Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Tuesday, May 26, 2026)?

Joe Ryan (MIN) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.0 K against CWS. A 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Tuesday, May 26, 2026: Joe Ryan (~6.0 K), Cam Schlittler (~6.5 K), Chase Burns (~6.1 K), Jack Leiter (~6.2 K), Kyle Harrison (~5.3 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Tuesday, May 26, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Tuesday, May 26, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Results show how each call played out.

★ Plays of the Day

No identified Plays of the Day on this slate — our model didn't find a strikeout disagreement with the book big enough to clear our edge threshold. The model still ran every matchup; it just didn't flag a play worth posting today. This season strikeout PODs are hitting 64% — a +15% return.

Final · 6–3

WSHaway

CLEhomeTop matchup55 Final · 1–6

TBaway

BALhomeTop matchup32 Final · 10–6

LAAaway

DEThomeTop matchup46 Final · 1–12

CHCaway

PIThomeTop matchup23 Final · 7–6

ATLaway

BOShomeTop matchup65 Final · 1–8

MIAaway

TORhomeTop matchup36 Final · 7–2

CINaway

NYMhomeTop matchup99 Final · 5–3

MINaway

CWShomeTop matchup100 Final · 15–1

NYYaway

KChomeTop matchup99 Final · 0–6

STLaway

MILhomeTop matchup78 Final · 7–10

HOUaway

TEXhomeTop matchup89 Final · 4–1

SEAaway

ATHhomeTop matchup61 Final · 4–3

PHIaway

SDhomeTop matchup58 Final · 7–5

AZaway

SFhomeTop matchup43 Final · 6–15

COLaway

LADhomeTop matchup22

Sort

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.4% K / BF

vs LHB22.6%

vs RHB29.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)23.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.8 BF

Expected batters faced21.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Edgar Quero (L)24.1%3.0

2. Munetaka Murakami (L)26.2%3.0

3. Miguel Vargas (R)18.9%3.0

4. Colson Montgomery (L)26.8%2.8

5. Chase Meidroth (R)20.6%2.0

6. Randal Grichuk (R)20.2%2.0

7. Derek Hill (R)25.4%2.0

8. Luisangel Acuña (R)23.6%2.0

9. Rikuu Nishida (L)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+130-175

BRBetRivers+120-162

BOVBovada+140-185

FDFanDuel+138-186

We project 6.0 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.7% K / BF

vs LHB29.2%

vs RHB23.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.7 BF

Expected batters faced23.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Starling Marte (R)22.4%3.0

2. Tyler Tolbert (R)22.7%3.0

3. Michael Massey (L)17.4%3.0

4. Isaac Collins (L)24.9%3.0

5. Carter Jensen (L)26.1%3.0

6. Lane Thomas (R)27.3%2.7

7. Jac Caglianone (L)24.6%2.0

8. Nick Loftin (R)17.3%2.0

9. Kyle Isbel (L)22.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers-148+110

BOVBovada-165+125

DKDraftKings-153+120

FANFanatics-165+125

FDFanDuel-154+116

We project 6.5 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate28.4% K / BF

vs LHB27.6%

vs RHB26.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Carson Benge (L)20.3%3.0

2. Bo Bichette (R)20.0%3.0

3. Juan Soto (L)18.0%3.0

4. A.J. Ewing (L)26.7%3.0

5. Mark Vientos (R)21.7%3.0

6. Eric Wagaman (R)20.2%2.0

7. Marcus Semien (R)19.0%2.0

8. MJ Melendez (L)27.6%2.0

9. Luis Torrens (R)21.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-125-105

BRBetRivers-122-109

BOVBovada-130+100

DKDraftKings-138+108

FANFanatics-140+105

FDFanDuel-122-108

We project 6.1 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.3% K / BF

vs LHB20.3%

vs RHB26.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jeremy Peña (R)19.9%3.0

2. Isaac Paredes (R)18.6%3.0

3. Yordan Alvarez (L)18.7%3.0

4. Christian Walker (R)23.1%3.0

5. Jake Meyers (R)22.5%3.0

6. Cam Smith (R)26.5%2.6

7. Zach Dezenzo (R)28.7%2.0

8. Brice Matthews (R)26.7%2.0

9. Nick Allen (R)22.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-130-105

BRBetRivers-110-121

BOVBovada-110-120

DKDraftKings-116-110

FANFanatics-115-115

FDFanDuel-104-118

We project 6.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate29.6% K / BF

vs LHB24.3%

vs RHB29.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.7 BF

Expected batters faced21.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. JJ Wetherholt (L)19.1%3.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)17.6%3.0

