Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Thursday, May 28, 2026)?

Chris Sale (ATL) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.3 K against BOS. A 29% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Thursday, May 28, 2026: Chris Sale (~6.3 K), Jack Flaherty (~6.3 K), Payton Tolle (~5.6 K), Davis Martin (~5.8 K), Paul Skenes (~5.5 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Thursday, May 28, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Thursday, May 28, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Results show how each call played out.

★ Plays of the Day

No identified Plays of the Day on this slate — our model didn't find a strikeout disagreement with the book big enough to clear our edge threshold. The model still ran every matchup; it just didn't flag a play worth posting today. This season strikeout PODs are hitting 64% — a +15% return.

Final · 7–1

LAAaway

DEThomeTop matchup98 Final · 2–6

MINaway

CWShomeTop matchup76 Final · 10–2

ATLaway

BOShomeTop matchup100 Final · 2–1

TORaway

BALhomeTop matchup32 Final · 7–2

CHCaway

PIThomeTop matchup74 Final · 5–1

HOUaway

TEXhomeTop matchup63

Sort

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher strikeouts Rate28.6% K / BF

vs LHB28.0%

vs RHB27.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jarren Duran (L)22.1%3.0

2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)26.5%3.0

3. Wilyer Abreu (L)17.7%3.0

4. Willson Contreras (R)20.4%3.0

5. Andruw Monasterio (R)20.6%3.0

6. Marcelo Mayer (L)23.0%2.9

7. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)21.4%2.0

8. Carlos Narváez (R)19.9%2.0

9. Caleb Durbin (R)17.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 7.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-125

BRBetRivers-105-127

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings+107-136

FANFanatics+105-140

FDFanDuel+100-132

We project 6.3 K vs the 7.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.5% K / BF

vs LHB20.8%

vs RHB27.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness24.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)27.0%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)22.8%3.0

3. Vaughn Grissom (R)16.2%3.0

4. Jorge Soler (R)28.1%2.4

5. Jose Siri (R)26.9%2.0

6. Jo Adell (R)25.6%2.0

7. Oswald Peraza (R)23.9%2.0

8. Sebastián Rivero (R)24.1%2.0

9. Donovan Walton (L)23.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+110-150

BRBetRivers+117-157

BOVBovada+115-150

DKDraftKings+101-128

FANFanatics+105-140

FDFanDuel+118-144

We project 6.3 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.9% K / BF

vs LHB19.0%

vs RHB27.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)24.0%3.0

2. Mauricio Dubón (R)16.7%3.0

3. Matt Olson (L)21.8%3.0

4. Ozzie Albies (R)11.9%3.0

5. Austin Riley (R)27.9%3.0

6. Michael Harris II (L)22.3%2.1

7. Jorge Mateo (R)26.4%2.0

8. Dominic Smith (L)21.3%2.0

9. Chadwick Tromp (R)25.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+110-150

BRBetRivers-110-121

BOVBovada+100-130

DKDraftKings-106-120

FDFanDuel+102-124

We project 5.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.9% K / BF

vs LHB24.9%

vs RHB23.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Byron Buxton (R)23.9%3.0

2. Brooks Lee (L)17.8%3.0

3. Trevor Larnach (L)20.6%3.0

4. Kody Clemens (L)22.2%3.0

5. Josh Bell (L)22.1%3.0

6. Orlando Arcia (R)19.0%2.8

7. Victor Caratini (L)18.5%2.0

8. Tristan Gray (L)26.2%2.0

9. Ryan Kreidler (R)29.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers-117-114

BOVBovada-120-110

DKDraftKings-133+104

FANFanatics-125-105

FDFanDuel-112-108

We project 5.8 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.4% K / BF

vs LHB25.4%

vs RHB24.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)22.3%3.0

2. Nico Hoerner (R)11.8%3.0

3. Michael Busch (L)21.5%3.0

4. Alex Bregman (R)17.5%3.0

5. Ian Happ (L)27.9%2.8

6. Seiya Suzuki (R)26.7%2.0

7. Michael Conforto (L)24.7%2.0

8. Miguel Amaya (R)21.7%2.0

9. Dansby Swanson (R)21.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-125

BRBetRivers+102-137

BOVBovada-110-120

DKDraftKings-105-121

FDFanDuel+100-122

We project 5.5 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.7% K / BF

vs LHB23.9%

vs RHB23.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.7 BF

Expected batters faced24.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jeremy Peña (R)18.4%3.0

