MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · C · New York Mets

Francisco Alvarez

Francisco Alvarez — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: rbis at 42.6/100.

Today's top board
42.6
RBIs · vs BOS
Our calls on him · hits
0%
record builds as games settle
Games graded
59
this season, box-score final
Francisco Alvarez
CBats RThrows RNew York Mets
RBIs42.6/100proj 0.5Home Runs32.5/100proj 0.2H+R+RBI29.9/100proj 1.5Fantasy Points29.8/100proj 5.8Hits26.8/100proj 0.8Walks25.7/100proj 0.4Total Bases21.8/100proj 1.4Stolen Bases16.4/100proj 0Runs12.7/100proj 0.4

Today's matchup

Francisco is hosting Boston Red Sox on the Sunday, July 12, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — rbis (42.6/100), home runs (32.5/100), h+r+rbi (29.9/100), fantasy points (29.8/100). We project Francisco for 0.5 on the rbis board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Francisco is 6-for-18 (.333). The full log's below.

How the model reads him

Francisco's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Saturday, July 11vs BOS32000
Friday, July 10vs BOS40000
Thursday, July 9vs KC41001
Wednesday, July 8vs KC31001
Monday, July 6@ ATL42001
Saturday, July 4@ ATL30000
Friday, July 3@ ATL42000
Wednesday, July 1@ TOR40000
Tuesday, June 30@ TOR41111
Monday, June 29@ TOR31000
Sunday, June 28vs PHI51010
Saturday, June 27vs PHI40000

Francisco Alvarez — FAQ

Who is Francisco Alvarez facing today?

Francisco Alvarez is hosting Boston Red Sox on Sunday, July 12, 2026. His best matchup grades 42.6/100 on our rbis board.

What's Francisco Alvarez's projection today?

We project Francisco for 0.5 on the rbis board (home vs BOS). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).