3. Jordan Walker (R)23.9%3.0

4. Alec Burleson (L)19.0%2.7

5. José Fermín (R)20.4%2.0

6. Masyn Winn (R)17.5%2.0

7. Bryan Torres (L)20.8%2.0

8. Nolan Gorman (L)22.9%2.0

9. Victor Scott II (L)20.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers-110-121

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings-106-121

FDFanDuel+110-134

We project 5.3 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.1% K / BF

vs LHB25.8%

vs RHB25.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jarren Duran (L)27.5%3.0

2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)19.3%3.0

3. Wilyer Abreu (L)23.7%3.0

4. Willson Contreras (R)24.4%3.0

5. Masataka Yoshida (L)13.4%2.2

6. Mickey Gasper (L)22.2%2.0

7. Nick Sogard (L)21.5%2.0

8. Andruw Monasterio (R)22.1%2.0

9. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)17.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BRBetRivers-155+115

BOVBovada-130+100

DKDraftKings-151+118

FDFanDuel-130-102

We project 5.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.1% K / BF

vs LHB23.3%

vs RHB22.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Henry Bolte (R)20.2%3.0

2. Nick Kurtz (L)25.0%3.0

3. Shea Langeliers (R)20.8%3.0

4. Brent Rooker (R)26.5%3.0

5. Tyler Soderstrom (L)17.8%3.0

6. Alika Williams (R)22.6%2.1

7. Zack Gelof (R)26.4%2.0

8. Lawrence Butler (L)25.1%2.0

9. Darell Hernaiz (R)18.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-110-120

BRBetRivers-110-121

BOVBovada+100-130

DKDraftKings-103-124

FANFanatics+100-130

FDFanDuel+100-132

We project 5.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.9% K / BF

vs LHB21.8%

vs RHB22.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)19.4%3.0

2. Xander Bogaerts (R)20.8%3.0

3. Bryce Johnson (L)24.2%3.0

4. Manny Machado (R)22.8%3.0

5. Miguel Andujar (R)18.0%2.6

6. Jackson Merrill (L)23.8%2.0

7. Ty France (R)20.4%2.0

8. Ramón Laureano (R)29.4%2.0

9. Rodolfo Durán (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+110-150

BRBetRivers+128-175

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+104-133

FDFanDuel+122-162

We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.9% K / BF

vs LHB26.1%

vs RHB22.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Travis Bazzana (L)18.5%3.0

2. José Ramírez (L)17.8%3.0

3. Chase DeLauter (L)15.7%3.0

4. Kyle Manzardo (L)29.1%3.0

5. Petey Halpin (L)22.4%2.8

6. Angel Martínez (L)21.3%2.0

7. Steven Kwan (L)13.4%2.0

8. David Fry (R)21.9%2.0

9. Brayan Rocchio (L)17.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-150+110

BRBetRivers-134+102

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-143+112

FDFanDuel-138+104

We project 5.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.6% K / BF

vs LHB21.7%

vs RHB21.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Byron Buxton (R)24.6%3.0

2. Brooks Lee (L)17.9%3.0

3. Josh Bell (L)22.0%3.0

4. Kody Clemens (L)22.5%3.0

5. Austin Martin (R)21.0%2.9

6. Victor Caratini (L)18.1%2.0

7. Ryan Kreidler (R)29.8%2.0

8. Luke Keaschall (R)18.2%2.0

9. James Outman (L)28.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-120-110

BRBetRivers-121-110

BOVBovada-145+110

DKDraftKings-127-101

FANFanatics-125-105

FDFanDuel-130+106

We project 5.0 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.0% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. J.P. Crawford (L)16.5%3.0

2. Julio Rodríguez (R)20.9%3.0

3. Randy Arozarena (R)23.7%3.0

4. Josh Naylor (L)19.7%3.0

5. Rob Refsnyder (R)27.8%3.0

6. Mitch Garver (R)23.7%2.0

7. Cole Young (L)21.9%2.0

8. Luke Raley (L)24.4%2.0

9. Colt Emerson (L)21.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate16.9% K / BF

vs LHB16.4%

vs RHB20.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness24.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)27.5%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)22.4%3.0