2. Yordan Alvarez (L)18.6%3.0

3. Isaac Paredes (R)17.9%3.0

4. Jake Meyers (R)22.5%3.0

5. Cam Smith (R)26.0%3.0

6. Braden Shewmake (L)18.7%3.0

7. Nick Allen (R)22.3%2.7

8. Brice Matthews (R)24.9%2.0

9. Christian Vázquez (R)18.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+110-150

BRBetRivers+117-157

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings+115-147

FDFanDuel+108-132

We project 5.5 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.6% K / BF

vs LHB23.8%

vs RHB21.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Justin Foscue (R)24.7%3.0

2. Sam Haggerty (L)22.4%3.0

3. Brandon Nimmo (L)20.7%3.0

4. Josh Jung (R)19.1%3.0

5. Evan Carter (L)21.3%3.0

6. Jake Burger (R)25.2%2.9

7. Ezequiel Duran (R)23.1%2.0

8. Kyle Higashioka (R)24.0%2.0

9. Nicky Lopez (L)20.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+115-155

BOVBovada+130-170

DKDraftKings+112-143

FANFanatics+115-150

FDFanDuel+116-154

We project 5.4 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.7% K / BF

vs LHB21.5%

vs RHB22.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Colt Keith (L)22.4%3.0

2. Kevin McGonigle (L)14.3%3.0

3. Dillon Dingler (R)21.5%3.0

4. Riley Greene (L)25.2%3.0

5. Spencer Torkelson (R)30.0%3.0

6. Zach McKinstry (L)18.3%2.0

7. Matt Vierling (R)21.2%2.0

8. Wenceel Pérez (L)19.6%2.0

9. Jahmai Jones (R)25.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+120-160

BOVBovada+130-170

DKDraftKings+123-157

FDFanDuel+130-174

We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.4% K / BF

vs LHB20.7%

vs RHB19.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Spencer Horwitz (L)17.2%3.0

2. Brandon Lowe (L)22.5%3.0

3. Bryan Reynolds (L)22.1%3.0

4. Oneil Cruz (L)29.9%3.0

5. Jhostynxon Garcia (R)23.2%3.0

6. Jake Mangum (L)20.3%2.2

7. Tyler Callihan (L)21.4%2.0

8. Jared Triolo (R)23.3%2.0

9. Henry Davis (R)21.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+125-165

BRBetRivers+115-152

BOVBovada+115-150

DKDraftKings+114-145

FANFanatics+115-150

FDFanDuel+114-148

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.9% K / BF

vs LHB22.4%

vs RHB19.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Taylor Ward (R)19.4%3.0

2. Gunnar Henderson (L)24.1%3.0

3. Adley Rutschman (R)18.1%3.0

4. Pete Alonso (R)22.3%3.0

5. Weston Wilson (R)24.3%2.1

6. Leody Taveras (R)22.5%2.0

7. Colton Cowser (L)25.9%2.0

8. Jackson Holliday (L)24.8%2.0

9. Blaze Alexander (R)22.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-165+125

BRBetRivers-159+120

BOVBovada-170+130

DKDraftKings-166+130

FDFanDuel-174+130

We project 4.6 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.9% K / BF

vs LHB18.5%

vs RHB20.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. George Springer (R)19.6%3.0

