MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Monday, July 6, 2026

NYY @ TB Home Runs matchups · Monday, July 6, 2026

NYY
NYY
New York Yankees
vs
6:40 PM EDT
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
TB
Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft

NYY NYY Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from NYY's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 BF
Season.047148 BF
Last 2 Years.033360 BF
wOBA allowed.346
Hard-Hit %40%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05618 BF
Season.040100 BF
Last 2 Years.027299 BF
wOBA allowed.293
Hard-Hit %35%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1676 PA
Season.035200 PA
Last 2 Years.052715 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10@ CLE0
Jun 12@ TOR0
Jul 3vs MIN1
Jul 4vs MIN0
Jul 5vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.047148 PA
Last 2 Years.033360 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5
ERA3.45
WHIP1.27
IP60.0
H / K / BB56 / 58 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.062193 PA
Season.0301079 PA
Last 2 Years.0312858 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.347
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-1

Home Runs1 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.215

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Trent Grisham's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.059

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.076236 PA
Last 2 Years.058748 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30vs DET1
Jul 1vs DET0
Jul 3vs MIN1
Jul 4vs MIN0
Jul 5vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.047148 PA
Last 2 Years.033360 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5
ERA3.45
WHIP1.27
IP60.0
H / K / BB56 / 58 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.062193 PA
Season.0301079 PA
Last 2 Years.0312858 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.371
Hard-Hit %42%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-1

Home Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.349

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ben Rice's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~2.3× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.04665 PA
Last 2 Years.032434 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30vs DET0
Jul 1vs DET0
Jul 3vs MIN0
Jul 4vs MIN1
Jul 5vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.047148 PA
Last 2 Years.033360 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5
ERA3.45
WHIP1.27
IP60.0
H / K / BB56 / 58 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.062193 PA
Season.0301079 PA
Last 2 Years.0312858 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.172

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jasson Domínguez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.029242 PA
Last 2 Years.039897 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs DET0
Jul 1vs DET0
Jul 3vs MIN0
Jul 4vs MIN0
Jul 5vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.047148 PA
Last 2 Years.033360 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5
ERA3.45
WHIP1.27
IP60.0
H / K / BB56 / 58 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.062193 PA
Season.0301079 PA
Last 2 Years.0312858 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-4

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.132

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Cody Bellinger's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.00085 PA
Last 2 Years.026718 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs DET0
Jun 30vs DET0
Jul 1vs DET0
Jul 4vs MIN0
Jul 5vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA
Season.040100 PA
Last 2 Years.027299 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5
ERA3.45
WHIP1.27
IP60.0
H / K / BB56 / 58 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028216 PA
Season.0251227 PA
Last 2 Years.0293320 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.294
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.281
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.081

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Anthony Volpe's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.047

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.040225 PA
Last 2 Years.055794 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs DET0
Jul 1vs DET0
Jul 3vs MIN0
Jul 4vs MIN0
Jul 5vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.047148 PA
Last 2 Years.033360 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5
ERA3.45
WHIP1.27
IP60.0
H / K / BB56 / 58 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.062193 PA
Season.0301079 PA
Last 2 Years.0312858 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.206

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1437 PA
Season.03826 PA
Last 2 Years.014365 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ BOS1
Jun 28@ BOS0
Jun 30vs DET0
Jul 4vs MIN1
Jul 5vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA
Season.040100 PA
Last 2 Years.027299 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5
ERA3.45
WHIP1.27
IP60.0
H / K / BB56 / 58 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028216 PA
Season.0251227 PA
Last 2 Years.0293320 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.281
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.077

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Max Schuemann's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.022134 PA
Last 2 Years.044636 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs DET0
Jul 1vs DET0
Jul 3vs MIN0
Jul 4vs MIN0
Jul 5vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.047148 PA
Last 2 Years.033360 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5
ERA3.45
WHIP1.27
IP60.0
H / K / BB56 / 58 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.062193 PA
Season.0301079 PA
Last 2 Years.0312858 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.288
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Home Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.129

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Austin Wells's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.019

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.022179 PA
Last 2 Years.016577 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29vs DET0
Jun 30vs DET0
Jul 1vs DET0
Jul 3vs MIN0
Jul 5vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA
Season.040100 PA
Last 2 Years.027299 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5
ERA3.45
WHIP1.27
IP60.0
H / K / BB56 / 58 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028216 PA
Season.0251227 PA
Last 2 Years.0293320 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.291
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.281
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.057