3. Vaughn Grissom (R)16.8%3.0

4. Jorge Soler (R)27.4%3.0

5. Jose Siri (R)26.8%2.7

6. Jo Adell (R)24.5%2.0

7. Oswald Peraza (R)22.9%2.0

8. Donovan Walton (L)23.2%2.0

9. Logan O'Hoppe (R)27.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-140

BRBetRivers+118-159

BOVBovada+115-150

DKDraftKings-104-123

FDFanDuel+118-144

We project 5.0 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.9% K / BF

vs LHB24.5%

vs RHB20.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ketel Marte (L)15.8%3.0

2. Corbin Carroll (L)23.2%3.0

3. Geraldo Perdomo (L)16.0%3.0

4. Jose Fernandez (R)22.9%3.0

5. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)29.1%3.0

6. Ildemaro Vargas (L)13.9%2.3

7. Gabriel Moreno (R)20.2%2.0

8. Tim Tawa (R)23.9%2.0

9. Jorge Barrosa (L)28.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-145

BRBetRivers+117-157

BOVBovada+115-150

DKDraftKings+106-136

FANFanatics+100-130

FDFanDuel+116-142

We project 5.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.2% K / BF

vs LHB25.8%

vs RHB21.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)22.5%3.0

2. Mauricio Dubón (R)17.5%3.0

3. Matt Olson (L)22.9%3.0

4. Ozzie Albies (R)12.7%3.0

5. Austin Riley (R)26.5%2.0

6. Mike Yastrzemski (L)26.1%2.0

7. Michael Harris II (L)22.1%2.0

8. Ha-Seong Kim (R)21.9%2.0

9. Chadwick Tromp (R)24.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-140

BRBetRivers-112-120

BOVBovada-115-115

DKDraftKings-114-112

FANFanatics-115-115

FDFanDuel-108-112

We project 4.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.8% K / BF

vs LHB19.6%

vs RHB20.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.1 BF

Expected batters faced24.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Willy Adames (R)24.3%3.0

2. Casey Schmitt (R)19.6%3.0

3. Matt Chapman (R)22.3%3.0

4. Rafael Devers (L)24.2%3.0

5. Harrison Bader (R)21.9%3.0

6. Will Brennan (L)21.3%3.0

7. Bryce Eldridge (L)25.2%2.1

8. Luis Arraez (L)13.7%2.0

9. Drew Gilbert (L)25.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers-124-107

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-148+116

FDFanDuel-138+104

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.3% K / BF

vs LHB22.4%

vs RHB22.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)26.3%3.0

2. Curtis Mead (R)20.6%3.0

3. Andrés Chaparro (R)21.1%3.0

4. CJ Abrams (L)23.2%3.0

5. Dylan Crews (R)21.4%2.3

6. Daylen Lile (L)20.4%2.0

7. Jacob Young (R)20.3%2.0

8. Nasim Nuñez (R)21.5%2.0

9. Keibert Ruiz (R)18.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers-180+135

BOVBovada-170+130

FANFanatics-160+120

FDFanDuel-162+132

We project 4.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.5% K / BF

vs LHB17.7%

vs RHB20.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.4 BF

Expected batters faced24.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. George Springer (R)20.6%3.0

2. Daulton Varsho (L)22.3%3.0

3. Jesús Sánchez (L)21.2%3.0

4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)32.4%3.0

5. Yohendrick Piñango (L)22.0%3.0

6. Ernie Clement (R)13.5%3.0

7. Andrés Giménez (L)22.5%2.4

8. Brandon Valenzuela (L)21.5%2.0

9. Lenyn Sosa (R)20.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+125-165

BRBetRivers+120-159

BOVBovada+125-165

DKDraftKings+115-147

FANFanatics+115-150

FDFanDuel+124-166

We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.6% K / BF

vs LHB21.2%

vs RHB20.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Chandler Simpson (L)14.5%3.0

2. Junior Caminero (R)20.5%3.0

3. Jonathan Aranda (L)22.3%3.0

4. Yandy Díaz (R)14.4%3.0

5. Ryan Vilade (R)20.0%3.0

6. Cedric Mullins (L)20.7%3.0

7. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)21.4%2.3

8. Hunter Feduccia (L)25.5%2.0

9. Oliver Dunn (L)23.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-145+105

BRBetRivers-120-110

BOVBovada-125-105

DKDraftKings-124-103

FDFanDuel-122+100

We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.9% K / BF

vs LHB19.1%

vs RHB22.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Joc Pederson (L)21.7%3.0

