Best MLB RBIs Matchups — Wednesday, June 24, 2026
Top rbis spot: Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz (ATH) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Tyler Mahle. The lefty is driving in runs at .167 RBI/PA against righties this year — and .222 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a RBI in about 16% of his trips. And Tyler Mahle has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .200 in 5 career PA against Tyler Mahle, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Matt Shaw (CHC) (100) vs LHP Sean Manaea: an elite bat at .163 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.192).
- Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) (100) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: an elite bat at .163 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.146), hitter's park.
- Bryce Eldridge (SF) (99) vs LHP Gage Jump: an excellent bat at .142 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.429), due to bounce back.
- Corbin Carroll (AZ) (99) vs LHP Matthew Liberatore: a strong bat at .137 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.333).
- Dillon Dingler (DET) (96) vs LHP Ryan Weathers: an elite bat at .176 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.182).
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (96) vs RHP Joe Ryan: an excellent bat at .147 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.091).
- Ketel Marte (AZ) (95) vs LHP Matthew Liberatore: a strong bat at .128 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.360).
Platoon edges to target
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .167 against righties this year.
- Matt Shaw (CHC) — righty bat vs LHP, .197 against lefties this year.
- Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) — righty bat vs LHP, .186 against lefties this year.
- Dillon Dingler (DET) — righty bat vs LHP, .194 against lefties this year.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .146 against righties this year.
Best parks to drive in runs today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% run-scoring park). Top bat there: Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) at 100.
How it played out
5 of the top 10 rbis matchups landed at least one RBI. Top play Nick Kurtz finished with 0 RBIs. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these rbis matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.