MatchWiz

Nick Castellanos

Nick Castellanos — hitting .171 in our graded log. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
27
Hits · @ WSH · 2026-05-31
Our calls on him · hits
record builds as games settle
Games graded
22
this season, box-score final
Nick Castellanos
RFBats RThrows RSan Diego Padres
Hits27/100proj 0.9#234Doubles24.8/100proj 0.2#192Fantasy Points24.8/100proj 6.5#192H+R+RBI24.8/100proj 1.8#192RBIs24.8/100proj 0.4#192Runs24.8/100proj 0.5#192Singles24.8/100proj 0.6#192Stolen Bases24.8/100proj 0#192Total Bases24.8/100proj 1.5#192Triples24.8/100proj 0#192Walks24.8/100proj 0.3#192Home Runs21.2/100proj 0.1#138

Not on the current slate

Nick hasn't been scored in 84 days — his last matchup was against Washington Nationals on Sunday, May 31, 2026. A gap that long usually means an injury, a minor-league option, or a roster move rather than a rest day. Everything below is his most recent real production, not a projection.

He's swinging a hot bat

Nick is 8-for-32 (.250) over his last 10 games — well clear of his .171 season mark. Our model does lean on recent form, but it weights it against the matchup rather than chasing it: a hot bat facing a tough arm in a bad park still grades as a tough spot. Streaks like this one also end without warning, which is why the score moves on the matchup and not on the streak.

He's a right-handed bat

Nick hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Nick has recorded at least one hit in 9 of 22 games he's batted in — 41% — with 3 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

His best game in the log

Nick's biggest night was Thursday, May 14, 2026 at MIL — 2-for-4. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Nick a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — not once so far. He's appeared in 22 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Nick was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: hits graded 27/100 while home runs came in at 21.2/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Nick gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.

What we'd flag

Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample. For Nick specifically, his sample is small (70 at-bats logged), and we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, May 31@ WSH21001
Wednesday, May 27vs PHI31000
Monday, May 25vs PHI40000
Sunday, May 24vs ATH10000
Wednesday, May 20vs LAD31000
Thursday, May 14@ MIL42010
Tuesday, May 12@ MIL41002
Thursday, May 7vs STL30000
Wednesday, May 6@ SF42000
Friday, May 1vs CWS40000
Tuesday, April 28vs CHC10000
Wednesday, April 22@ COL40000

Nick Castellanos — FAQ

Is Nick Castellanos playing today?

Nick Castellanos isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Sunday, May 31, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How has Nick Castellanos been hitting lately?

Nick is 8-for-32 (.250) over his last 10 games, against .171 on the season across 70 at-bats in our log. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Nick Castellanos appear on?

Nick was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — hits, doubles, fantasy points, h+r+rbi, rbis. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Nick Castellanos's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).