MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Saturday, March 28, 2026

DET @ SD Home Runs matchups · Saturday, March 28, 2026

DET
DET
Detroit Tigers
03
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
SD
Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft 71°F Partly CloudyWind 11 mph, L To R

DET DET Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.029477 BF
wOBA allowed.368
Hard-Hit %34%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.029524 BF
wOBA allowed.299
Hard-Hit %30%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1676 PA
Season.1676 PA
Last 2 Years.024416 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.029524 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.03231 PA
Last 2 Years.0322746 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.141

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Dillon Dingler's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.00010 PA
Last 2 Years.018961 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.029524 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.03231 PA
Last 2 Years.0322746 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.113

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+750
BOVBovada+725
BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Gleyber Torres's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.0007 PA
Last 2 Years.028897 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.029477 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.00033 PA
Last 2 Years.0262456 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.350
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.600
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.133

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+600
BOVBovada+600
BRBetRivers+550
CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Colt Keith's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.0008 PA
Last 2 Years.056895 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.029477 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.00033 PA
Last 2 Years.0262456 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.336
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.350
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.173

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+375
BRBetRivers+360
BOVBovada+360
BOLBetOnline+350
CZRCaesars+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Riley Greene's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.0007 PA
Last 2 Years.036758 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.029524 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.03231 PA
Last 2 Years.0322746 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.143
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.127

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+475
BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+400
BOVBovada+385
BRBetRivers+380

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Spencer Torkelson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.0006 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.029477 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.00033 PA
Last 2 Years.0262456 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.350
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.13

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

BOVBovada+600
BRBetRivers+540
MGMBetMGM+525
CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Kevin McGonigle's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.028472 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.029524 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.03231 PA
Last 2 Years.0322746 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.101

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+850
BOVBovada+850
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+650

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Matt Vierling's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.00050 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.029524 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.03231 PA
Last 2 Years.0322746 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.102

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jahmai Jones's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.032349 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.029524 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.03231 PA
Last 2 Years.0322746 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.294
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.104

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

MGMBetMGM+725
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+700
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jake Rogers's full player page →

SD SD Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.032712 BF
wOBA allowed.299
Hard-Hit %31%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.039618 BF
wOBA allowed.302
Hard-Hit %34%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.029830 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.032712 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L1–8
ERA4.97
WHIP1.53
IP70.2
H / K / BB71 / 87 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.00020 PA
Last 2 Years.0222851 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.100
Plate Appearances10

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.141

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+700
BOVBovada+700
CZRCaesars+575
BOLBetOnline+500
BRBetRivers+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jake Cronenworth's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.048818 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.039618 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L1–8
ERA4.97
WHIP1.53
IP70.2
H / K / BB71 / 87 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01952 PA
Season.01952 PA
Last 2 Years.0255055 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.385
Plate Appearances13

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.187

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+425
BOVBovada+425
BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+390
BRBetRivers+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Fernando Tatis Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.037982 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.039618 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L1–8
ERA4.97
WHIP1.53
IP70.2
H / K / BB71 / 87 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01952 PA
Season.01952 PA
Last 2 Years.0255055 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.091
Plate Appearances22

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.161

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+400
BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+390
BOVBovada+385
BRBetRivers+380

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Manny Machado's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.044745 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.032712 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L1–8
ERA4.97
WHIP1.53
IP70.2
H / K / BB71 / 87 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.00020 PA
Last 2 Years.0222851 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.164

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

CZRCaesars+475
MGMBetMGM+450
BOLBetOnline+450
BOVBovada+440
BRBetRivers+430

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jackson Merrill's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.023728 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.039618 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L1–8
ERA4.97
WHIP1.53
IP70.2
H / K / BB71 / 87 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01952 PA
Season.01952 PA
Last 2 Years.0255055 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.114

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

BOVBovada+850
MGMBetMGM+725
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Xander Bogaerts's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.031803 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.032712 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L1–8
ERA4.97
WHIP1.53
IP70.2
H / K / BB71 / 87 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.00020 PA
Last 2 Years.0222851 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.125
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.125

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+675
BOVBovada+650
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Gavin Sheets's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.01285 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.032712 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L1–8
ERA4.97
WHIP1.53
IP70.2
H / K / BB71 / 87 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.00020 PA
Last 2 Years.0222851 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.095

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Bryce Johnson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.028891 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.039618 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L1–8
ERA4.97
WHIP1.53
IP70.2
H / K / BB71 / 87 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01952 PA
Season.01952 PA
Last 2 Years.0255055 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.300
Plate Appearances20

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

MGMBetMGM+800
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Nick Castellanos's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.018487 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.039618 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L1–8
ERA4.97
WHIP1.53
IP70.2
H / K / BB71 / 87 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01952 PA
Season.01952 PA
Last 2 Years.0255055 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.099

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+1050
BOVBovada+950
CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Freddy Fermin's full player page →