MatchWiz

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Ke'Bryan Hayes — hitting .150 in our graded log with 5 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
22.2
Walks · @ TOR · 2026-09-25
Our calls on him · hits
100%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
83
this season, box-score final
Ke'Bryan Hayes
3BBats RThrows RCincinnati Reds
Walks22.2/100proj 0.3RBIs21.3/100proj 0.3Hits16.2/100proj 0.8Singles15.5/100proj 0.5Total Bases15.1/100proj 1.3Doubles14.2/100proj 0.1H+R+RBI11.9/100proj 1.3Fantasy Points10.3/100proj 5.2Home Runs9.7/100proj 0.1Triples9.7/100proj 0Runs8.1/100proj 0.4Stolen Bases5.2/100proj 0

Last scored matchup

Ke'Bryan isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 13 days ago, away at Toronto Blue Jays on Friday, September 25, 2026, where he landed on walks (22.2/100), rbis (21.3/100), hits (16.2/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

He's a right-handed bat

Ke'Bryan hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Ke'Bryan has recorded at least one hit in 28 of 65 games he's batted in — 43% — with 2 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Ke'Bryan is hitting .168 at home (16-for-95) and .133 on the road (14-for-105) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Ke'Bryan a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 1 time so far. He's appeared in 83 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Ke'Bryan was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: walks graded 22.2/100 while stolen bases came in at 5.2/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Ke'Bryan and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes. For Ke'Bryan specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Saturday, September 26@ —00000
Friday, September 25@ TOR00000
Thursday, September 24@ ATL40000
Wednesday, September 23@ ATL30000
Tuesday, September 22@ ATL00000
Sunday, September 20vs CHC20000
Saturday, September 19vs CHC31001
Friday, September 18vs CHC00000
Thursday, September 17vs LAD30000
Wednesday, September 16@ —00000
Monday, September 14vs LAD30000
Sunday, September 13@ MIL00000

Ke'Bryan Hayes — FAQ

Is Ke'Bryan Hayes playing today?

Ke'Bryan Hayes isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Friday, September 25, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How has Ke'Bryan Hayes been hitting lately?

Ke'Bryan is 1-for-15 (.067) over his last 10 games, against .150 on the season across 200 at-bats in our log, with 5 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Ke'Bryan Hayes appear on?

Ke'Bryan was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — walks, rbis, hits, singles, total bases. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Ke'Bryan Hayes's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).