2. Alejandro Osuna (L)17.2%3.0

3. Brandon Nimmo (L)21.4%3.0

4. Josh Jung (R)19.7%2.9

5. Jake Burger (R)24.2%2.0

6. Evan Carter (L)20.8%2.0

7. Ezequiel Duran (R)22.7%2.0

8. Justin Foscue (R)25.3%2.0

9. Kyle Higashioka (R)25.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BRBetRivers-139+104

BOVBovada-130+100

DKDraftKings-134+105

FDFanDuel-130-102

We project 4.5 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.6% K / BF

vs LHB17.7%

vs RHB19.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Kyle Schwarber (L)31.7%3.0

2. Trea Turner (R)23.5%3.0

3. Bryce Harper (L)20.3%3.0

4. Adolis García (R)30.5%3.0

5. Alec Bohm (R)16.6%2.6

6. Bryson Stott (L)19.6%2.0

7. J.T. Realmuto (R)21.0%2.0

8. Justin Crawford (L)20.5%2.0

9. Edmundo Sosa (R)23.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers-165+123

BOVBovada-160+120

FANFanatics-165+125

FDFanDuel-150+122

We project 4.5 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.8% K / BF

vs LHB19.5%

vs RHB19.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Kevin Alcántara (R)22.6%3.0

2. Nico Hoerner (R)11.3%3.0

3. Michael Busch (L)21.4%3.0

4. Pedro Ramírez (L)22.0%3.0

5. Ian Happ (L)29.5%3.0

6. Seiya Suzuki (R)26.9%2.3

7. Moisés Ballesteros (L)20.0%2.0

8. Carson Kelly (R)20.8%2.0

9. Dansby Swanson (R)21.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.1% K / BF

vs LHB18.9%

vs RHB18.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.4 BF

Expected batters faced24.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Kevin McGonigle (L)15.3%3.0

2. Dillon Dingler (R)22.2%3.0

3. Riley Greene (L)24.2%3.0

4. Jahmai Jones (R)25.6%3.0

5. Spencer Torkelson (R)28.4%3.0

6. Zach McKinstry (L)18.3%3.0

7. Hao-Yu Lee (R)22.2%2.4

8. Matt Vierling (R)20.9%2.0

9. Wenceel Pérez (L)20.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-120-110

BRBetRivers-106-127

BOVBovada-110-120

DKDraftKings-121-106

FANFanatics-120-110

FDFanDuel-118-112

We project 4.5 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.8% K / BF

vs LHB20.6%

vs RHB18.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.6 BF

Expected batters faced21.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Sterlin Thompson (L)22.0%3.0

2. Tyler Freeman (R)21.0%3.0

3. Ezequiel Tovar (R)26.6%3.0

4. Brett Sullivan (L)22.1%2.6

5. Braxton Fulford (R)24.0%2.0

6. Jake McCarthy (L)19.3%2.0

7. Kyle Karros (R)23.7%2.0

8. Troy Johnston (L)19.9%2.0

9. Chad Stevens (R)23.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.9% K / BF

vs LHB22.9%

vs RHB23.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload16.9 BF

Expected batters faced16.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Taylor Ward (R)24.4%2.0

2. Gunnar Henderson (L)24.1%2.0

3. Pete Alonso (R)22.7%2.0

4. Samuel Basallo (L)23.4%2.0

5. Leody Taveras (L)21.9%2.0

6. Jeremiah Jackson (R)19.5%2.0

7. Colton Cowser (L)28.3%2.0

8. Blaze Alexander (R)25.8%1.9

9. Jackson Holliday (L)22.6%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers+125-167

BOVBovada+120-160

FANFanatics+120-160

FDFanDuel+122-162

We project 4.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.2% K / BF

vs LHB18.3%

vs RHB17.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Konnor Griffin (R)25.3%3.0

2. Jared Triolo (R)22.5%3.0

3. Jhostynxon Garcia (R)24.0%3.0

4. Nick Gonzales (R)22.4%3.0

5. Jake Mangum (R)19.9%3.0

6. Marcell Ozuna (R)27.9%2.0

7. Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.0%2.0

8. Spencer Horwitz (L)18.8%2.0

9. Henry Davis (R)21.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-165+125

BRBetRivers-148+110

BOVBovada-160+120

FDFanDuel-158+118

We project 4.3 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.4% K / BF

vs LHB20.0%

vs RHB20.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Max Muncy (L)24.1%3.0

