Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Friday, May 29, 2026)?

Taj Bradley (MIN) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.2 K against PIT. A 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Friday, May 29, 2026: Taj Bradley (~6.2 K), Carlos Rodón (~6.1 K), Max Meyer (~6.1 K), Luis Severino (~5.6 K), Zack Wheeler (~5.2 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Friday, May 29, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Friday, May 29, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Results show how each call played out.

★★ Plays of the Day

Our highest-conviction strikeout calls — where our model diverges a high percentage from the book's line (lineups final, so the play is locked). To date this season, strikeout PODs are hitting at a 64% rate — a +15% return.

Δ1.6Coleman CrowFinal MIL @ HOUwe project 5.1 K vs the 3.5 lineOver 3.5-140✗

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice — 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Final · 8–3

ATLaway

CINhomeTop matchup73 Final · 7–5

SDaway

WSHhomeTop matchup30 Final · 5–6

MINaway

PIThomeTop matchup100 Final · 6–5

TORaway

BALhomeTop matchup23 Final · 3–4

BOSaway

CLEhomeTop matchup42 Final · 5–8

LAAaway

TBhomeTop matchup42 Final · 7–9

MIAaway

NYMhomeTop matchup93 Final · 5–6

CHCaway

STLhomeTop matchup70 Final · 3–4

DETaway

CWShomeTop matchup56 Final · 1–9

KCaway

TEXhomeTop matchup82 Final · 5–4

MILaway

HOUhomeTop matchup67 Final · 6–8

SFaway

COLhomeTop matchup78 Final · 8–2

NYYaway

ATHhomeTop matchup96 Final · 6–7

AZaway

SEAhomeTop matchup74 Final · 2–4

PHIaway

LADhomeTop matchup87

Sort

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.8% K / BF

vs LHB26.8%

vs RHB22.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Tyler Callihan (L)21.1%3.0

2. Brandon Lowe (L)23.4%3.0

3. Bryan Reynolds (L)21.8%3.0

4. Nick Gonzales (R)18.3%3.0

5. Oneil Cruz (L)29.1%3.0

6. Konnor Griffin (R)23.5%2.9

7. Endy Rodríguez (L)21.8%2.0

8. Jake Mangum (L)19.8%2.0

9. Jared Triolo (R)23.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-130-105

BRBetRivers-136+102

BOVBovada-150+115

DKDraftKings-143+112

FANFanatics-140+105

FDFanDuel-132+100

We project 6.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.5% K / BF

vs LHB22.4%

vs RHB27.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Lawrence Butler (L)25.0%3.0

2. Nick Kurtz (L)28.5%3.0

3. Shea Langeliers (R)22.1%3.0

4. Brent Rooker (R)26.1%3.0

5. Tyler Soderstrom (L)25.0%2.1

6. Henry Bolte (R)24.6%2.0

7. Zack Gelof (R)23.8%2.0

8. Jeff McNeil (L)18.5%2.0

9. Alika Williams (R)21.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+125-165

BRBetRivers+115-155

BOVBovada+130-170

DKDraftKings+117-149

FDFanDuel+124-166

We project 6.1 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.5% K / BF

vs LHB27.7%

vs RHB21.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Carson Benge (L)20.7%3.0

2. Vidal Bruján (L)20.9%3.0

3. Juan Soto (L)18.6%3.0

4. MJ Melendez (L)27.0%3.0

5. A.J. Ewing (L)26.8%2.9

6. Mark Vientos (R)21.4%2.0

7. Brett Baty (L)24.3%2.0

8. Marcus Semien (R)19.4%2.0

9. Luis Torrens (R)21.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-145+105

BRBetRivers-150+112

BOVBovada-165+125

DKDraftKings-158+123

FDFanDuel-154+116

We project 6.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.3% K / BF

vs LHB22.1%

vs RHB24.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Trent Grisham (L)19.9%3.0

2. Ben Rice (L)20.7%3.0

3. Aaron Judge (R)25.0%3.0

4. Cody Bellinger (L)17.3%3.0

5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)25.2%3.0

6. Paul Goldschmidt (R)22.1%3.0

7. Ryan McMahon (L)28.3%2.3

8. J.C. Escarra (L)21.4%2.0

9. José Caballero (R)17.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-140

BRBetRivers+120-162

BOVBovada+115-150

DKDraftKings+117-150

FANFanatics+115-150

FDFanDuel+120-148

We project 5.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.2% K / BF

vs LHB25.7%

vs RHB25.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Shohei Ohtani (L)21.6%3.0

