Who has the best total bases matchup today (Friday, June 26, 2026)?

Michael Harris II (ATL) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Trevor McDonald. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Friday, June 26, 2026)?

The top total bases matchups on Friday, June 26, 2026: Michael Harris II (100), Byron Buxton (100), Travis Bazzana (89), Paul Goldschmidt (87), Alec Burleson (86). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.

Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Friday, June 26, 2026?

Yes — Michael Harris II got 1 total base.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Michael Harris II (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .515 against righties this year. Travis Bazzana (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .496 against righties this year. Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .635 against lefties this year. Alec Burleson (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .532 against righties this year. Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .448 against righties this year.

Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?

RHP Zac Gallen has been getting squared up by righties — .445 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jonathan Aranda (TB), Yandy Díaz (TB), and Junior Caminero (TB). LHP Patrick Corbin has been getting squared up by lefties — .437 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Wyatt Langford (TEX), Jake Burger (TEX), and Josh Jung (TEX). RHP Michael McGreevy has been getting squared up by righties — .430 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Griffin Conine (MIA), Kyle Stowers (MIA), and Owen Caissie (MIA). RHP Trevor McDonald has been getting squared up by righties — .430 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Michael Harris II (ATL), Matt Olson (ATL), and Drake Baldwin (ATL).

How is the total bases matchup score calculated?

It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.

What does TB/PA mean?

Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.

What are park factors?

Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB total bases matchups — Friday, June 26, 2026

Every hitter on the Friday, June 26, 2026 slate — ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Friday, June 26, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 1/5 (20%) on our total-bases over/under, against 50% on the season.

Top 5

1/520%

season 50%

Top 10

4/1040%

season 50%

Full slate

128/26349%

season 51%

Top call Byron Buxton came through. Michael Harris II didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 0–8

HOUaway

DEThomeTop matchup78 Final · 6–4

CINaway

PIThomeTop matchup83 Final · 1–3

WSHaway

BALhomeTop matchup74 Final · 5–4

TEXaway

TORhomeTop matchup80 Final · 1–6

NYYaway

BOShomeTop matchup87 Final · 3–1

SEAaway

CLEhomeTop matchup89 Final · 1–6

AZaway

TBhomeTop matchup83 Final · 2–1

PHIaway

NYMhomeTop matchup86 Final · 1–22

KCaway

CWShomeTop matchup74 Final · 2–6

CHCaway

MILhomeTop matchup81 Final · 8–9

COLaway

MINhomeTop matchup100 Final · 4–0

MIAaway

STLhomeTop matchup86 Final · 9–3

ATHaway

LAAhomeTop matchup84 Final · 1–7

LADaway

SDhomeTop matchup81 Final · 3–1

ATLaway

SFhomeTop matchup100

Not starting60 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 330 shownScore

