MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Friday, April 17, 2026

TEX @ SEA Home Runs matchups · Friday, April 17, 2026

TEX
TEX
Texas Rangers
50
Final
SEA
Seattle Mariners
SEA
T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft 55°F Partly CloudyWind 7 mph, L To R

TEX TEX Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 BF
Season.01953 BF
Last 2 Years.031647 BF
wOBA allowed.296
Hard-Hit %28%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 BF
Season.02638 BF
Last 2 Years.034705 BF
wOBA allowed.340
Hard-Hit %37%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04347 PA
Season.03361 PA
Last 2 Years.039951 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.01953 PA
Last 2 Years.031647 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.014145 PA
Season.020296 PA
Last 2 Years.0313641 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances12

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.169

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+700
BOLBetOnline+600
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Brandon Nimmo's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.044

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04643 PA
Season.08857 PA
Last 2 Years.060678 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.01953 PA
Last 2 Years.031647 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.014145 PA
Season.020296 PA
Last 2 Years.0313641 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.342
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.297
Plate Appearances37

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.224

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+475
BRBetRivers+450
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Corey Seager's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA
Season.02147 PA
Last 2 Years.032843 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.02638 PA
Last 2 Years.034705 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011265 PA
Season.013319 PA
Last 2 Years.0243960 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222
Plate Appearances18

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.142

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+575
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Wyatt Langford's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07043 PA
Season.06958 PA
Last 2 Years.046695 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.02638 PA
Last 2 Years.034705 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011265 PA
Season.013319 PA
Last 2 Years.0243960 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances12

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.192

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+475
BRBetRivers+460
BOLBetOnline+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jake Burger's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.9× / ~1.4×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05040 PA
Season.03655 PA
Last 2 Years.031323 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.01953 PA
Last 2 Years.031647 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.014145 PA
Season.020296 PA
Last 2 Years.0313641 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.118
Plate Appearances17

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.137

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Evan Carter's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 8 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.00012 PA
Last 2 Years.030754 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.02638 PA
Last 2 Years.034705 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011265 PA
Season.013319 PA
Last 2 Years.0243960 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.129

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Andrew McCutchen's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA
Season.02343 PA
Last 2 Years.026546 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.02638 PA
Last 2 Years.034705 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011265 PA
Season.013319 PA
Last 2 Years.0243960 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.105
Plate Appearances19

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Josh Jung's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00039 PA
Season.00054 PA
Last 2 Years.021901 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.01953 PA
Last 2 Years.031647 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.014145 PA
Season.020296 PA
Last 2 Years.0313641 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.154
Plate Appearances26

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.095

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1000
CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Josh Smith's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA
Season.02934 PA
Last 2 Years.035482 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.02638 PA
Last 2 Years.034705 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011265 PA
Season.013319 PA
Last 2 Years.0243960 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.113

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+650

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Danny Jansen's full player page →

SEA SEA Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06332 BF
Season.04941 BF
Last 2 Years.041390 BF
wOBA allowed.193
Hard-Hit %38%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 BF
Season.05020 BF
Last 2 Years.036384 BF
wOBA allowed.407
Hard-Hit %45%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.00036 PA
Last 2 Years.013160 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA
Season.04941 PA
Last 2 Years.041390 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.48
WHIP0.99
IP95.2
H / K / BB75 / 115 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027188 PA
Season.030269 PA
Last 2 Years.0293439 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.293
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.117

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Leo Rivas's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04346 PA
Season.03165 PA
Last 2 Years.061978 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA
Season.04941 PA
Last 2 Years.041390 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.48
WHIP0.99
IP95.2
H / K / BB75 / 115 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027188 PA
Season.030269 PA
Last 2 Years.0293439 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.293
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.067
Plate Appearances15

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.2

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+390
BOLBetOnline+350
BRBetRivers+335

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Cal Raleigh's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00045 PA
Season.00065 PA
Last 2 Years.036987 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.05020 PA
Last 2 Years.036384 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.48
WHIP0.99
IP95.2
H / K / BB75 / 115 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025202 PA
Season.020295 PA
Last 2 Years.0284868 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.375
Plate Appearances16

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.137

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+450
BRBetRivers+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Julio Rodríguez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04643 PA
Season.03263 PA
Last 2 Years.042882 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA
Season.04941 PA
Last 2 Years.041390 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.48
WHIP0.99
IP95.2
H / K / BB75 / 115 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027188 PA
Season.030269 PA
Last 2 Years.0293439 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.293
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.143
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.161

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+575
BOLBetOnline+500
BRBetRivers+430

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Josh Naylor's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02344 PA
Season.01566 PA
Last 2 Years.031996 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.05020 PA
Last 2 Years.036384 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.48
WHIP0.99
IP95.2
H / K / BB75 / 115 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025202 PA
Season.020295 PA
Last 2 Years.0284868 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances15

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.136

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+550

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Randy Arozarena's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 8 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.021234 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.05020 PA
Last 2 Years.036384 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.48
WHIP0.99
IP95.2
H / K / BB75 / 115 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025202 PA
Season.020295 PA
Last 2 Years.0284868 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.126

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Rob Refsnyder's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00037 PA
Season.00037 PA
Last 2 Years.015733 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA
Season.04941 PA
Last 2 Years.041390 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.48
WHIP0.99
IP95.2
H / K / BB75 / 115 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027188 PA
Season.030269 PA
Last 2 Years.0293439 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.293
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.231
Plate Appearances13

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.098

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

J.P. Crawford's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.00011 PA
Last 2 Years.029382 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.05020 PA
Last 2 Years.036384 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.48
WHIP0.99
IP95.2
H / K / BB75 / 115 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025202 PA
Season.020295 PA
Last 2 Years.0284868 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.104

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Mitch Garver's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00041 PA
Season.01758 PA
Last 2 Years.020248 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA
Season.04941 PA
Last 2 Years.041390 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.48
WHIP0.99
IP95.2
H / K / BB75 / 115 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027188 PA
Season.030269 PA
Last 2 Years.0293439 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.293
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.093

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Cole Young's full player page →