MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Friday, April 3, 2026

CIN @ TEX Home Runs matchups · Friday, April 3, 2026

CIN
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
53
Final
TEX
Texas Rangers
TEX
Globe Life FieldElevation 545 ftCenter Field 407 ft 74°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

CIN CIN Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 BF
Season.0008 BF
Last 2 Years.030367 BF
wOBA allowed.312
Hard-Hit %25%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 BF
Season.00014 BF
Last 2 Years.0231041 BF
wOBA allowed.152
Hard-Hit %14%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.00010 PA
Last 2 Years.021141 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.0231041 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.31
WHIP1.27
IP96.0
H / K / BB83 / 104 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02197 PA
Season.02197 PA
Last 2 Years.0293793 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.429
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.146

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Matt McLain's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.0005 PA
Last 2 Years.021188 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.0231041 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.31
WHIP1.27
IP96.0
H / K / BB83 / 104 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02197 PA
Season.02197 PA
Last 2 Years.0293793 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.139

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+900
CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Dane Myers's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.028431 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.0231041 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.31
WHIP1.27
IP96.0
H / K / BB83 / 104 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02197 PA
Season.02197 PA
Last 2 Years.0293793 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.132

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Elly De La Cruz's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10010 PA
Season.10010 PA
Last 2 Years.11817 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.0231041 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.31
WHIP1.27
IP96.0
H / K / BB83 / 104 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02197 PA
Season.02197 PA
Last 2 Years.0293793 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.165

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500
BRBetRivers+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Sal Stewart's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.4×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.060385 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.0231041 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.31
WHIP1.27
IP96.0
H / K / BB83 / 104 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02197 PA
Season.02197 PA
Last 2 Years.0293793 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.188

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+400
BRBetRivers+380

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Eugenio Suárez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.00010 PA
Last 2 Years.021289 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.0008 PA
Last 2 Years.030367 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.31
WHIP1.27
IP96.0
H / K / BB83 / 104 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03585 PA
Season.03585 PA
Last 2 Years.0292979 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.109

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

TJ Friedl's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.0007 PA
Last 2 Years.046219 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.0231041 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.31
WHIP1.27
IP96.0
H / K / BB83 / 104 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02197 PA
Season.02197 PA
Last 2 Years.0293793 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.129

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Tyler Stephenson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.03587 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.0008 PA
Last 2 Years.030367 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.31
WHIP1.27
IP96.0
H / K / BB83 / 104 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03585 PA
Season.03585 PA
Last 2 Years.0292979 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.111

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Will Benson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.0005 PA
Last 2 Years.015204 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.0231041 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.31
WHIP1.27
IP96.0
H / K / BB83 / 104 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02197 PA
Season.02197 PA
Last 2 Years.0293793 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.101

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+850
CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Ke'Bryan Hayes's full player page →

TEX TEX Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 BF
Season.0009 BF
Last 2 Years.037817 BF
wOBA allowed.322
Hard-Hit %60%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 BF
Season.09111 BF
Last 2 Years.018654 BF
wOBA allowed.479
Hard-Hit %43%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.038942 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.0009 PA
Last 2 Years.037817 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07791 PA
Season.07791 PA
Last 2 Years.0321765 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.182

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+450
CZRCaesars+425
BRBetRivers+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Brandon Nimmo's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00015 PA
Last 2 Years.030853 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.018654 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.008120 PA
Season.008120 PA
Last 2 Years.0292745 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.137

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500
BRBetRivers+410

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Wyatt Langford's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.21414 PA
Season.21414 PA
Last 2 Years.059680 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.0009 PA
Last 2 Years.037817 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07791 PA
Season.07791 PA
Last 2 Years.0321765 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.351
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.083
Plate Appearances12

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.233

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+305
BOLBetOnline+300
BRBetRivers+270

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Corey Seager's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA
Season.06715 PA
Last 2 Years.048670 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.018654 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.008120 PA
Season.008120 PA
Last 2 Years.0292745 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances10

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.171

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+400
BRBetRivers+400
CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jake Burger's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.0004 PA
Last 2 Years.031770 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.018654 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.008120 PA
Season.008120 PA
Last 2 Years.0292745 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.151

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Andrew McCutchen's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00015 PA
Last 2 Years.021906 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.0009 PA
Last 2 Years.037817 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07791 PA
Season.07791 PA
Last 2 Years.0321765 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.091
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.113

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Josh Smith's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.00011 PA
Last 2 Years.025514 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.018654 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.008120 PA
Season.008120 PA
Last 2 Years.0292745 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.116

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+540

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

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Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00015 PA
Last 2 Years.031326 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.0009 PA
Last 2 Years.037817 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07791 PA
Season.07791 PA
Last 2 Years.0321765 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+900
CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

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Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10010 PA
Season.10010 PA
Last 2 Years.037458 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.018654 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.008120 PA
Season.008120 PA
Last 2 Years.0292745 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.429
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.128

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

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