Last scored matchup
Francisco isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 11 days ago, away at Washington Nationals on Sunday, September 27, 2026, where he landed on doubles (57.1/100), walks (56.1/100), fantasy points (53.8/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.
Recent form
Francisco is 8-for-43 (.186) over his last 10 games, in line with his .221 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.
What kind of hitter he is
Francisco has 21 home runs and 37 extra-base hits in 416 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.
He bats from both sides
Francisco is a switch-hitter, which changes how the model reads every one of his matchups. Most hitters carry a real platoon penalty — a lefty bat facing a good lefty arm is a materially worse spot, and the score drops accordingly. Francisco takes the favourable side almost every night, so he doesn't collect that penalty. What moves his number instead is the quality of the arm rather than its handedness, and how the two sides of his own swing actually compare, which is rarely as balanced as the switch-hitter label suggests.
Floor and ceiling
Francisco has recorded at least one hit in 63 of 103 games he's batted in — 61% — with 24 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.
Home and away
Francisco is hitting .213 at home (42-for-197) and .228 on the road (50-for-219) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.
Against Washington Nationals
Francisco is 3-for-13 (.231) against Washington Nationals in our log, over 3 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 13 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.
His best game in the log
Francisco's biggest night was Sunday, September 27, 2026 at WSH — 2-for-4 with 1 homer, 1 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.
How our calls on Francisco have graded
In the 10 games where we ranked Francisco a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 3 times — 30%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.
Where he lands across our boards
Francisco was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: doubles graded 57.1/100 while triples came in at 8.1/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.
How the model reads him
Francisco gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.
What we'd flag
Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample.