MatchWiz

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. — today's matchup, what the model projects, and how our calls on him have graded. Top board: walks at 59/100.

Today's top board
59
Walks · vs TOR
Our calls on him · hits
67%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
121
this season, box-score final
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
2BBats LThrows RNew York Yankees
Walks59/100proj 0.4#54Fantasy Points58.5/100proj 7.5#19Stolen Bases54.1/100proj 0.4#4Runs38/100proj 0.5#191RBIs32/100proj 0.4#147Home Runs31.1/100proj 0.2#70Triples28.5/100proj 0#45Singles25.4/100proj 0.6#195H+R+RBI20.8/100proj 1.5#227Total Bases20.2/100proj 1.3#250Hits16.8/100proj 0.8#254Doubles6.3/100proj 0.1#266

Today's matchup

Jazz draws Toronto Blue Jays at home today. He shows up on 12 boards — walks (59/100, #54), fantasy points (58.5/100, #19), stolen bases (54.1/100, #4), runs (38/100, #191). We've got him at 0.4 on the walks board. Open any board row for the full breakdown of what's driving it.

Recent form

Jazz is 8-for-33 (.242) over his last 10 games, in line with his .220 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Jazz has 18 home runs and 36 extra-base hits in 423 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a left-handed bat

Jazz hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Jazz has recorded at least one hit in 73 of 120 games he's batted in — 61% — with 18 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Jazz is hitting .219 at home (43-for-196) and .220 on the road (50-for-227) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

Against Toronto Blue Jays

Jazz is 6-for-19 (.316) against Toronto Blue Jays in our log, over 6 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 19 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.

His best game in the log

Jazz's biggest night was Sunday, August 23, 2026 against TOR — 2-for-4 with 1 homer, 2 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Jazz a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 3 times so far. He's appeared in 121 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Jazz was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: walks graded 59/100 while doubles came in at 6.3/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Jazz gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.

What we'd flag

Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample. For Jazz specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, August 23vs TOR42122
Saturday, August 22vs TOR42000
Friday, August 21vs TOR30000
Thursday, August 20@ BAL41001
Wednesday, August 19@ BAL21020
Tuesday, August 18@ BAL40000
Sunday, August 16@ TOR11000
Saturday, August 15@ TOR30000
Friday, August 14@ TOR41000
Thursday, August 13vs SEA40000
Wednesday, August 12vs SEA31011
Tuesday, August 11vs SEA31010

Jazz Chisholm Jr. — FAQ

Who is Jazz Chisholm Jr. facing today?

Jazz Chisholm Jr. is hosting Toronto Blue Jays on Sunday, August 23, 2026. His strongest matchup grades 59/100 on our walks board, ranked #54.

What is Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s projection today?

We project Jazz for 0.4 on the walks board. That's the model's number for this specific matchup — the opposing arm, the park, the weather, and his expected playing time all feed it. It's graded against the real box score tonight.

How has Jazz Chisholm Jr. been hitting lately?

Jazz is 8-for-33 (.242) over his last 10 games, against .220 on the season across 423 at-bats in our log, with 18 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Jazz Chisholm Jr. appear on?

Jazz was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — walks, fantasy points, stolen bases, runs, rbis. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).