Last scored matchup
A.J. isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 10 days ago, away at Washington Nationals on Sunday, September 27, 2026, where he landed on stolen bases (41/100), singles (40.2/100), hits (33/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.
Recent form
A.J. is 7-for-34 (.206) over his last 10 games, in line with his .252 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.
What kind of hitter he is
A.J. has 11 home runs and 31 extra-base hits in 433 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.
He's a left-handed bat
A.J. hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.
Floor and ceiling
A.J. has recorded at least one hit in 72 of 119 games he's batted in — 61% — with 29 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.
Home and away
A.J. is hitting .259 at home (57-for-220) and .244 on the road (52-for-213) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.
Against Washington Nationals
A.J. is 1-for-10 (.100) against Washington Nationals in our log, over 3 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 10 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.
No graded record on him yet
We haven't ranked A.J. a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 4 times so far. He's appeared in 119 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.
Where he lands across our boards
A.J. was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: stolen bases graded 41/100 while triples came in at 8.7/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.
How the model reads him
A.J.'s score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.
What we'd flag
Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working. For A.J. specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.