Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Wednesday, May 27, 2026)?

Cristopher Sánchez (PHI) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.5 K against SD. A 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Wednesday, May 27, 2026: Cristopher Sánchez (~6.5 K), Gavin Williams (~6.6 K), Shohei Ohtani (~6.0 K), Michael Soroka (~5.8 K), José Soriano (~5.8 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Wednesday, May 27, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Wednesday, May 27, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Results show how each call played out.

★★ Plays of the Day

Our highest-conviction strikeout calls — where our model diverges a high percentage from the book's line (lineups final, so the play is locked). To date this season, strikeout PODs are hitting at a 64% rate — a +15% return.

Δ1.9David SandlinFinal MIN @ CWSwe project 5.4 K vs the 3.5 lineOver 3.5-132✓

Δ1.5Shohei OhtaniFinal COL @ LADwe project 6.0 K vs the 7.5 lineUnder 7.5-110✓

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice — 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Final · 1–2

MIAaway

TORhomeTop matchup64 Final · 2–3

WSHaway

CLEhomeTop matchup98 Final · 1–2

STLaway

MILhomeTop matchup54 Final · 9–1

SEAaway

ATHhomeTop matchup69 Final · 3–2

AZaway

SFhomeTop matchup85 Final · 3–0

PHIaway

SDhomeTop matchup100 Final · 2–11

TBaway

BALhomeTop matchup53 Final · 0–4

LAAaway

DEThomeTop matchup83 Final · 10–4

CHCaway

PIThomeTop matchup78 Final · 0–8

ATLaway

BOShomeTop matchup61 Final · 2–4

CINaway

NYMhomeTop matchup30 Final · 2–15

MINaway

CWShomeTop matchup66 Final · 7–0

NYYaway

KChomeTop matchup60 Final · 4–3

HOUaway

TEXhomeTop matchup83 Final · 1–4

COLaway

LADhomeTop matchup87

Sort

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.1% K / BF

vs LHB29.0%

vs RHB24.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.7 BF

Expected batters faced25.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)24.1%3.0

2. Miguel Andujar (R)18.1%3.0

3. Gavin Sheets (L)20.1%3.0

4. Manny Machado (R)21.9%3.0

5. Xander Bogaerts (R)16.1%3.0

6. Ramón Laureano (R)24.1%3.0

7. Jackson Merrill (L)24.3%3.0

8. Nick Castellanos (R)24.4%2.7

9. Rodolfo Durán (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-130-105

BRBetRivers-136+102

BOVBovada-150+115

DKDraftKings-143+112

FANFanatics-145+110

FDFanDuel-152+114

We project 6.5 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate28.1% K / BF

vs LHB28.5%

vs RHB25.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.6 BF

Expected batters faced24.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)26.2%3.0

2. Andrés Chaparro (R)22.7%3.0

3. Curtis Mead (R)18.4%3.0

4. CJ Abrams (L)19.8%3.0

5. Daylen Lile (L)19.5%3.0

6. José Tena (L)28.6%3.0

7. Jorbit Vivas (L)19.0%2.6

8. Drew Millas (L)19.4%2.0

9. Jacob Young (R)17.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-115-115

BRBetRivers-132+100

BOVBovada-115-115

DKDraftKings-118-108

FANFanatics-115-115

FDFanDuel-106-114

We project 6.6 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

★★ Play of the Day

We're projecting 6.0 K, but the book line is 7.5 — so the play is Under 7.5.

Our highest-conviction strikeout calls, where our model diverges a high percentage from the book's line. To date this season, strikeout PODs are hitting at a 64% rate — a +15% return on the season.

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.6% K / BF

vs LHB25.5%

vs RHB26.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Chad Stevens (R)24.9%3.0

2. Tyler Freeman (R)14.1%3.0

3. TJ Rumfield (L)17.4%3.0

4. Hunter Goodman (R)27.4%3.0

5. Troy Johnston (L)21.7%3.0

6. Willi Castro (L)25.0%2.4

7. Ezequiel Tovar (R)21.4%2.0

8. Sterlin Thompson (L)22.0%2.0

9. Kyle Karros (R)22.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 7.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-120-110

BRBetRivers-109-122

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings-112-114

FDFanDuel+102-124

We project 6.0 K vs the 7.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.7% K / BF

vs LHB22.3%

vs RHB25.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Willy Adames (R)25.7%3.0

2. Luis Arraez (L)8.4%3.0

3. Casey Schmitt (R)22.5%3.0

4. Rafael Devers (L)27.4%3.0

5. Matt Chapman (R)23.2%3.0

6. Bryce Eldridge (L)23.2%2.4

7. Daniel Susac (R)25.8%2.0

8. Harrison Bader (R)26.6%2.0

9. Victor Bericoto (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers-162+120

BOVBovada-165+125

DKDraftKings-158+123

FDFanDuel-166+124

We project 5.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.9% K / BF

vs LHB22.8%

vs RHB26.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Matt Vierling (R)21.2%3.0

2. Kevin McGonigle (L)14.8%3.0

3. Dillon Dingler (R)22.3%3.0

4. Riley Greene (L)25.0%3.0

5. Zach McKinstry (L)17.9%3.0

6. Spencer Torkelson (R)29.6%2.6

7. Wenceel Pérez (L)19.9%2.0

8. Jahmai Jones (R)26.4%2.0

9. Hao-Yu Lee (R)23.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.