Today's matchup
Carson is hosting Boston Red Sox on the Sunday, July 12, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — h+r+rbi (56.5/100, #88), runs (56.4/100, #75), rbis (56.2/100, #76), hits (49.8/100, #104). We project Carson for 1.7 on the h+r+rbi board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.
Recent form
Over his last 5 games, Carson is 5-for-17 (.294). The full log's below.
How our calls on Carson have done
When we've ranked Carson a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 11 of 15 games (73%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.
How the model reads him
Carson's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.