF

vs LHB24.7%

vs RHB18.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Taylor Ward (R)18.9%3.0

2. Gunnar Henderson (L)23.0%3.0

3. Adley Rutschman (R)19.9%3.0

4. Pete Alonso (R)22.9%3.0

5. Samuel Basallo (L)26.2%3.0

6. Jackson Holliday (L)25.6%2.8

7. Leody Taveras (R)25.6%2.0

8. Jeremiah Jackson (R)24.2%2.0

9. Colton Cowser (L)27.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.6% K / BF

vs LHB22.2%

vs RHB18.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.1 BF

Expected batters faced24.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. J.P. Crawford (L)20.0%3.0

2. Julio Rodríguez (R)22.4%3.0

3. Josh Naylor (L)16.2%3.0

4. Randy Arozarena (R)22.5%3.0

5. Luke Raley (L)28.1%3.0

6. Cole Young (L)19.4%3.0

7. Dominic Canzone (L)22.0%2.1

8. Mitch Garver (R)28.0%2.0

9. Colt Emerson (L)25.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-155+115

BRBetRivers-157+117

BOVBovada-160+120

DKDraftKings-157+122

FANFanatics-145+110

FDFanDuel-150+122

We project 5.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.8% K / BF

vs LHB19.1%

vs RHB23.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jake McCarthy (L)18.6%3.0

2. Tyler Freeman (R)14.4%3.0

3. Chad Stevens (R)24.5%3.0

4. Troy Johnston (L)22.8%3.0

5. Ezequiel Tovar (R)21.9%2.9

6. Braxton Fulford (R)23.1%2.0

7. Edouard Julien (L)26.0%2.0

8. Kyle Karros (R)21.6%2.0

9. Brett Sullivan (L)22.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-140+105

BRBetRivers-148+112

BOVBovada-145+110

DKDraftKings-128+100

FANFanatics-130+100

FDFanDuel-134+110

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.8% K / BF

vs LHB21.1%

vs RHB20.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Chase Meidroth (R)20.5%3.0

2. Munetaka Murakami (L)30.4%3.0

3. Miguel Vargas (R)19.5%3.0

4. Sam Antonacci (L)24.9%3.0

5. Colson Montgomery (L)27.6%3.0

6. Edgar Quero (R)21.5%2.1

7. Jarred Kelenic (L)21.3%2.0

8. Tristan Peters (L)23.7%2.0

9. Luisangel Acuña (R)19.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers-159+120

BOVBovada-160+120

DKDraftKings-149+117

FANFanatics-150+115

FDFanDuel-150+122

We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.0% K / BF

vs LHB17.2%

vs RHB22.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Hao-Yu Lee (R)22.5%3.0

2. Kevin McGonigle (L)15.5%3.0

3. Dillon Dingler (R)22.2%3.0

4. Riley Greene (L)24.3%3.0

5. Matt Vierling (R)20.9%2.7

6. Spencer Torkelson (R)29.2%2.0

7. Wenceel Pérez (L)21.2%2.0

8. Jake Rogers (R)25.9%2.0

9. Zack Short (R)23.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.4% K / BF

vs LHB25.3%

vs RHB23.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.6 BF

Expected batters faced19.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)26.5%3.0

2. Curtis Mead (R)20.7%2.6

3. Luis García Jr. (L)20.7%2.0

4. CJ Abrams (L)23.3%2.0

5. Dylan Crews (R)21.2%2.0

6. Daylen Lile (L)21.3%2.0

7. Jacob Young (R)20.5%2.0

8. Nasim Nuñez (R)21.4%2.0

9. Keibert Ruiz (R)18.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers+123-165

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+133-171

FDFanDuel+122-150

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.0% K / BF

vs LHB17.7%

vs RHB21.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jarren Duran (L)27.0%3.0

2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)20.3%3.0

3. Wilyer Abreu (L)23.3%3.0

4. Willson Contreras (R)24.3%3.0

5. Masataka Yoshida (L)13.6%3.0

6. Nick Sogard (L)22.3%2.8

7. Connor Wong (R)25.1%2.0

8. Marcelo Mayer (L)20.6%2.0

9. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)17.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+110-150

BRBetRivers+125-167

BOVBovada+125-165

DKDraftKings+130-167

FDFanDuel+122-162

We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.1% K / BF

vs LHB23.9%

vs RHB21.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.3 BF

Expected batters faced21.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Shohei Ohtani (L)23.1%3.0

2. Mookie Betts (R)16.4%3.0

3. Freddie Freeman (L)17.5%3.0

4. Kyle Tucker (L)19.3%2.3

5. Andy Pages (R)19.8%2.0

6. Teoscar Hernández (R)25.4%2.0

7. Dalton Rushing (L)26.9%2.0

8. Hyeseong Kim (L)24.0%2.0

9. Miguel Rojas (R)15.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-120-110

BRBetRivers-104-129

BOVBovada-110-120

DKDraftKings-106-120

FANFanatics-105-125

FDFanDuel-106-114

We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.7% K / BF

vs LHB21.6%

vs RHB22.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Willy Adames (R)24.2%3.0

2. Luis Arraez (L)13.6%3.0

3. Casey Schmitt (R)20.7%3.0

4. Rafael Devers (L)24.8%3.0

5. Matt Chapman (R)23.0%2.1

6. Daniel Susac (R)20.3%2.0

7. Drew Gilbert (L)25.0%2.0

8. Harrison Bader (R)22.8%2.0

9. Will Brennan (L)21.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers-113-118

BOVBovada-115-115

DKDraftKings+101-129

FDFanDuel-114-114

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.6% K / BF

vs LHB18.5%

vs RHB20.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. George Springer (R)20.8%3.0