2. Andy Pages (R)19.4%3.0

3. Freddie Freeman (L)19.2%3.0

4. Mookie Betts (R)15.8%3.0

5. Kyle Tucker (L)19.6%3.0

6. Max Muncy (L)24.9%2.2

7. Will Smith (R)17.9%2.0

8. Alex Call (R)19.9%2.0

9. Miguel Rojas (R)16.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers+123-165

BOVBovada+135-180

FDFanDuel+136-182

We project 5.2 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.6% K / BF

vs LHB21.7%

vs RHB26.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Lane Thomas (R)18.1%3.0

2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)16.8%3.0

3. Maikel Garcia (R)16.9%3.0

4. Salvador Perez (R)19.4%3.0

5. Starling Marte (R)23.2%2.1

6. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)25.9%2.0

7. Nick Loftin (R)19.9%2.0

8. Jac Caglianone (L)26.7%2.0

9. Kyle Isbel (L)23.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+125-165

BRBetRivers+125-167

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+115-147

FANFanatics+115-150

FDFanDuel+118-144

We project 5.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.4% K / BF

vs LHB20.7%

vs RHB22.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.5 BF

Expected batters faced24.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jake McCarthy (L)20.4%3.0

2. Tyler Freeman (R)13.9%3.0

3. TJ Rumfield (L)17.4%3.0

4. Hunter Goodman (R)26.2%3.0

5. Troy Johnston (L)21.3%3.0

6. Willi Castro (L)25.7%3.0

7. Ezequiel Tovar (R)21.6%2.5

8. Edouard Julien (L)26.3%2.0

9. Chad Stevens (R)24.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-115-115

BOVBovada+100-130

DKDraftKings+101-128

FDFanDuel+100-132

We project 5.2 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.1% K / BF

vs LHB23.1%

vs RHB24.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Xavier Edwards (L)14.8%3.0

2. Liam Hicks (L)12.6%3.0

3. Otto Lopez (R)17.0%3.0

4. Kyle Stowers (L)27.1%3.0

5. Jakob Marsee (L)20.6%3.0

6. Connor Norby (R)25.5%2.9

7. Owen Caissie (L)32.5%2.0

8. Javier Sanoja (R)15.3%2.0

9. Joe Mack (L)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-110-120

BRBetRivers-112-120

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings-102-126

FANFanatics-110-120

FDFanDuel+104-128

We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.2% K / BF

vs LHB25.8%

vs RHB20.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Byron Buxton (R)24.7%3.0

2. Brooks Lee (L)17.2%3.0

3. Kody Clemens (L)22.6%3.0

4. James Outman (L)30.8%3.0

5. Trevor Larnach (L)20.7%3.0

6. Austin Martin (R)20.2%2.0

7. Victor Caratini (L)18.1%2.0

8. Luke Keaschall (R)16.8%2.0

9. Ryan Kreidler (R)29.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers-148+110

BOVBovada-160+120

DKDraftKings-154+121

FDFanDuel-140+114

We project 5.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.7% K / BF

vs LHB19.1%

vs RHB23.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ketel Marte (L)16.0%3.0

2. Corbin Carroll (L)23.5%3.0

3. Geraldo Perdomo (L)16.3%3.0

4. Gabriel Moreno (R)19.9%3.0

5. Tim Tawa (R)24.1%3.0

6. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)30.3%3.0

7. Ildemaro Vargas (L)14.2%2.3

8. Jose Fernandez (R)23.0%2.0

9. Tommy Troy (R)19.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-125

BRBetRivers+100-134

BOVBovada+110-145

DKDraftKings+115-147

FANFanatics+100-130

FDFanDuel+114-140

We project 4.9 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.7% K / BF

vs LHB24.8%

vs RHB20.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Blake Dunn (R)21.5%3.0

2. Elly De La Cruz (L)26.8%3.0

3. JJ Bleday (L)19.9%3.0

4. Sal Stewart (R)21.3%3.0

5. Eugenio Suárez (R)23.7%2.8

6. Nathaniel Lowe (L)22.0%2.0

7. Spencer Steer (R)22.0%2.0

8. Tyler Stephenson (R)27.1%2.0

9. Will Benson (L)27.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-125-105

BRBetRivers-107-125

BOVBovada-115-115

DKDraftKings-111-115

FDFanDuel-108-122

We project 5.5 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.5% K / BF

vs LHB24.5%

vs RHB21.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.1 BF

Expected batters faced24.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. JJ Wetherholt (L)17.9%3.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)18.0%3.0

3. Jordan Walker (R)22.5%3.0

4. Nelson Velázquez (R)21.5%3.0

5. Alec Burleson (L)17.8%3.0

6. Masyn Winn (R)18.3%3.0

7. José Fermín (R)20.1%2.1

8. Nolan Gorman (L)24.0%2.0

9. Victor Scott II (L)20.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-155+115

BRBetRivers-159+120

DKDraftKings-165+129

FANFanatics-165+125

We project 5.0 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

★★ Play of the Day

We're projecting 5.1 K, but the book line is 3.5 — so the play is Over 3.5.