2. Andy Pages (R)22.9%3.0

3. Freddie Freeman (L)22.7%3.0

4. Mookie Betts (R)17.9%2.4

5. Kyle Tucker (L)17.7%2.0

6. Alex Call (R)18.1%2.0

7. Will Smith (R)21.2%2.0

8. Miguel Rojas (R)16.8%2.0

9. Hyeseong Kim (L)25.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-125-105

BRBetRivers-134+100

BOVBovada-130+100

DKDraftKings-128+100

FANFanatics-130+100

FDFanDuel-130-102

We project 4.1 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate16.7% K / BF

vs LHB16.8%

vs RHB19.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Christian Yelich (L)27.2%3.0

2. Jackson Chourio (R)23.9%3.0

3. Brice Turang (L)21.1%3.0

4. William Contreras (R)15.0%3.0

5. Jake Bauers (L)23.5%2.5

6. Garrett Mitchell (L)29.1%2.0

7. Luis Rengifo (L)15.1%2.0

8. Sal Frelick (L)14.9%2.0

9. David Hamilton (L)20.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-120-110

BRBetRivers-122-109

BOVBovada-130+100

DKDraftKings-124-102

FANFanatics-130+100

FDFanDuel-122-108

We project 3.8 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.1% K / BF

vs LHB28.4%

vs RHB17.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.1 BF

Expected batters faced21.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Blake Dunn (R)24.7%3.0

2. Elly De La Cruz (R)26.8%3.0

3. Sal Stewart (R)20.6%3.0

4. Spencer Steer (R)17.9%2.1

5. Eugenio Suárez (R)28.5%2.0

6. Dane Myers (R)25.4%2.0

7. JJ Bleday (L)22.4%2.0

8. Tyler Stephenson (R)21.1%2.0

9. Matt McLain (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers-148+110

BOVBovada-150+115

DKDraftKings-161+126

FDFanDuel-148+120

We project 4.2 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.1% K / BF

vs LHB18.6%

vs RHB19.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.8 BF

Expected batters faced18.8

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Trent Grisham (L)23.7%2.8

2. Max Schuemann (R)20.8%2.0

3. José Caballero (R)26.3%2.0

4. Paul Goldschmidt (R)19.4%2.0

5. Ben Rice (L)23.9%2.0

6. Amed Rosario (R)19.8%2.0

7. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)25.6%2.0

8. Anthony Volpe (R)19.1%2.0

9. Austin Wells (L)24.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.4% K / BF

vs LHB27.5%

vs RHB23.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.7 BF

Expected batters faced13.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Graham Pauley (L)23.6%2.0

2. Liam Hicks (L)12.1%2.0

3. Otto Lopez (R)18.1%2.0

4. Kyle Stowers (L)26.2%2.0

5. Connor Norby (R)25.3%1.7

6. Jakob Marsee (L)20.2%1.0

7. Heriberto Hernández (R)21.7%1.0

8. Joe Mack (L)22.0%1.0

9. Javier Sanoja (R)15.9%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Tuesday, May 26, 2026

Joe Ryan (MIN) is the top strikeout start on the Tuesday, May 26, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 6.0 K, with Cam Schlittler (NYY) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Joe Ryan

Joe Ryan (MIN) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 6.0 K against CWS. He's missing bats at a 27% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and CWS has been whiff-prone, going down 23% of the time. He's lined up for about 22 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Cam Schlittler (NYY) (99) — about 6.5 K vs KC: a 28% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
Chase Burns (CIN) (99) — about 6.1 K vs NYM: a 28% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Jack Leiter (TEX) (89) — about 6.2 K vs HOU: a 23% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
Kyle Harrison (MIL) (78) — about 5.3 K vs STL: a 30% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 20% of the time.
Spencer Strider (ATL) (65) — about 5.6 K vs BOS: a 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

LAA is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Keider Montero is the arm to exploit it (46).
BAL is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Griffin Jax is the arm to exploit it (18).
CIN is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — David Peterson is the arm to exploit it (10).
CWS is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Joe Ryan is the arm to exploit it (100).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 5.7 strikeouts. Top play Joe Ryan punched out 9. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) weighs his strikeout ability against every hitter in the lineup, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Higher means more whiffs point his way. The exact weighting is our own — we project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Tuesday, May 26, 2026)?: Joe Ryan (MIN) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.0 K against CWS. A 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Tuesday, May 26, 2026: Joe Ryan (~6.0 K), Cam Schlittler (~6.5 K), Chase Burns (~6.1 K), Jack Leiter (~6.2 K), Kyle Harrison (~5.3 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Tuesday, May 26, 2026?: Joe Ryan punched out 9.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.