2. Nathan Lukes (L)18.8%3.0

3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)14.0%3.0

4. Daulton Varsho (L)22.3%3.0

5. Kazuma Okamoto (R)32.7%2.9

6. Yohendrick Piñango (L)22.0%2.0

7. Ernie Clement (R)13.4%2.0

8. Andrés Giménez (L)21.4%2.0

9. Brandon Valenzuela (L)21.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-160+120

BRBetRivers-175+128

BOVBovada-180+135

DKDraftKings-154+121

FDFanDuel-170+138

We project 4.2 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate15.7% K / BF

vs LHB18.1%

vs RHB15.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.6 BF

Expected batters faced20.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Sam Antonacci (L)15.9%3.0

2. Munetaka Murakami (L)25.4%3.0

3. Miguel Vargas (R)19.6%2.6

4. Colson Montgomery (L)27.6%2.0

5. Chase Meidroth (R)20.2%2.0

6. Tristan Peters (L)20.6%2.0

7. Randal Grichuk (R)19.4%2.0

8. Derek Hill (R)25.1%2.0

9. Edgar Quero (L)23.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-110-120

We project 3.5 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Thursday, May 28, 2026

Chris Sale (ATL) is the top strikeout start on the Thursday, May 28, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 6.3 K, with Jack Flaherty (DET) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Chris Sale

Chris Sale (ATL) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 6.3 K against BOS. He's missing bats at a 29% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and BOS has been around league average, going down 21% of the time. He's lined up for about 24 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Jack Flaherty (DET) (98) — about 6.3 K vs LAA: a 24% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.
Payton Tolle (BOS) (78) — about 5.6 K vs ATL: a 25% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Davis Martin (CWS) (76) — about 5.8 K vs MIN: a 25% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Paul Skenes (PIT) (74) — about 5.5 K vs CHC: a 25% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) (63) — about 5.5 K vs HOU: a 24% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

LAA is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Jack Flaherty is the arm to exploit it (98).
BAL is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Patrick Corbin is the arm to exploit it (32).
PIT is striking out 22% of the time in this spot — Colin Rea is the arm to exploit it (40).
TEX is striking out 22% of the time in this spot — Spencer Arrighetti is the arm to exploit it (56).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 6.2 strikeouts. Top play Chris Sale punched out 8. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) weighs his strikeout ability against every hitter in the lineup, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Higher means more whiffs point his way. The exact weighting is our own — we project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Thursday, May 28, 2026)?: Chris Sale (ATL) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.3 K against BOS. A 29% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Thursday, May 28, 2026: Chris Sale (~6.3 K), Jack Flaherty (~6.3 K), Payton Tolle (~5.6 K), Davis Martin (~5.8 K), Paul Skenes (~5.5 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Thursday, May 28, 2026?: Chris Sale punched out 8.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Thursday, May 28, 2026

★ Plays of the Day

Pitcher strikeouts Rate28.6% K / BF

Workload23.9 BF

Projection6.3 K

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.0% avg

Strikeout Line · O/U 7.5we lean Under

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.5% K / BF

Workload21.4 BF

Projection6.3 K

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness24.3% avg

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.9% K / BF

Workload23.1 BF

Projection5.6 K

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.9% avg

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.9% K / BF

Workload23.8 BF

Projection5.8 K

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.2% avg

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.4% K / BF

Workload22.8 BF

Projection5.5 K

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.7% avg

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.7% K / BF

Workload24.7 BF

Projection5.5 K

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.8% avg

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.6% K / BF

Workload23.9 BF

Projection5.4 K

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.7% K / BF

Workload23.0 BF

Projection5.1 K

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.0% avg

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.4% K / BF

Workload23.2 BF

Projection4.8 K

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.4% avg

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.9% K / BF

Workload22.1 BF

Projection4.6 K

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.7% avg

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.9% K / BF

Workload22.9 BF

Projection4.2 K

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.6% avg

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

Pitcher strikeouts Rate15.7% K / BF

Workload20.6 BF

Projection3.5 K

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.9% avg

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

How the board graded

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Thursday, May 28, 2026

Top strikeout spot: Chris Sale

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