Best MLB RBIs Matchups — Thursday, June 25, 2026
Top rbis spot: Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson (STL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Zac Gallen. The lefty is driving in runs at .187 RBI/PA against righties this year — and .302 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a RBI in about 18% of his trips. And Zac Gallen has been getting lit up by righties lately — .244 RBIs per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 6 career PA against Zac Gallen, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park, though the weather fights it.
The rest of the top of the board
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (93) vs RHP Freddy Peralta: an excellent bat at .149 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.295), hot bat.
- Kerry Carpenter (DET) (81) vs RHP Tatsuya Imai: an excellent bat at .152 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.227), due to bounce back.
- JJ Wetherholt (STL) (79) vs RHP Zac Gallen: a strong bat at .134 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.244), due to bounce back.
- Mark Vientos (NYM) (79) vs LHP Matthew Boyd: an elite bat at .161 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Bryce Eldridge (SF) (76) vs LHP Jeffrey Springs: an excellent bat at .142 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.375), due to bounce back.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (76) vs RHP Landen Roupp: an excellent bat at .158 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.174), due to bounce back.
- Junior Caminero (TB) (74) vs RHP Seth Lugo: a strong bat at .140 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.133).
Platoon edges to target
- Alec Burleson (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .187 against righties this year.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .142 against righties this year.
- Kerry Carpenter (DET) — lefty bat vs RHP, .179 against righties this year.
- JJ Wetherholt (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .126 against righties this year.
- Mark Vientos (NYM) — righty bat vs LHP, .171 against lefties this year.
How it played out
3 of the top 10 rbis matchups landed at least one RBI. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these rbis matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.