MatchWiz

Cody Bellinger

Cody Bellinger — today's matchup, what the model projects, and how our calls on him have graded. Top board: walks at 77.4/100.

Today's top board
77.4
Walks · vs TOR
Our calls on him · hits
67%
1+ hit in 6/9 top-20 calls
Games graded
102
this season, box-score final
Cody Bellinger
LFBats LThrows LNew York Yankees
Walks77.4/100proj 0.5#13Runs55.2/100proj 0.5#99RBIs54.7/100proj 0.5#54H+R+RBI51.7/100proj 1.8#96Hits49.1/100proj 1#123Singles45/100proj 0.6#67Fantasy Points44.9/100proj 6.9#80Total Bases36.4/100proj 1.5#188Home Runs25/100proj 0.1#110Triples22.9/100proj 0#60Doubles17.2/100proj 0.2#229Stolen Bases16.2/100proj 0.1#57

Today's matchup

Cody draws Toronto Blue Jays at home today. He shows up on 12 boards — walks (77.4/100, #13), runs (55.2/100, #99), rbis (54.7/100, #54), h+r+rbi (51.7/100, #96). We've got him at 0.5 on the walks board. Open any board row for the full breakdown of what's driving it.

He's swinging a hot bat

Cody is 12-for-33 (.364) over his last 10 games — well clear of his .258 season mark. He's hit safely in 6 straight. Our model does lean on recent form, but it weights it against the matchup rather than chasing it: a hot bat facing a tough arm in a bad park still grades as a tough spot. Streaks like this one also end without warning, which is why the score moves on the matchup and not on the streak.

What kind of hitter he is

Cody has 10 home runs and 34 extra-base hits in 372 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a left-handed bat

Cody hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Cody has recorded at least one hit in 68 of 102 games he's batted in — 67% — with 22 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Cody is hitting .325 at home (55-for-169) and .202 on the road (41-for-203) across the season. That's a real-looking split, and it's the kind of thing that's usually part park and part noise. The model doesn't apply a blanket home-road adjustment — it prices the actual ballpark he's standing in, which is the part that carries signal.

His best game in the log

Cody's biggest night was Saturday, July 25, 2026 at PHI — 2-for-4 with 1 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Cody have graded

In the 9 games where we ranked Cody a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 6 times — 67%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Cody was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: walks graded 77.4/100 while stolen bases came in at 16.2/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Cody gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.

What we'd flag

Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Saturday, July 25@ PHI42001
Friday, July 24@ PHI31000
Wednesday, July 22vs PIT41000
Wednesday, July 22vs PIT21010
Monday, July 20vs PIT41020
Sunday, July 19vs LAD32001
Sunday, July 19vs LAD30000
Friday, July 17vs LAD41000
Tuesday, July 14@ NL31002
Sunday, July 12@ WSH32020
Saturday, July 11@ WSH41000
Friday, July 10@ WSH42000

Cody Bellinger — FAQ

Who is Cody Bellinger facing today?

Cody Bellinger is hosting Toronto Blue Jays on Sunday, August 23, 2026. His strongest matchup grades 77.4/100 on our walks board, ranked #13.

What is Cody Bellinger's projection today?

We project Cody for 0.5 on the walks board. That's the model's number for this specific matchup — the opposing arm, the park, the weather, and his expected playing time all feed it. It's graded against the real box score tonight.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Cody Bellinger graded?

In the 9 games where our model ranked Cody a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 6 times — 67%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Cody Bellinger been hitting lately?

Cody is 12-for-33 (.364) over his last 10 games, against .258 on the season across 372 at-bats in our log, with 10 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Cody Bellinger appear on?

Cody was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — walks, runs, rbis, h+r+rbi, hits. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Cody Bellinger's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).