Best MLB Hits Matchups — Saturday, March 28, 2026
Top hits spot: Michael Busch
Michael Busch (CHC) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Miles Mikolas. The lefty is hitting .750 H/PA against righties this year — and .750 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a hit in about 27% of his trips. And Miles Mikolas has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Miles Mikolas too — .368 across 19 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Jonny DeLuca (TB) (93) vs RHP Michael McGreevy: a strong bat at .256 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (91) vs LHP Eduardo Rodriguez: a strong bat at .257 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Jake Fraley (TB) (91) vs RHP Michael McGreevy: a strong bat at .257 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Jonathan Aranda (TB) (90) vs RHP Michael McGreevy: a solid bat at .244 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Roman Anthony (BOS) (88) vs RHP Brady Singer: a solid bat at .241 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- JJ Wetherholt (STL) (88) vs RHP Joe Boyle: a solid bat at .245 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Jarren Duran (BOS) (85) vs RHP Brady Singer: a strong bat at .258 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Pitchers getting tattooed today
- LHP Eduardo Rodriguez has been giving up plenty to lefties — .259 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Shohei Ohtani (LAD), Mookie Betts (LAD), and Kyle Tucker (LAD).
- RHP Miles Mikolas has been giving up plenty to righties — .256 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Michael Busch (CHC), Alex Bregman (CHC), and Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC).
Platoon edges to target
- Michael Busch (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .750 against righties this year.
- Jake Fraley (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, 1.000 against righties this year.
- Jonathan Aranda (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .000 against righties this year.
- Roman Anthony (BOS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .000 against righties this year.
- JJ Wetherholt (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .250 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Cold but due to bounce back: Jung Hoo Lee (SF), Freddie Freeman (LAD), Isaac Paredes (HOU), Josh Naylor (SEA), and Matt Chapman (SF).
How it played out
6 of the top 10 hits matchups landed at least one hit. Top play Michael Busch finished with 1 hit. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.