MatchWiz

Dominic Canzone

Dominic Canzone — our top-20 calls on him have hit 73% this season. His matchups, projections, and the full graded record.

Last scored board
79.8
Singles · vs LAA · 2026-09-27
Our calls on him · hits
73%
1+ hit in 30/41 top-20 calls
Games graded
121
this season, box-score final
Dominic Canzone
DHBats LThrows RSeattle Mariners
Singles79.8/100proj 0.7#7Walks71.3/100proj 0.4#9Hits56.7/100proj 1#40Total Bases52.1/100proj 1.7#12Fantasy Points47/100proj 6.8#46H+R+RBI46.3/100proj 1.7#58Runs45.3/100proj 0.5#63Triples42.1/100proj 0.1#5RBIs41.9/100proj 0.4#73Home Runs33.4/100proj 0.1#46Doubles24.8/100proj 0.2#101Stolen Bases1.9/100proj 0#138

Last scored matchup

Dominic isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 11 days ago, at home against Los Angeles Angels on Sunday, September 27, 2026, where he landed on singles (79.8/100), walks (71.3/100), hits (56.7/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

He's swinging a hot bat

Dominic is 13-for-37 (.351) over his last 10 games — well clear of his .267 season mark. He's hit safely in 3 straight. Our model does lean on recent form, but it weights it against the matchup rather than chasing it: a hot bat facing a tough arm in a bad park still grades as a tough spot. Streaks like this one also end without warning, which is why the score moves on the matchup and not on the streak.

What kind of hitter he is

Dominic has 21 home runs and 51 extra-base hits in 427 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a left-handed bat

Dominic hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Dominic has recorded at least one hit in 81 of 119 games he's batted in — 68% — with 28 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Dominic is hitting .251 at home (52-for-207) and .282 on the road (62-for-220) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

Against Los Angeles Angels

Dominic is 8-for-27 (.296) against Los Angeles Angels in our log, over 7 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 27 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.

His best game in the log

Dominic's biggest night was Friday, September 25, 2026 against LAA — 3-for-4 with 1 homer, 2 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Dominic have graded

We've ranked Dominic a top-20 hitter matchup 41 times this season. He got a hit in 30 of them — 73%. That's the model reading him well, and it's the number we'd point to if you asked why we keep ranking him. It's also a season-sized sample on one player, which is smaller than it sounds; don't extrapolate it into a promise about tonight.

Where he lands across our boards

Dominic was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: singles graded 79.8/100 while stolen bases came in at 1.9/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Dominic's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, September 27vs LAA41010
Saturday, September 26vs LAA41010
Friday, September 25vs LAA43112
Thursday, September 24vs LAA40000
Wednesday, September 23vs HOU52003
Tuesday, September 22vs HOU41000
Sunday, September 20@ COL42002
Saturday, September 19@ COL21010
Friday, September 18@ COL31011
Wednesday, September 16@ LAA31011
Tuesday, September 15@ LAA41010
Monday, September 14@ LAA41010

Dominic Canzone — FAQ

Is Dominic Canzone playing today?

Dominic Canzone isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Sunday, September 27, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Dominic Canzone graded?

In the 41 games where our model ranked Dominic a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 30 times — 73%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Dominic Canzone been hitting lately?

Dominic is 13-for-37 (.351) over his last 10 games, against .267 on the season across 427 at-bats in our log, with 21 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Dominic Canzone appear on?

Dominic was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — singles, walks, hits, total bases, fantasy points. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Dominic Canzone's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).