Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Friday, June 26, 2026
Top total bases spot: Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II (ATL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Trevor McDonald. The lefty is racking up bases at .515 TB/PA against righties this year — and .524 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a total base in about 44% of his trips. And Trevor McDonald has been getting squared up by righties lately — .650 total bases per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Trevor McDonald. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Byron Buxton (MIN) (100) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: an excellent bat at .528 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.520).
- Travis Bazzana (CLE) (89) vs RHP Luis Castillo: a strong bat at .475 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.517), due to bounce back.
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) (87) vs LHP Payton Tolle: a strong bat at .470 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.380).
- Alec Burleson (STL) (86) vs RHP Max Meyer: an excellent bat at .535 into an arm giving up bases to the same side (.378), hot bat.
- Kyle Schwarber (PHI) (86) vs LHP Zach Thornton: a strong bat at .471 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (84) vs RHP Walbert Ureña: a strong bat at .460 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.516), due to bounce back.
- Juan Soto (NYM) (84) vs RHP Zack Wheeler: a strong bat at .465 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.419).
Arms giving up extra bases today
- RHP Zac Gallen has been getting squared up by righties — .445 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jonathan Aranda (TB), Yandy Díaz (TB), and Junior Caminero (TB).
- LHP Patrick Corbin has been getting squared up by lefties — .437 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Wyatt Langford (TEX), Jake Burger (TEX), and Josh Jung (TEX).
- RHP Michael McGreevy has been getting squared up by righties — .430 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Griffin Conine (MIA), Kyle Stowers (MIA), and Owen Caissie (MIA).
- RHP Trevor McDonald has been getting squared up by righties — .430 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Michael Harris II (ATL), Matt Olson (ATL), and Drake Baldwin (ATL).
Platoon edges to target
- Michael Harris II (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .515 against righties this year.
- Travis Bazzana (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .496 against righties this year.
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .635 against lefties this year.
- Alec Burleson (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .532 against righties this year.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .448 against righties this year.
How it played out
6 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Michael Harris II finished with 1 total base. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these total bases matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.