168 with a TBLive count — updates as games play

1
Jake McCarthyLF
COL@MIN· 3-for-5
7TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #26
T1
Miguel Vargas3B
CWSvsKC· 3-for-6
7TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #160
T1
Jacob GonzalezSS
CWSvsKC· 3-for-4
7TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #204
4
Andrew BenintendiDH
CWSvsKC· 2-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #60
5
Kazuma Okamoto3B
TORvsTEX· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #44
T5
Willson Contreras1B
BOSvsNYY· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #57
T5
Konnor GriffinSS
PITvsCIN· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #63
T5
Justin Foscue2B
TEX@TOR· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #83
T5
Kyle TeelC
CWSvsKC· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #96
T5
William ContrerasC
MILvsCHC· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #117
T5
Marcell OzunaDH
PITvsCIN· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #140
T5
Tristan PetersCF
CWSvsKC· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #148
T5
Geraldo PerdomoSS
AZ@TB· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #149
T5
Esmerlyn ValdezRF
PITvsCIN· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #157
15
Byron BuxtonCF
MINvsCOL· 3-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 2.1 TB, #2
T15
Wyatt LangfordLF
TEX@TOR· 3-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #16
T15
Kody Clemens1B
MINvsCOL· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #24
T15
Coby Mayo3B
BALvsWSH· 2-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #34
T15
Junior Caminero3B
TBvsAZ· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #41
T15
Mookie BettsSS
LAD@SD· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #52
T15
Corbin CarrollRF
AZ@TB· 2-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #64
T15
Hunter GoodmanC
COL@MIN· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #76
T15
Brooks Lee3B
MINvsCOL· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #78
T15
Kerry CarpenterRF
DETvsHOU· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #87
T15
Jo AdellRF
LAAvsATH· 1-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #94
T15
Garrett MitchellCF
MILvsCHC· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #124
T15
Ty France1B
SDvsLAD· 1-for-2
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #127
T15
Cedric MullinsCF
TBvsAZ· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #134
T15
Colt Keith3B
DETvsHOU· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #150
T15
Royce Lewis1B
MINvsCOL· 3-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #154
T15
Seiya SuzukiRF
CHC@MIL· 1-for-2
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #179
T15
Chase Meidroth2B
CWSvsKC· 4-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #244
T15
David Hamilton3B
MILvsCHC· 2-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #248
T15
James OutmanCF
DETvsHOU· 1-for-2
4TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #262
T15
Colt EmersonSS
SEA@CLE· 1-for-2
4TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #263
T15
Noelvi MarteRF
CIN@PIT· 1-for-1
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB
37
TJ Rumfield1B
COL@MIN· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #10
T37
Trevor LarnachLF
MINvsCOL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #12
T37
Matt Olson1B
ATL@SF· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #13
T37
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
SDvsLAD· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #19
T37
Jackson ChourioLF
MILvsCHC· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #20
T37
Sam AntonacciLF
CWSvsKC· 3-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #27
T37
Yandy DíazDH
TBvsAZ· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #31
T37
Jac CaglianoneRF
KC@CWS· 1-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #46
T37
Freddie Freeman1B
LAD@SD· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #62
T37
Taylor WardDH
BALvsWSH· 3-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #66
T37
Wilyer AbreuRF
BOSvsNYY· 1-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #71
T37
Christian YelichDH
MILvsCHC· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #75
T37
Caleb Durbin3B
BOSvsNYY· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #106
T37
Trea TurnerSS
PHI@NYM· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #116
T37
Willy AdamesSS
SFvsATL· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #128
T37
Bryce Harper1B
PHI@NYM· 3-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #131
T37
Andrés GiménezSS
TORvsTEX· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #186
54
Nick Kurtz1B
ATH@LAA· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #7
T54
Jonathan Aranda1B
TBvsAZ· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #9
T54
Luis Arraez2B
SFvsATL· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #35
T54
Josh BellDH
MINvsCOL· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #39
T54
Nolan Schanuel1B
LAAvsATH· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #40
T54
Bryce EldridgeDH
SFvsATL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #47
T54
Manny Machado3B
SDvsLAD· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #54
T54
Rafael Devers1B
SFvsATL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #68
T54
Bo Bichette3B
NYMvsPHI· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #84
T54
Wade MecklerLF
LAAvsATH· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #90
T54
Gabriel MorenoC
AZ@TB· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #91
T54
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
TORvsTEX· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #98
T54
James WoodRF
WSH@BAL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #101
T54
Dylan CrewsRF
WSH@BAL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #108
T54
Jasson DomínguezRF
NYY@BOS· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #110
T54
Randy ArozarenaLF
SEA@CLE· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #112
T54
Nathaniel Lowe1B
CIN@PIT· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #118
T54
Jonah HeimC
ATH@LAA· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #119
T54
Kahlil WatsonRF
CLEvsSEA· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #121
T54
Jose Altuve2B
HOU@DET· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #132
T54
Brandon NimmoRF
TEX@TOR· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #141
T54
Shea LangeliersC
ATH@LAA· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #151
T54
Mauricio DubónLF
ATL@SF· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #156
T54
Denzer Guzman3B
LAAvsATH· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #164
T54
Ernie Clement2B
TORvsTEX· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #169
T54
Yainer DiazC
HOU@DET· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #170
T54
Anthony VolpeSS
NYY@BOS· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #175
T54
Ezequiel DuranSS
TEX@TOR· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #181
T54
Tyler O'NeillRF
BALvsWSH· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #183
T54
Rodolfo DuránC
SDvsLAD· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #184