2. Daulton Varsho (L)22.9%3.0

3. Lenyn Sosa (R)20.1%3.0

4. Myles Straw (R)16.6%3.0

5. Davis Schneider (R)26.6%3.0

6. Kazuma Okamoto (R)31.8%2.1

7. Ernie Clement (R)13.6%2.0

8. Andrés Giménez (L)21.9%2.0

9. Brandon Valenzuela (L)21.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+130-175

BRBetRivers+135-182

BOVBovada+135-180

FDFanDuel+132-178

We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.3% K / BF

vs LHB22.8%

vs RHB18.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Matt Vierling (R)20.4%3.0

2. Kevin McGonigle (L)20.1%3.0

3. Dillon Dingler (R)24.3%3.0

4. Riley Greene (L)26.3%3.0

5. Colt Keith (L)21.6%2.5

6. Spencer Torkelson (R)25.3%2.0

7. Wenceel Pérez (R)19.8%2.0

8. Zach McKinstry (L)22.9%2.0

9. Zack Short (R)22.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.9% K / BF

vs LHB24.1%

vs RHB22.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.1 BF

Expected batters faced21.1

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Liam Hicks (L)12.6%3.0

2. Xavier Edwards (L)15.7%3.0

3. Heriberto Hernández (R)21.4%3.0

4. Kyle Stowers (L)24.7%2.1

5. Otto Lopez (R)19.3%2.0

6. Jakob Marsee (L)20.6%2.0

7. Graham Pauley (L)23.0%2.0

8. Esteury Ruiz (R)21.8%2.0

9. Javier Sanoja (R)16.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-125-105

BRBetRivers-132+100

BOVBovada-130+100

DKDraftKings-130+102

FANFanatics-125-105

FDFanDuel-130-102

We project 4.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.7% K / BF

vs LHB19.2%

vs RHB21.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Travis Bazzana (L)18.3%3.0

2. José Ramírez (L)18.3%3.0

3. Chase DeLauter (L)15.5%3.0

4. Rhys Hoskins (R)23.8%3.0

5. Daniel Schneemann (L)26.1%2.3

6. Petey Halpin (L)22.8%2.0

7. Steven Kwan (L)13.4%2.0

8. Austin Hedges (R)24.0%2.0

9. Brayan Rocchio (L)16.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-160+120

BRBetRivers-150+112

BOVBovada-150+115

DKDraftKings-157+123

FDFanDuel-144+118

We project 4.0 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.5% K / BF

vs LHB22.5%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.2 BF

Expected batters faced14.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)20.4%2.0

2. Miguel Andujar (R)18.9%2.0

3. Gavin Sheets (L)21.2%2.0

4. Manny Machado (R)23.4%2.0

5. Xander Bogaerts (R)21.3%2.0

6. Jackson Merrill (L)23.6%1.3

7. Ramón Laureano (R)28.3%1.0

8. Ty France (R)19.9%1.0

9. Nick Castellanos (R)24.0%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.7% K / BF

vs LHB21.1%

vs RHB19.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload15.6 BF

Expected batters faced15.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Carson Benge (L)20.2%2.0

2. Bo Bichette (R)19.6%2.0

3. A.J. Ewing (L)26.8%2.0

4. Mark Vientos (R)22.9%2.0

5. Brett Baty (L)23.2%2.0

6. Marcus Semien (R)19.6%2.0

7. Nick Morabito (R)22.0%1.6

8. Tyrone Taylor (R)19.3%1.0

9. Luis Torrens (R)21.0%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate16.1% K / BF

vs LHB19.9%

vs RHB16.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ketel Marte (R)17.8%3.0

2. Tim Tawa (R)21.2%3.0

3. Geraldo Perdomo (R)15.6%3.0

4. Jorge Barrosa (R)22.1%3.0

5. Ildemaro Vargas (R)14.5%2.2

6. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)18.3%2.0

7. Jose Fernandez (R)22.2%2.0

8. Aramis Garcia (R)24.5%2.0

9. Tommy Troy (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-125

BRBetRivers-104-129

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings-103-124

FDFanDuel+104-138

We project 3.2 K vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Sunday, May 24, 2026

Dylan Cease (TOR) is the top strikeout start on the Sunday, May 24, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 7.1 K, with Reid Detmers (LAA) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Dylan Cease

Dylan Cease (TOR) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 7.1 K against PIT. He's missing bats at a 31% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and PIT has been around league average, going down 22% of the time. He's lined up for about 24 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Reid Detmers (LAA) (81) — about 6.3 K vs TEX: a 25% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
Ryan Weathers (NYY) (66) — about 5.4 K vs TB: a 28% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 19% of the time.
Parker Messick (CLE) (65) — about 5.5 K vs PHI: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Bryan Woo (SEA) (63) — about 5.4 K vs KC: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) (63) — about 5.3 K vs MIL: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 19% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

BAL is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Framber Valdez is the arm to exploit it (46).
NYY is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Drew Rasmussen is the arm to exploit it (55).
TEX is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Reid Detmers is the arm to exploit it (81).
CWS is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Robbie Ray is the arm to exploit it (41).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 5.9 strikeouts. Top play Dylan Cease punched out 8. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) weighs his strikeout ability against every hitter in the lineup, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Higher means more whiffs point his way. The exact weighting is our own — we project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Sunday, May 24, 2026)?: Dylan Cease (TOR) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 7.1 K against PIT. A 31% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Sunday, May 24, 2026: Dylan Cease (~7.1 K), Reid Detmers (~6.3 K), Ryan Weathers (~5.4 K), Parker Messick (~5.5 K), Bryan Woo (~5.4 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Sunday, May 24, 2026?: Dylan Cease punched out 8.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.