MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Stolen Bases · Tuesday, July 7, 2026

KC @ NYM Stolen Bases matchups · Tuesday, July 7, 2026

KC
KC
Kansas City Royals
vs
7:10 PM EDT
NYM
New York Mets
NYM
Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft

KC KC Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from KC's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).
?
Probable pitcher not announcedMatchups for this lineup are shown neutrally for now and will sharpen automatically once the opposing starter is posted (usually a day or two before first pitch).
Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.017

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02051 PA
Season.017239 PA
Last 2 Years.032653 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 1vs TB0
Jul 2vs TB0
Jul 4vs PHI0
Jul 5vs PHI0
Jul 6vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.053

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Lane Thomas's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06133 PA
Season.081370 PA
Last 2 Years.0561376 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 1vs TB0
Jul 2vs TB1
Jul 4vs PHI0
Jul 5vs PHI1
Jul 6vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.341
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.079

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Bobby Witt Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.007

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00044 PA
Season.000344 PA
Last 2 Years.0001291 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 28@ CWS0
Jun 30vs TB0
Jul 1vs TB0
Jul 5vs PHI0
Jul 6vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.298
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.036

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Salvador Perez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.010

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00050 PA
Season.009317 PA
Last 2 Years.007549 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 1vs TB0
Jul 2vs TB0
Jul 4vs PHI0
Jul 5vs PHI0
Jul 6vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.04

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jac Caglianone's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.011

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02442 PA
Season.006179 PA
Last 2 Years.005395 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 1vs TB0
Jul 2vs TB0
Jul 4vs PHI0
Jul 5vs PHI0
Jul 6vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.039

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nick Loftin's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.014

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.009116 PA
Last 2 Years.022549 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 28@ CWS1
Jul 1vs TB0
Jul 2vs TB0
Jul 4vs PHI0
Jul 6vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.043

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Starling Marte's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.22218 PA
Season.20943 PA
Last 2 Years.300100 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 25@ TB0
Jun 28@ CWS0
Jul 1vs TB0
Jul 4vs PHI2
Jul 6vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.076

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Tyler Tolbert's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.01191 PA

Last 1 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 6vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.038

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Luke Maile's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 5 games since a hit

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.013

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00020 PA
Last 2 Years.018441 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 27@ CWS0
Jun 28@ CWS0
Jul 2vs TB0
Jul 5vs PHI0
Jul 6vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.038

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Josh Rojas's full player page →

NYM NYM Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from NYM's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.351
Hard-Hit %43%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years
wOBA allowed.333
Hard-Hit %33%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02638 PA
Season.058139 PA
Last 2 Years.058139 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 1@ TOR0
Jul 3@ ATL0
Jul 4@ ATL0
Jul 5@ ATL0
Jul 6@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–6
ERA4.20
WHIP1.38
IP96.1
H / K / BB103 / 76 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.064

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

A.J. Ewing's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA
Season.031196 PA
Last 2 Years.039879 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 1@ TOR0
Jul 3@ ATL0
Jul 4@ ATL0
Jul 5@ ATL0
Jul 6@ ATL1

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–6
ERA4.20
WHIP1.38
IP96.1
H / K / BB103 / 76 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.355
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head4-for-16

Stolen Bases0 in 21 PA
Career Average.191
Plate Appearances21
HR · K · BB1 · 5 · 5

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.062

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Juan Soto's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.009

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00042 PA
Season.004287 PA
Last 2 Years.006801 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 1@ TOR0
Jul 3@ ATL0
Jul 4@ ATL0
Jul 5@ ATL0
Jul 6@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–6
ERA4.20
WHIP1.38
IP96.1
H / K / BB103 / 76 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-8

Stolen Bases0 in 9 PA
Career Average.222
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.043

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Bo Bichette's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.017

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.010102 PA
Last 2 Years.037842 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 1@ TOR0
Jul 3@ ATL0
Jul 4@ ATL0
Jul 5@ ATL0
Jul 6@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–6
ERA4.20
WHIP1.38
IP96.1
H / K / BB103 / 76 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.055

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Francisco Lindor's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.015

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA
Season.026269 PA
Last 2 Years.026269 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 1@ TOR0
Jul 3@ ATL0
Jul 4@ ATL0
Jul 5@ ATL0
Jul 6@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–6
ERA4.20
WHIP1.38
IP96.1
H / K / BB103 / 76 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.051

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Carson Benge's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.010

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.000120 PA
Last 2 Years.000165 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 1@ TOR0
Jul 3@ ATL0
Jul 4@ ATL0
Jul 5@ ATL0
Jul 6@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–6
ERA4.20
WHIP1.38
IP96.1
H / K / BB103 / 76 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.041

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jared Young's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.008

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.000156 PA
Last 2 Years.000538 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 30@ TOR0
Jul 1@ TOR0
Jul 3@ ATL0
Jul 4@ ATL0
Jul 6@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–6
ERA4.20
WHIP1.38
IP96.1
H / K / BB103 / 76 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.038

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Francisco Alvarez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.011

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.009232 PA
Last 2 Years.012581 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jul 1@ TOR0
Jul 3@ ATL0
Jul 4@ ATL0
Jul 5@ ATL0
Jul 6@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–6
ERA4.20
WHIP1.38
IP96.1
H / K / BB103 / 76 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.041

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Brett Baty's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Stolen Bases / PA vs RHP.013

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.00036 PA
Last 2 Years.022182 PA

Last 5 GamesStolen Bases

Jun 28vs PHI0
Jun 29@ TOR0
Jul 1@ TOR0
Jul 4@ ATL0
Jul 6@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–6
ERA4.20
WHIP1.38
IP96.1
H / K / BB103 / 76 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · Stolen Bases allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.012

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Stolen Bases0.042

A rough estimate of stolen bases to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ronny Mauricio's full player page →