Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Friday, May 22, 2026
Top total bases spot: Zach Neto
Zach Neto (LAA) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Jacob deGrom. The righty is racking up bases at — TB/PA against righties this year, a solid bat that turns into a total base in about 37% of his trips. And Jacob deGrom has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Jacob deGrom too — .455 across 11 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Andrew McCutchen (TEX) (100) vs RHP Grayson Rodriguez: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Willy Adames (SF) (100) vs RHP Davis Martin: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Sam Antonacci (CWS) (100) vs RHP Trevor McDonald: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Jake McCarthy (COL) (100) vs RHP Michael Soroka: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Ketel Marte (AZ) (100) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) (91) vs LHP Jeffrey Springs: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Colby Thomas (ATH) (91) vs RHP Walker Buehler: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Arms giving up extra bases today
- RHP Jacob deGrom has been giving up bases to righties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Zach Neto (LAA), Mike Trout (LAA), and Nolan Schanuel (LAA).
- RHP Grayson Rodriguez has been giving up bases to righties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Andrew McCutchen (TEX), Josh Jung (TEX), and Brandon Nimmo (TEX).
- RHP Davis Martin has been giving up bases to righties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Willy Adames (SF), Luis Arraez (SF), and Casey Schmitt (SF).
- RHP Trevor McDonald has been giving up bases to righties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Sam Antonacci (CWS), Munetaka Murakami (CWS), and Miguel Vargas (CWS).
How it played out
6 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Zach Neto finished with 8 total bases. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these total bases matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.