MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Hits · Saturday, March 28, 2026

DET @ SD Hits matchups · Saturday, March 28, 2026

DET
DET
Detroit Tigers
03
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
SD
Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft 71°F Partly CloudyWind 11 mph, L To R

DET DET Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.268477 BF
wOBA allowed.368
Hard-Hit %34%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.221524 BF
wOBA allowed.299
Hard-Hit %30%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.252

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.3336 PA
Season.3336 PA
Last 2 Years.233416 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.224

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.221524 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.223

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19431 PA
Season.19431 PA
Last 2 Years.2092746 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.343
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Hits1.115

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits1 book

BOLBetOnline-192

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Dillon Dingler's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.235

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20010 PA
Season.20010 PA
Last 2 Years.218961 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.224

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.221524 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.223

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19431 PA
Season.19431 PA
Last 2 Years.2092746 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Hits1.053

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits5 books

MGMBetMGM-200
BOLBetOnline-200
BOVBovada-210
DKDraftKings-211
BRBetRivers-215

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Gleyber Torres's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.248

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.2867 PA
Season.2867 PA
Last 2 Years.234897 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.266

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.268477 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.207

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15133 PA
Season.15133 PA
Last 2 Years.2052456 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.363
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.600
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Hits1.112

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits5 books

MGMBetMGM-175
BOLBetOnline-189
DKDraftKings-189
BRBetRivers-190
BOVBovada-190

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Colt Keith's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.231

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1258 PA
Season.1258 PA
Last 2 Years.247895 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.266

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.268477 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.207

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15133 PA
Season.15133 PA
Last 2 Years.2052456 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.363
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Hits1.052

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits5 books

BOVBovada-200
DKDraftKings-200
BRBetRivers-205
BOLBetOnline-208
MGMBetMGM-220

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Riley Greene's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.228

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1437 PA
Season.1437 PA
Last 2 Years.198758 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.224

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.221524 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.223

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19431 PA
Season.19431 PA
Last 2 Years.2092746 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.143
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Hits0.968

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits5 books

BOVBovada-160
DKDraftKings-160
BOLBetOnline-164
MGMBetMGM-165
BRBetRivers-167

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Spencer Torkelson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.272

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.5006 PA
Season.5006 PA
Last 2 Years.5006 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.266

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.268477 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.207

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15133 PA
Season.15133 PA
Last 2 Years.2052456 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.359
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.363
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Hits1.053

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits5 books

MGMBetMGM-190
BOLBetOnline-200
BRBetRivers-200
BOVBovada-200
DKDraftKings-201

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Kevin McGonigle's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.225

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.223472 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.224

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.221524 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.223

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19431 PA
Season.19431 PA
Last 2 Years.2092746 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Hits0.905

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits5 books

BRBetRivers-155
DKDraftKings-156
BOLBetOnline-159
BOVBovada-160
MGMBetMGM-165

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Matt Vierling's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.223

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.20050 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.224

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.221524 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.223

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19431 PA
Season.19431 PA
Last 2 Years.2092746 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Hits0.878

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jahmai Jones's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.196

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.189349 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.224

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.221524 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.223

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.19431 PA
Season.19431 PA
Last 2 Years.2092746 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.279
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Hits0.805

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits5 books

MGMBetMGM-120
BOVBovada-130
DKDraftKings-130
BOLBetOnline-132
BRBetRivers-132

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jake Rogers's full player page →

SD SD Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.209712 BF
wOBA allowed.299
Hard-Hit %31%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.215618 BF
wOBA allowed.302
Hard-Hit %34%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.228

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.211830 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.212

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.209712 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L1–8
ERA4.97
WHIP1.53
IP70.2
H / K / BB71 / 87 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.229

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20020 PA
Season.20020 PA
Last 2 Years.2092851 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.100
Plate Appearances10

Projection

Projected Hits1.048

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits5 books

MGMBetMGM-175
BOLBetOnline-200
BOVBovada-210
DKDraftKings-211
BRBetRivers-225

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jake Cronenworth's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.259

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.0001 PA
Season1.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.257818 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.217

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.215618 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L1–8
ERA4.97
WHIP1.53
IP70.2
H / K / BB71 / 87 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.209

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.17352 PA
Season.17352 PA
Last 2 Years.2115055 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.336
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.385
Plate Appearances13

Projection

Projected Hits1.088

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits5 books

MGMBetMGM-210
BOLBetOnline-227
DKDraftKings-235
BOVBovada-240
BRBetRivers-278

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Fernando Tatis Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.239

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.262982 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.217

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.215618 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L1–8
ERA4.97
WHIP1.53
IP70.2
H / K / BB71 / 87 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.209

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.17352 PA
Season.17352 PA
Last 2 Years.2115055 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.334
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.091
Plate Appearances22

Projection

Projected Hits1.02

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits6 books

BRBetRivers-195
MGMBetMGM-200
BOLBetOnline-200
FANFanatics-200
DKDraftKings-207
BOVBovada-210

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Manny Machado's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.245

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.274745 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.212

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.209712 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L1–8
ERA4.97
WHIP1.53
IP70.2
H / K / BB71 / 87 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.229

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20020 PA
Season.20020 PA
Last 2 Years.2092851 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Hits1.015

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits5 books

DKDraftKings-228
BRBetRivers-230
BOVBovada-230
BOLBetOnline-233
MGMBetMGM-235

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jackson Merrill's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.240

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.236728 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.217

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.215618 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L1–8
ERA4.97
WHIP1.53
IP70.2
H / K / BB71 / 87 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.209

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.17352 PA
Season.17352 PA
Last 2 Years.2115055 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Hits0.976

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits5 books

MGMBetMGM-175
BRBetRivers-180
BOLBetOnline-185
BOVBovada-185
DKDraftKings-188

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Xander Bogaerts's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.233

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.219803 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.212

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.209712 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L1–8
ERA4.97
WHIP1.53
IP70.2
H / K / BB71 / 87 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.229

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20020 PA
Season.20020 PA
Last 2 Years.2092851 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.125
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Hits0.968

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits5 books

MGMBetMGM-135
BOLBetOnline-141
BRBetRivers-143
BOVBovada-150
DKDraftKings-151

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Gavin Sheets's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.276

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.29485 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.212

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.209712 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L1–8
ERA4.97
WHIP1.53
IP70.2
H / K / BB71 / 87 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs LHB.229

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.20020 PA
Season.20020 PA
Last 2 Years.2092851 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %22%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Hits1.002

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Bryce Johnson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.239

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.232891 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.217

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.215618 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L1–8
ERA4.97
WHIP1.53
IP70.2
H / K / BB71 / 87 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.209

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.17352 PA
Season.17352 PA
Last 2 Years.2115055 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.300
Plate Appearances20

Projection

Projected Hits0.918

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits5 books

BRBetRivers-152
MGMBetMGM-160
BOLBetOnline-167
BOVBovada-170
DKDraftKings-173

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Nick Castellanos's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Hits / PA vs RHP.237

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.244487 PA

Opposing Starter · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.217

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.215618 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L1–8
ERA4.97
WHIP1.53
IP70.2
H / K / BB71 / 87 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · Hits / Batter Faced vs RHB.209

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.17352 PA
Season.17352 PA
Last 2 Years.2115055 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Hits0.864

A rough estimate of hits to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Hits5 books

BRBetRivers-125
MGMBetMGM-130
BOLBetOnline-130
BOVBovada-130
DKDraftKings-133

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Freddy Fermin's full player page →