MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · LF · New York Mets

Juan Soto

Juan Soto — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: home runs at 94.8/100.

Today's top board
94.8
Home Runs · @ ATL
Our calls on him · hits
70%
1+ hit in 14/20 top-20 calls
Games graded
64
this season, box-score final
Juan Soto
LFBats LThrows LNew York Mets
Home Runs94.8/100proj 0.4#2Walks85.6/100proj 0.8#5Fantasy Points68.4/100proj 8#13RBIs57.7/100proj 0.5#58Runs53.5/100proj 0.5#64H+R+RBI50.3/100proj 1.8#65Total Bases47.2/100proj 1.6#69Hits46.7/100proj 1#81Stolen Bases36.7/100proj 0.1#27

Today's matchup

Juan is at Atlanta Braves on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — home runs (94.8/100, #2), walks (85.6/100, #5), fantasy points (68.4/100, #13), rbis (57.7/100, #58). We project Juan for 0.4 on the home runs board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Juan is 4-for-14 (.286). The full log's below.

How our calls on Juan have done

When we've ranked Juan a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 14 of 20 games (70%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.

How the model reads him

Juan's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Wednesday, July 1@ TOR40000
Tuesday, June 30@ TOR20000
Monday, June 29@ TOR31000
Sunday, June 28vs PHI21000
Saturday, June 27vs PHI32021
Friday, June 26vs PHI40000
Thursday, June 25vs CHC31000
Tuesday, June 23vs CHC20000
Sunday, June 21@ PHI31000
Saturday, June 20@ PHI31000
Thursday, June 18@ PHI42222
Wednesday, June 17@ CIN53022

Juan Soto — FAQ

Who is Juan Soto facing today?

Juan Soto is facing Atlanta Braves on Friday, July 3, 2026. His best matchup grades 94.8/100 on our home runs board.

What's Juan Soto's projection today?

We project Juan for 0.4 on the home runs board (away vs ATL). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Juan Soto done?

In the 20 games where our model ranked Juan a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 14 times (70%). Every projection is graded against the real result.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).