T54
Esteury RuizRF
MIA@STL· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #187
T54
Max Muncy3B
ATH@LAA· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #188
T54
Cooper PrattSS
MILvsCHC· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #190
T54
Josh LoweLF
LAAvsATH· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #196
T54
Ezequiel TovarSS
COL@MIN· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #208
T54
Jake MangumCF
PITvsCIN· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #227
T54
Tyler StephensonC
CIN@PIT· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #230
T54
Hunter FeducciaC
TBvsAZ· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #233
T54
José FermínLF
STLvsMIA· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #236
T54
Graham Pauley3B
MIA@STL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #237
T54
Jacob YoungCF
WSH@BAL· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #242
T54
Edouard Julien2B
COL@MIN· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #246
T54
Tsung-Che ChengSS
BOSvsNYY· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #247
T54
J.T. RealmutoC
PHI@NYM· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #249
T54
Isaac CollinsLF
KC@CWS· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #260
T54
Kyle Karros3B
COL@MIN· 1-for-1
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB
100
Michael Harris IICF
ATL@SF· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 2.1 TB, #1
T100
Kyle SchwarberDH
PHI@NYM· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #6
T100
Bryan ReynoldsLF
PITvsCIN· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #11
T100
Shohei OhtaniTWP
LAD@SD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #14
T100
Nathan LukesRF
TORvsTEX· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #18
T100
Dillon DinglerC
DETvsHOU· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #21
T100
Andy PagesCF
LAD@SD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #28
T100
Zach NetoSS
LAAvsATH· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #30
T100
Donovan Walton2B
LAAvsATH· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #32
T100
Jeremy PeñaSS
HOU@DET· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #38
T100
Griffin ConineRF
MIA@STL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #48
T100
Carson BengeRF
NYMvsPHI· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #50
T100
Kyle Stowers1B
MIA@STL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #55
T100
Kyle Manzardo1B
CLEvsSEA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #58
T100
Carter JensenC
KC@CWS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #59
T100
Ozzie Albies2B
ATL@SF· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #70
T100
Curtis Mead3B
WSH@BAL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #72
T100
Owen CaissieRF
MIA@STL· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #77
T100
Jakob MarseeCF
MIA@STL· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #79
T100
Francisco LindorSS
NYMvsPHI· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #80
T100
Xavier Edwards2B
MIA@STL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #82
T100
Willi Castro2B
COL@MIN· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #86
T100
Gavin Sheets1B
SDvsLAD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #89
T100
Kevin McGonigleSS
DETvsHOU· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #93
T100
Brayan RocchioSS
CLEvsSEA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #100
T100
Jordan WalkerRF
STLvsMIA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #105
T100
Dominic SmithDH
ATL@SF· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #107
T100
Colson MontgomerySS
CWSvsKC· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #111
T100
Troy JohnstonRF
COL@MIN· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #115
T100
Isaac Paredes3B
HOU@DET· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #122
T100
A.J. EwingCF
NYMvsPHI· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #126
T100
Blake DunnCF
CIN@PIT· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #130
T100
Julio RodríguezCF
SEA@CLE· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #136
T100
Jarren DuranLF
BOSvsNYY· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #139
T100
Jared Young1B
NYMvsPHI· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #147
T100
Lars NootbaarLF
STLvsMIA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #155
T100
Eugenio SuárezDH
CIN@PIT· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #159
T100
Derek HillCF
PHI@NYM· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #165
T100
Spencer JonesRF
NYY@BOS· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #174
T100
Sal Stewart1B
CIN@PIT· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #177
T100
Jeff McNeil2B
ATH@LAA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #194
T100
Henry BolteCF
ATH@LAA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #198
T100
Drew CavanaughC
SFvsATL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #200
T100
Josh Rojas3B
KC@CWS· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #201
T100
Nolan Arenado3B
AZ@TB· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #202
T100
Tommy Edman2B
LAD@SD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #203
T100
Alex Bregman3B
CHC@MIL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #205
T100
Bryson Stott2B
PHI@NYM· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #206
T100
Jackson Holliday2B
BALvsWSH· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #211
T100
Victor BericotoLF
SFvsATL· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #215
T100
Connor WongC
BOSvsNYY· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #217
T100
Keibert RuizC
WSH@BAL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #218
T100
Tristan GraySS
MINvsCOL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #219
T100
Spencer Steer1B
CIN@PIT· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #221
T100
Anthony Seigler2B
BOSvsNYY· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #229
T100
Alika WilliamsSS
ATH@LAA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #238
T100
Nicky Lopez2B
TEX@TOR· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #239
T100
J.P. CrawfordSS
SEA@CLE· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #241
T100
Austin Riley3B
ATL@SF· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #250
T100
Blaze Alexander3B
BALvsWSH· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #251
T100
Steven KwanLF
CLEvsSEA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #252
T100
Cole Young2B
SEA@CLE· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #258
T100
Tommy TroyLF
AZ@TB· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #265
T100
Matt VierlingCF
DETvsHOU· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.2 TB, #267
T100
Ryan KreidlerSS
MINvsCOL· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB
T100
Alex CallLF
LAD@SD· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB
T100
Sal FrelickRF
MILvsCHC· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB
T100
Michael ConfortoDH
CHC@MIL· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB
T100
Luke RaleyRF
SEA@CLE· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB

Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Friday, June 26, 2026

Michael Harris II (ATL) is the top total bases matchup on the Friday, June 26, 2026 board at 100, with Byron Buxton (MIN) and Travis Bazzana (CLE) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots — raw power, the arm and bullpen they face, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top total bases spot: Michael Harris II

Michael Harris II (ATL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Trevor McDonald. The lefty is racking up bases at .515 TB/PA against righties this year — and .524 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a total base in about 44% of his trips. And Trevor McDonald has been getting squared up by righties lately — .650 total bases per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Trevor McDonald. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.

The rest of the top of the board

Byron Buxton (MIN) (100) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: an excellent bat at .528 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.520).
Travis Bazzana (CLE) (89) vs RHP Luis Castillo: a strong bat at .475 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.517), due to bounce back.
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) (87) vs LHP Payton Tolle: a strong bat at .470 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.380).
Alec Burleson (STL) (86) vs RHP Max Meyer: an excellent bat at .535 into an arm giving up bases to the same side (.378), hot bat.
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) (86) vs LHP Zach Thornton: a strong bat at .471 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Nick Kurtz (ATH) (84) vs RHP Walbert Ureña: a strong bat at .460 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.516), due to bounce back.
Juan Soto (NYM) (84) vs RHP Zack Wheeler: a strong bat at .465 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.419).

Arms giving up extra bases today

RHP Zac Gallen has been getting squared up by righties — .445 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jonathan Aranda (TB), Yandy Díaz (TB), and Junior Caminero (TB).
LHP Patrick Corbin has been getting squared up by lefties — .437 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Wyatt Langford (TEX), Jake Burger (TEX), and Josh Jung (TEX).
RHP Michael McGreevy has been getting squared up by righties — .430 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Griffin Conine (MIA), Kyle Stowers (MIA), and Owen Caissie (MIA).
RHP Trevor McDonald has been getting squared up by righties — .430 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Michael Harris II (ATL), Matt Olson (ATL), and Drake Baldwin (ATL).

Platoon edges to target

Michael Harris II (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .515 against righties this year.
Travis Bazzana (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .496 against righties this year.
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .635 against lefties this year.
Alec Burleson (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .532 against righties this year.
Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .448 against righties this year.

How it played out

6 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Michael Harris II finished with 1 total base. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these total bases matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the total bases board is

The Total Bases board projects how many bases a hitter racks up vs the posted total-bases line. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His extra-base pop vs this arm.
The park.
Recent contact quality.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Total bases grades right at break-even even when we tune it to the hilt — the book prices the marginal leans efficiently. Transparency board.

How to use it

See who the model projects for extra-base damage; no systematic edge to bet.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best total bases matchup today (Friday, June 26, 2026)?: Michael Harris II (ATL) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Trevor McDonald. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Friday, June 26, 2026)?: The top total bases matchups on Friday, June 26, 2026: Michael Harris II (100), Byron Buxton (100), Travis Bazzana (89), Paul Goldschmidt (87), Alec Burleson (86). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.
Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Friday, June 26, 2026?: Yes — Michael Harris II got 1 total base.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Michael Harris II (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .515 against righties this year. Travis Bazzana (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .496 against righties this year. Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .635 against lefties this year. Alec Burleson (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .532 against righties this year. Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .448 against righties this year.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: RHP Zac Gallen has been getting squared up by righties — .445 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jonathan Aranda (TB), Yandy Díaz (TB), and Junior Caminero (TB). LHP Patrick Corbin has been getting squared up by lefties — .437 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Wyatt Langford (TEX), Jake Burger (TEX), and Josh Jung (TEX). RHP Michael McGreevy has been getting squared up by righties — .430 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Griffin Conine (MIA), Kyle Stowers (MIA), and Owen Caissie (MIA). RHP Trevor McDonald has been getting squared up by righties — .430 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Michael Harris II (ATL), Matt Olson (ATL), and Drake Baldwin (ATL).
How is the total bases matchup score calculated?: It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.
What does TB/PA mean?: Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.
What are park factors?: Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.