MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Saturday, July 4, 2026

TOR @ SEA Home Runs matchups · Saturday, July 4, 2026

TOR
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
vs
4:10 PM EDT
SEA
Seattle Mariners
SEA
T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft

TOR TOR Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from TOR's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 BF
Season.035227 BF
Last 2 Years.039664 BF
wOBA allowed.275
Hard-Hit %36%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 BF
Season.035169 BF
Last 2 Years.034645 BF
wOBA allowed.307
Hard-Hit %41%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08635 PA
Season.027149 PA
Last 2 Years.028611 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs TEX1
Jun 29vs NYM0
Jun 30vs NYM0
Jul 1vs NYM0
Jul 3@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.035227 PA
Last 2 Years.039664 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.009219 PA
Season.0281287 PA
Last 2 Years.0333983 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.349
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.283
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.133

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nathan Lukes's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02441 PA
Season.007267 PA
Last 2 Years.0321047 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs TEX0
Jun 28vs TEX0
Jun 29vs NYM0
Jul 1vs NYM0
Jul 3@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA
Season.035169 PA
Last 2 Years.034645 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020153 PA
Season.0211072 PA
Last 2 Years.0244002 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.290
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head6-for-15

Home Runs2 in 17 PA
Career Average.353
Plate Appearances17
HR · K · BB2 · 2 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.129

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.051

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.054260 PA
Last 2 Years.054260 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs TEX0
Jun 28vs TEX0
Jun 29vs NYM0
Jul 1vs NYM0
Jul 3@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA
Season.035169 PA
Last 2 Years.034645 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020153 PA
Season.0211072 PA
Last 2 Years.0244002 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.339
Hard-Hit %42%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.290
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.27

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Kazuma Okamoto's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06133 PA
Season.029208 PA
Last 2 Years.048599 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs TEX0
Jun 28vs TEX0
Jun 30vs NYM0
Jul 1vs NYM0
Jul 3@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.035227 PA
Last 2 Years.039664 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.009219 PA
Season.0281287 PA
Last 2 Years.0333983 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.283
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-6

Home Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.174

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Daulton Varsho's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.03853 PA
Last 2 Years.024590 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs TEX1
Jun 28vs TEX0
Jun 30vs NYM0
Jul 1vs NYM0
Jul 3@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA
Season.035169 PA
Last 2 Years.034645 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020153 PA
Season.0211072 PA
Last 2 Years.0244002 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.290
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head4-for-12

Home Runs0 in 13 PA
Career Average.308
Plate Appearances13
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Alejandro Kirk's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.6× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs TEX0
Jun 29vs NYM0
Jun 30vs NYM0
Jul 1vs NYM0
Jul 3@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.035227 PA
Last 2 Years.039664 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.009219 PA
Season.0281287 PA
Last 2 Years.0333983 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.283
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.132

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Yohendrick Piñango's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.017234 PA
Last 2 Years.017850 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs TEX0
Jun 29vs NYM0
Jun 30vs NYM0
Jul 1vs NYM0
Jul 3@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA
Season.035169 PA
Last 2 Years.034645 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020153 PA
Season.0211072 PA
Last 2 Years.0244002 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.290
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.061

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ernie Clement's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 4 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs TEX0
Jun 30vs NYM0
Jul 1vs NYM1
Jul 3@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.035227 PA
Last 2 Years.039664 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.009219 PA
Season.0281287 PA
Last 2 Years.0333983 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.283
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.125

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Sean Keys's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.024213 PA
Last 2 Years.021728 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs TEX0
Jun 28vs TEX0
Jun 30vs NYM0
Jul 1vs NYM0
Jul 3@ SEA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.035227 PA
Last 2 Years.039664 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.009219 PA
Season.0281287 PA
Last 2 Years.0333983 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.298
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.283
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-9

Home Runs0 in 10 PA
Career Average.300
Plate Appearances10
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.07

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Andrés Giménez's full player page →

SEA SEA Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from SEA's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10519 BF
Season.10519 BF
Last 2 Years.04099 BF
wOBA allowed.486
Hard-Hit %54%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 BF
Season.08324 BF
Last 2 Years.078103 BF
wOBA allowed.475
Hard-Hit %60%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00039 PA
Season.043207 PA
Last 2 Years.023768 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ CLE0
Jun 29vs LAA0
Jun 30vs LAA0
Jul 2vs LAA0
Jul 3vs TOR0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10519 PA
Season.10519 PA
Last 2 Years.04099 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–0
ERA6.00
WHIP2.00
IP9.0
H / K / BB14 / 6 / 4