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

José Caballero's full player page →

TB TB Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from TB's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11127 BF
Season.020246 BF
Last 2 Years.021425 BF
wOBA allowed.267
Hard-Hit %37%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11118 BF
Season.030168 BF
Last 2 Years.031293 BF
wOBA allowed.245
Hard-Hit %28%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00045 PA
Season.031256 PA
Last 2 Years.028920 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ KC0
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0
Jul 3@ HOU0
Jul 5@ HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11118 PA
Season.030168 PA
Last 2 Years.031293 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L8–5
ERA2.08
WHIP0.96
IP104.0
H / K / BB79 / 123 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015202 PA
Season.0271190 PA
Last 2 Years.0313614 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.366
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.282
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-7

Home Runs0 in 9 PA
Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.156

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Yandy Díaz's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02148 PA
Season.046260 PA
Last 2 Years.045663 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0
Jul 3@ HOU0
Jul 4@ HOU0
Jul 5@ HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11127 PA
Season.020246 PA
Last 2 Years.021425 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L8–5
ERA2.08
WHIP0.96
IP104.0
H / K / BB79 / 123 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042189 PA
Season.030964 PA
Last 2 Years.0292996 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.383
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.285
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Home Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.248

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jonathan Aranda's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.070

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.17651 PA
Season.077273 PA
Last 2 Years.067882 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1@ KC1
Jul 2@ KC0
Jul 3@ HOU1
Jul 4@ HOU1
Jul 5@ HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11118 PA
Season.030168 PA
Last 2 Years.031293 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L8–5
ERA2.08
WHIP0.96
IP104.0
H / K / BB79 / 123 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015202 PA
Season.0271190 PA
Last 2 Years.0313614 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.371
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.282
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-9

Home Runs1 in 9 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB1 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.376

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Junior Caminero's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10040 PA
Season.046219 PA
Last 2 Years.041781 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1@ KC1
Jul 2@ KC1
Jul 3@ HOU0
Jul 4@ HOU0
Jul 5@ HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11127 PA
Season.020246 PA
Last 2 Years.021425 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L8–5
ERA2.08
WHIP0.96
IP104.0
H / K / BB79 / 123 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042189 PA
Season.030964 PA
Last 2 Years.0292996 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.285
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.152

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Cedric Mullins's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 8-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.005

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00038 PA
Season.000224 PA
Last 2 Years.000552 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs AZ0
Jun 30@ KC0
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0
Jul 5@ HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11127 PA
Season.020246 PA
Last 2 Years.021425 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L8–5
ERA2.08
WHIP0.96
IP104.0
H / K / BB79 / 123 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042189 PA
Season.030964 PA
Last 2 Years.0292996 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %22%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.285
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-9

Home Runs0 in 9 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.025

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Chandler Simpson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.3× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.014

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA
Season.009117 PA
Last 2 Years.006318 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs AZ1
Jun 30@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0
Jul 3@ HOU0
Jul 5@ HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11118 PA
Season.030168 PA
Last 2 Years.031293 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L8–5
ERA2.08
WHIP0.96
IP104.0
H / K / BB79 / 123 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015202 PA
Season.0271190 PA
Last 2 Years.0313614 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.285
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.282
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.052

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ben Williamson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02934 PA
Season.04076 PA
Last 2 Years.029102 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0
Jul 3@ HOU0
Jul 4@ HOU0
Jul 5@ HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11127 PA
Season.020246 PA
Last 2 Years.021425 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L8–5
ERA2.08
WHIP0.96
IP104.0
H / K / BB79 / 123 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042189 PA
Season.030964 PA
Last 2 Years.0292996 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.290
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.285
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.133

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Victor Mesa Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02934 PA
Season.011181 PA
Last 2 Years.014277 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs AZ0
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0
Jul 4@ HOU1
Jul 5@ HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11127 PA
Season.020246 PA
Last 2 Years.021425 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L8–5
ERA2.08
WHIP0.96
IP104.0
H / K / BB79 / 123 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042189 PA
Season.030964 PA
Last 2 Years.0292996 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %25%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.285
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.052

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Richie Palacios's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.013

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.009109 PA
Last 2 Years.005204 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs AZ0
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0
Jul 4@ HOU0
Jul 5@ HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11127 PA
Season.020246 PA
Last 2 Years.021425 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L8–5
ERA2.08
WHIP0.96
IP104.0
H / K / BB79 / 123 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042189 PA
Season.030964 PA
Last 2 Years.0292996 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.299
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.285
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-4

Home Runs0 in 4 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.055

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Hunter Feduccia's full player page →