MatchWiz

J.P. Crawford

J.P. Crawford — hitting .211 in our graded log with 10 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
63.6
Walks · @ LAD · 2026-07-30
Our calls on him · hits
43%
1+ hit in 3/7 top-20 calls
Games graded
85
this season, box-score final
J.P. Crawford
SSBats LThrows RSeattle Mariners
Walks63.6/100proj 0.4Doubles23.4/100proj 0.2Stolen Bases11.6/100proj 0Hits10.6/100proj 0.8Singles5.4/100proj 0.5Total Bases4.4/100proj 1.3H+R+RBI1/100proj 1.4Fantasy Points0/100proj 5.4Home Runs0/100proj 0.1RBIs0/100proj 0.3Runs0/100proj 0.4Triples0/100proj 0

Not on the current slate

J.P. hasn't been scored in 24 days — his last matchup was against Los Angeles Dodgers on Thursday, July 30, 2026. A gap that long usually means an injury, a minor-league option, or a roster move rather than a rest day. Everything below is his most recent real production, not a projection.

Recent form

J.P. is 6-for-30 (.200) over his last 10 games, in line with his .211 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

J.P. has 10 home runs and 21 extra-base hits in 304 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a left-handed bat

J.P. hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

J.P. has recorded at least one hit in 46 of 84 games he's batted in — 55% — with 15 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

J.P. is hitting .209 at home (29-for-139) and .212 on the road (35-for-165) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

J.P.'s biggest night was Sunday, July 12, 2026 at TB — 3-for-4 with 3 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on J.P. have graded

In the 7 games where we ranked J.P. a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 3 times — 43%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

J.P. was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: walks graded 63.6/100 while triples came in at 0/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

J.P. gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.

What we'd flag

Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Wednesday, July 29@ LAD00000
Tuesday, July 28@ LAD30000
Monday, July 27@ TEX30001
Sunday, July 26@ TEX40000
Saturday, July 25@ TEX32001
Sunday, July 19vs SF31000
Saturday, July 18vs SF30000
Friday, July 17vs SF30000
Sunday, July 12@ TB43013
Saturday, July 11@ TB40000
Friday, July 10@ TB42010
Thursday, July 9@ MIA40000

J.P. Crawford — FAQ

Is J.P. Crawford playing today?

J.P. Crawford isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Thursday, July 30, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on J.P. Crawford graded?

In the 7 games where our model ranked J.P. a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 3 times — 43%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has J.P. Crawford been hitting lately?

J.P. is 6-for-30 (.200) over his last 10 games, against .211 on the season across 304 at-bats in our log, with 10 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does J.P. Crawford appear on?

J.P. was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — walks, doubles, stolen bases, hits, singles. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are J.P. Crawford's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).