MatchWiz

Trent Grisham

Trent Grisham — hitting .204 in our graded log with 18 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
65.2
Total Bases · @ SD · 2026-09-04
Our calls on him · hits
50%
1+ hit in 4/8 top-20 calls
Games graded
118
this season, box-score final
Trent Grisham
CFBats LThrows LNew York Yankees
Total Bases65.2/100proj 1.6#20Hits58.4/100proj 1#17Singles50.2/100proj 0.6#20Walks49.8/100proj 0.4#22Doubles46.5/100proj 0.2#30H+R+RBI43.9/100proj 1.7#25Fantasy Points42.7/100proj 6.4#23RBIs33.9/100proj 0.4#31Runs31.8/100proj 0.5#35Home Runs28.7/100proj 0.1#28Triples22.5/100proj 0#19Stolen Bases11.1/100proj 0#29

Last scored matchup

Trent isn't on today's slate. He was last scored yesterday, away at San Diego Padres on Friday, September 4, 2026, where he landed on total bases (65.2/100), hits (58.4/100), singles (50.2/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

He's in a cold stretch

Trent is 3-for-31 (.097) across his last 10 games, down from .204 on the season. Slumps this size are mostly noise at this sample — 31 at-bats is a fortnight, not a trend — and the model treats it that way, discounting the cold run rather than writing him off. If the matchup underneath is good, he'll still grade well here. That's a feature, and sometimes it's wrong.

What kind of hitter he is

Trent has 18 home runs and 38 extra-base hits in 411 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a left-handed bat

Trent hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Trent has recorded at least one hit in 56 of 114 games he's batted in — 49% — with 23 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Trent is hitting .229 at home (44-for-192) and .183 on the road (40-for-219) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

How our calls on Trent have graded

In the 8 games where we ranked Trent a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 4 times — 50%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Trent was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: total bases graded 65.2/100 while stolen bases came in at 11.1/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Trent's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Friday, September 4@ SD00000
Wednesday, September 2@ LAA21001
Tuesday, September 1@ LAA51001
Monday, August 31@ LAA40000
Sunday, August 30vs BOS30001
Saturday, August 29vs BOS40010
Saturday, August 29vs BOS20000
Friday, August 28vs BOS20000
Thursday, August 27vs HOU40000
Wednesday, August 26vs HOU51010
Tuesday, August 25vs HOU30020
Sunday, August 23vs TOR41112

Trent Grisham — FAQ

Is Trent Grisham playing today?

Trent Grisham isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Friday, September 4, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Trent Grisham graded?

In the 8 games where our model ranked Trent a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 4 times — 50%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Trent Grisham been hitting lately?

Trent is 3-for-31 (.097) over his last 10 games, against .204 on the season across 411 at-bats in our log, with 18 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Trent Grisham appear on?

Trent was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — total bases, hits, singles, walks, doubles. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Trent Grisham's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).