Our highest-conviction strikeout calls, where our model diverges a high percentage from the book's line. To date this season, strikeout PODs are hitting at a 64% rate — a +15% return on the season.

Purely a research signal based on this season and our model, which is continuously tuned throughout the season. Not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.0% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Brice Matthews (R)25.9%3.0

2. Zach Dezenzo (R)28.7%3.0

3. Yordan Alvarez (L)19.0%3.0

4. Christian Walker (R)22.3%3.0

5. Cam Smith (R)25.4%2.4

6. Jeremy Peña (R)17.8%2.0

7. Jake Meyers (R)22.5%2.0

8. Nick Allen (R)22.0%2.0

9. Christian Vázquez (R)18.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-140+105

BOVBovada-165+125

FDFanDuel-166+124

We project 5.1 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.5% K / BF

vs LHB21.0%

vs RHB19.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Sam Antonacci (L)16.6%3.0

2. Derek Hill (R)26.1%3.0

3. Miguel Vargas (R)20.4%3.0

4. Colson Montgomery (L)27.7%3.0

5. Chase Meidroth (R)20.6%2.9

6. Andrew Benintendi (L)22.8%2.0

7. Tristan Peters (L)19.5%2.0

8. Rikuu Nishida (L)22.0%2.0

9. Drew Romo (L)25.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers+132-177

BOVBovada+125-165

FANFanatics+130-170

FDFanDuel+124-166

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.2% K / BF

vs LHB17.6%

vs RHB23.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. J.P. Crawford (L)22.4%3.0

2. Julio Rodríguez (R)20.6%3.0

3. Josh Naylor (L)15.4%3.0

4. Randy Arozarena (R)22.3%3.0

5. Victor Robles (R)20.4%2.6

6. Cole Young (L)19.9%2.0

7. Rob Refsnyder (R)24.4%2.0

8. Mitch Garver (R)27.3%2.0

9. Colt Emerson (L)21.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-125-105

BRBetRivers-117-114

BOVBovada+100-130

DKDraftKings-110-116

FDFanDuel-106-125

We project 4.5 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.6% K / BF

vs LHB19.2%

vs RHB20.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)23.3%3.0

2. Nico Hoerner (R)11.6%3.0

3. Michael Busch (L)21.9%3.0

4. Alex Bregman (R)17.4%3.0

5. Ian Happ (L)27.6%3.0

6. Seiya Suzuki (R)26.8%2.4

7. Michael Conforto (L)24.6%2.0

8. Carson Kelly (R)20.5%2.0

9. Dansby Swanson (R)21.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-140+105

BRBetRivers-136+102

BOVBovada-145+110

DKDraftKings-141+111

FDFanDuel-134+110

We project 4.6 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.9% K / BF

vs LHB17.9%

vs RHB19.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.6 BF

Expected batters faced24.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Kyle Schwarber (L)25.8%3.0

2. Trea Turner (R)19.4%3.0

3. Bryce Harper (L)20.6%3.0

4. Alec Bohm (R)18.0%3.0

5. Bryson Stott (L)17.0%3.0

6. J.T. Realmuto (R)20.1%3.0

7. Brandon Marsh (L)25.7%2.6

8. Adolis García (R)23.8%2.0

9. Steward Berroa (R)24.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-118-110

BRBetRivers-121-110

BOVBovada-115-115

DKDraftKings-111-115

FANFanatics-120-110

FDFanDuel-112-108

We project 4.4 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.9% K / BF

vs LHB17.9%

vs RHB21.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)21.9%3.0

2. Michael Harris II (L)19.8%3.0

3. Matt Olson (L)23.4%3.0

4. Ozzie Albies (L)18.3%3.0

5. Dominic Smith (L)20.4%2.3

6. Austin Riley (R)26.3%2.0

7. Mike Yastrzemski (L)21.1%2.0

8. Jorge Mateo (R)23.0%2.0

9. Chadwick Tromp (R)21.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers-129-104

BOVBovada-130+100

DKDraftKings-132+104

FANFanatics-125-105

FDFanDuel-124+102

We project 4.2 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.7% K / BF

vs LHB20.3%

vs RHB19.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jarren Duran (L)25.6%3.0