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026195 PA
Season.0191297 PA
Last 2 Years.0243517 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head6-for-12

Home Runs0 in 14 PA
Career Average.429
Plate Appearances14
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.121

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

J.P. Crawford's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03033 PA
Season.025279 PA
Last 2 Years.038989 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ CLE0
Jun 27@ CLE0
Jun 28@ CLE0
Jun 29vs LAA0
Jun 30vs LAA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.057

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.08324 PA
Last 2 Years.078103 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–0
ERA6.00
WHIP2.00
IP9.0
H / K / BB14 / 6 / 4

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.043235 PA
Season.0271262 PA
Last 2 Years.0274225 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.336
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.378
Hard-Hit % Allowed43%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-9

Home Runs0 in 9 PA
Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.19

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Julio Rodríguez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.046

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.056195 PA
Last 2 Years.050444 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ CLE0
Jun 28@ CLE0
Jun 29vs LAA1
Jul 2vs LAA0
Jul 3vs TOR0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10519 PA
Season.10519 PA
Last 2 Years.04099 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–0
ERA6.00
WHIP2.00
IP9.0
H / K / BB14 / 6 / 4

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026195 PA
Season.0191297 PA
Last 2 Years.0243517 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.348
Hard-Hit %43%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.272

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Dominic Canzone's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.023256 PA
Last 2 Years.029982 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ CLE0
Jun 29vs LAA0
Jun 30vs LAA0
Jul 2vs LAA0
Jul 3vs TOR0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.057

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.08324 PA
Last 2 Years.078103 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–0
ERA6.00
WHIP2.00
IP9.0
H / K / BB14 / 6 / 4

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.043235 PA
Season.0271262 PA
Last 2 Years.0274225 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.347
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.378
Hard-Hit % Allowed43%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-5

Home Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.15

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Randy Arozarena's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.6× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00038 PA
Season.028253 PA
Last 2 Years.035899 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ CLE0
Jun 29vs LAA0
Jun 30vs LAA0
Jul 2vs LAA0
Jul 3vs TOR0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10519 PA
Season.10519 PA
Last 2 Years.04099 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–0
ERA6.00
WHIP2.00
IP9.0
H / K / BB14 / 6 / 4

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026195 PA
Season.0191297 PA
Last 2 Years.0243517 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.15

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Josh Naylor's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.052

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03033 PA
Season.041170 PA
Last 2 Years.064898 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ CLE0
Jun 29vs LAA0
Jun 30vs LAA0
Jul 2vs LAA0
Jul 3vs TOR0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10519 PA
Season.10519 PA
Last 2 Years.04099 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–0
ERA6.00
WHIP2.00
IP9.0
H / K / BB14 / 6 / 4

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026195 PA
Season.0191297 PA
Last 2 Years.0243517 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-8

Home Runs0 in 8 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.216

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Cal Raleigh's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.050

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.066211 PA
Last 2 Years.052581 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 25@ PIT0
Jun 26@ CLE0
Jun 27@ CLE0
Jul 2vs LAA0
Jul 3vs TOR0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10519 PA
Season.10519 PA
Last 2 Years.04099 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–0
ERA6.00
WHIP2.00
IP9.0
H / K / BB14 / 6 / 4

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026195 PA
Season.0191297 PA
Last 2 Years.0243517 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.340
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.233

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Luke Raley's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06730 PA
Season.025244 PA
Last 2 Years.023434 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ CLE0
Jun 29vs LAA2
Jun 30vs LAA0
Jul 2vs LAA0
Jul 3vs TOR0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10519 PA
Season.10519 PA
Last 2 Years.04099 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–0
ERA6.00
WHIP2.00
IP9.0
H / K / BB14 / 6 / 4

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026195 PA
Season.0191297 PA
Last 2 Years.0243517 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.091

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Cole Young's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA
Season.05296 PA
Last 2 Years.05296 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ CLE0
Jun 29vs LAA0
Jun 30vs LAA0
Jul 2vs LAA0
Jul 3vs TOR0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10519 PA
Season.10519 PA
Last 2 Years.04099 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–0
ERA6.00
WHIP2.00
IP9.0
H / K / BB14 / 6 / 4

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026195 PA
Season.0191297 PA
Last 2 Years.0243517 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.141

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Colt Emerson's full player page →