2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)17.6%3.0

3. Wilyer Abreu (L)23.1%3.0

4. Nick Sogard (L)20.9%3.0

5. Masataka Yoshida (L)13.9%3.0

6. Mickey Gasper (L)21.9%2.1

7. Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)17.1%2.0

8. Marcelo Mayer (L)20.9%2.0

9. Caleb Durbin (R)17.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+120-160

BRBetRivers+118-157

BOVBovada+125-165

DKDraftKings+119-151

FANFanatics+120-160

FDFanDuel+130-160

We project 4.2 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.4% K / BF

vs LHB18.6%

vs RHB24.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.8 BF

Expected batters faced21.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Yandy Díaz (R)15.8%3.0

2. Jonathan Aranda (L)22.1%3.0

3. Taylor Walls (L)24.9%3.0

4. Ryan Vilade (R)19.2%2.8

5. Chandler Simpson (L)14.4%2.0

6. Oliver Dunn (L)23.5%2.0

7. Richie Palacios (L)20.7%2.0

8. Nick Fortes (R)18.5%2.0

9. Cedric Mullins (L)21.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-145+105

BRBetRivers-134+100

BOVBovada-110-120

DKDraftKings-119-107

FANFanatics-120-110

FDFanDuel-122-108

We project 4.1 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.2% K / BF

vs LHB25.1%

vs RHB23.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload17.2 BF

Expected batters faced17.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Christian Yelich (L)25.7%2.0

2. Jackson Chourio (R)25.5%2.0

3. Brice Turang (L)22.7%2.0

4. William Contreras (R)16.1%2.0

5. Jake Bauers (L)24.5%2.0

6. Blake Perkins (L)24.8%2.0

7. Luis Rengifo (L)14.6%2.0

8. Sal Frelick (L)14.9%2.0

9. Joey Ortiz (R)18.1%1.3

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate16.5% K / BF

vs LHB18.6%

vs RHB16.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)26.0%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)22.2%3.0

3. Vaughn Grissom (R)16.3%3.0

4. Jo Adell (R)25.6%3.0

5. Wade Meckler (L)20.6%3.0

6. Oswald Peraza (R)23.4%2.9

7. Nick Madrigal (R)21.6%2.0

8. Logan O'Hoppe (R)26.1%2.0

9. Jose Siri (R)26.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+120-160

BOVBovada+110-145

DKDraftKings+118-150

FDFanDuel+116-142

We project 4.2 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.7% K / BF

vs LHB20.3%

vs RHB18.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Willy Adames (R)25.2%3.0

2. Luis Arraez (L)8.5%3.0

3. Casey Schmitt (R)21.9%3.0

4. Rafael Devers (L)26.9%3.0

5. Matt Chapman (R)22.3%3.0

6. Jung Hoo Lee (L)14.1%2.1

7. Daniel Susac (R)24.9%2.0

8. Bryce Eldridge (L)21.3%2.0

9. Drew Gilbert (L)18.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BOVBovada-125-105

DKDraftKings-117-109

FANFanatics-125-105

FDFanDuel-120-102

We project 4.1 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.0% K / BF

vs LHB17.4%

vs RHB21.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)25.5%3.0

2. Luis García Jr. (L)17.5%3.0

3. Curtis Mead (R)19.2%3.0

4. CJ Abrams (L)18.9%3.0

5. Dylan Crews (R)22.5%2.5

6. Daylen Lile (L)20.2%2.0

7. José Tena (L)28.4%2.0

8. Drew Millas (L)18.9%2.0

9. Jorbit Vivas (L)19.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-145+105

BRBetRivers-139+105

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-135+106

FANFanatics-145+110

FDFanDuel-130-102

We project 3.9 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.8% K / BF

vs LHB20.7%

vs RHB25.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.1 BF

Expected batters faced14.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)19.0%2.0

2. Sung-Mun Song (L)21.9%2.0

3. Xander Bogaerts (R)20.1%2.0

4. Manny Machado (R)22.2%2.0

5. Jackson Merrill (L)24.1%2.0

6. Miguel Andujar (R)17.4%1.1

7. Ramón Laureano (R)29.1%1.0

8. Ty France (R)22.6%1.0

9. Freddy Fermin (R)22.2%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate16.6% K / BF

vs LHB16.5%

vs RHB18.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Kevin McGonigle (L)15.0%3.0

2. Dillon Dingler (R)21.7%3.0

3. Hao-Yu Lee (R)22.8%3.0

4. Riley Greene (L)25.7%3.0

5. Spencer Torkelson (R)29.8%2.4

6. Wenceel Pérez (L)18.9%2.0

7. Matt Vierling (R)21.2%2.0

8. Zach McKinstry (L)18.1%2.0

9. Zack Short (R)23.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-105-125

We project 4.0 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate16.4% K / BF

vs LHB19.7%

vs RHB15.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Joc Pederson (L)20.7%3.0

2. Josh Jung (R)19.2%3.0

3. Sam Haggerty (L)22.4%3.0

4. Justin Foscue (R)24.7%3.0

5. Ezequiel Duran (R)22.7%3.0

6. Evan Carter (L)21.8%2.5

7. Alejandro Osuna (L)15.4%2.0

8. Danny Jansen (R)23.2%2.0

9. Nicky Lopez (L)20.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-120-110

BRBetRivers-121-110

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings-119-107

FDFanDuel-110-120

We project 4.0 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.6% K / BF

vs LHB24.0%

vs RHB16.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. George Springer (R)21.8%3.0

2. Ernie Clement (R)15.4%3.0

3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)16.2%3.0

4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)21.4%3.0

5. Daulton Varsho (L)21.7%2.1

6. Andrés Giménez (L)17.3%2.0

7. Nathan Lukes (L)22.4%2.0

8. Yohendrick Piñango (L)22.0%2.0

9. Brandon Valenzuela (R)22.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers+106-141

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+123-157

FANFanatics+125-165

FDFanDuel+124-152

We project 3.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.0% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.4 BF

Expected batters faced14.4

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Taylor Ward (R)19.2%2.0

2. Gunnar Henderson (L)23.8%2.0

3. Adley Rutschman (R)17.8%2.0

4. Pete Alonso (R)22.6%2.0

5. Samuel Basallo (L)28.3%2.0

6. Leody Taveras (R)21.8%1.4

7. Tyler O'Neill (R)28.5%1.0

8. Blaze Alexander (R)21.8%1.0

9. Jackson Holliday (L)25.6%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.0% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload12.8 BF

Expected batters faced12.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Travis Bazzana (L)23.9%2.0

2. José Ramírez (R)13.7%2.0

3. Chase DeLauter (L)17.1%2.0

4. Rhys Hoskins (R)26.3%1.8

5. Kyle Manzardo (L)24.2%1.0

6. Angel Martínez (R)17.8%1.0

7. Daniel Schneemann (L)24.5%1.0

8. Patrick Bailey (R)24.1%1.0

9. Brayan Rocchio (R)18.4%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Friday, May 29, 2026

Taj Bradley (MIN) is the top strikeout start on the Friday, May 29, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 6.2 K, with Carlos Rodón (NYY) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Taj Bradley

Taj Bradley (MIN) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 6.2 K against PIT. He's missing bats at a 26% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and PIT has been around league average, going down 22% of the time. He's lined up for about 24 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Carlos Rodón (NYY) (96) — about 6.1 K vs ATH: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.
Max Meyer (MIA) (93) — about 6.1 K vs NYM: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Luis Severino (ATH) (91) — about 5.6 K vs NYY: a 24% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Zack Wheeler (PHI) (87) — about 5.2 K vs LAD: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 19% of the time.
MacKenzie Gore (TEX) (82) — about 5.2 K vs KC: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

ATH is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Carlos Rodón is the arm to exploit it (96).
CIN is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Grant Holmes is the arm to exploit it (73).
BAL is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Adam Macko is the arm to exploit it (18).
LAA is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Nick Martinez is the arm to exploit it (37).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 4.3 strikeouts. Top play Taj Bradley punched out 6. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) weighs his strikeout ability against every hitter in the lineup, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Higher means more whiffs point his way. The exact weighting is our own — we project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Friday, May 29, 2026)?: Taj Bradley (MIN) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.2 K against PIT. A 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Friday, May 29, 2026: Taj Bradley (~6.2 K), Carlos Rodón (~6.1 K), Max Meyer (~6.1 K), Luis Severino (~5.6 K), Zack Wheeler (~5.2 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Friday, May 29, 2026?: Taj Bradley punched out 6.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.