Who has the best total bases matchup today (Monday, June 29, 2026)?

Esteury Ruiz (MIA) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Sean Sullivan. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Monday, June 29, 2026)?

The top total bases matchups on Monday, June 29, 2026: Esteury Ruiz (100), Pete Crow-Armstrong (100), Shea Langeliers (100), Jake McCarthy (99), Zach Neto (98). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.

Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Monday, June 29, 2026?

No — Esteury Ruiz didn't record a total base.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Esteury Ruiz (MIA) — righty bat vs LHP, .556 against lefties this year. Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .477 against righties this year. Shea Langeliers (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .593 against lefties this year. Jake McCarthy (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .438 against righties this year. Otto Lopez (MIA) — righty bat vs LHP, .582 against lefties this year.

Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?

RHP Aaron Nola has been getting squared up by righties — .439 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Brandon Lowe (PIT), Bryan Reynolds (PIT), and Konnor Griffin (PIT). RHP Zebby Matthews has been getting squared up by righties — .432 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Yordan Alvarez (HOU), Jose Altuve (HOU), and Taylor Trammell (HOU). LHP Sean Manaea has been vulnerable to lefties — .417 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: George Springer (TOR), Kazuma Okamoto (TOR), and Ernie Clement (TOR). RHP Miles Mikolas has been vulnerable to righties — .415 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Willson Contreras (BOS), Masataka Yoshida (BOS), and Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS).

How is the total bases matchup score calculated?

It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.

What does TB/PA mean?

Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.

What are park factors?

Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB total bases matchups — Monday, June 29, 2026

Every hitter on the Monday, June 29, 2026 slate — ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Monday, June 29, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 3/5 (60%) on our total-bases over/under, against 50% on the season.

Top 5

3/560%

season 50%

Top 10

5/1050%

season 49%

Full slate

117/22652%

season 51%

Top call Pete Crow-Armstrong came through. Esteury Ruiz didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 8–2

CWSaway

BALhomeTop matchup72 Final · 11–7

PITaway

PHIhomeTop matchup88 Final · 7–3

DETaway

NYYhomeTop matchup76 Final · 1–2

NYMaway

TORhomeTop matchup59 Final · 3–6

WSHaway

BOShomeTop matchup61 Final · 6–3

TEXaway

CLEhomeTop matchup65 Final · 3–5

CINaway

MILhomeTop matchup80 Final · 2–3

SDaway

CHChomeTop matchup100 Final · 5–4

MINaway

HOUhomeTop matchup81 Final · 10–7

MIAaway

COLhomeTop matchup100 Final · 9–4

LADaway

ATHhomeTop matchup100 Final · 2–6

LAAaway

SEAhomeTop matchup98 Final · 4–5

SFaway

AZhomeTop matchup76

Not starting61 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 295 shownScore

161 with a TBLive count — updates as games play

1
Cole Young2B
SEAvsLAA· 3-for-3
9TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #102
2
Brandon MarshLF
PHIvsPIT· 2-for-5
8TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #28
T2
Cam SmithRF
HOUvsMIN· 2-for-4
8TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #201
4
Zach NetoSS
LAA@SEA· 2-for-3
6TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #5
T4
Otto LopezSS
MIA@COL· 2-for-5
6TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #6
T4
Hunter GoodmanC
COLvsMIA· 2-for-5
6TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #19
T4
Esmerlyn ValdezRF
PIT@PHI· 2-for-3
6TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #71
T4
Javier Sanoja3B
MIA@COL· 3-for-5
6TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #99
9
Shohei OhtaniTWP
LAD@ATH· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #10
T9
Max Muncy3B
LAD@ATH· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #20
T9
Taylor TrammellCF
HOUvsMIN· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #62
T9
Endy RodríguezC
PIT@PHI· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #67
T9
Trea TurnerSS
PHIvsPIT· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #81
T9
Andy PagesCF
LAD@ATH· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #90
T9
Colby ThomasRF
ATHvsLAD· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #136
T9
Nolan Arenado3B
AZvsSF· 2-for-2
5TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #217
17
Jake McCarthyLF
COLvsMIA· 2-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 2.1 TB, #4
T17
Dominic CanzoneDH
SEAvsLAA· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #7
T17
Bryce Harper1B
PHIvsPIT· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 2.1 TB, #11
T17
Ketel Marte2B
AZvsSF· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #29
T17
Heliot RamosLF
SF@AZ· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #30
T17
Justin Foscue2B
TEX@CLE· 2-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #44
T17
Willson Contreras1B
BOSvsWSH· 1-for-2
4TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #54
T17
Miguel AndujarDH
SD@CHC· 3-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #74
T17
James WoodRF
WSH@BOS· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #79
T17
Caleb Durbin3B
BOSvsWSH· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #86
T17
Elly De La CruzSS
CIN@MIL· 1-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #91
T17
Francisco LindorSS
NYM@TOR· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #128
T17
Josh BellDH
MIN@HOU· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #134
T17
Brice Turang2B
MILvsCIN· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #148
T17
Josh LoweLF
LAA@SEA· 2-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #162
T17
Jared TrioloSS
PIT@PHI· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #176
T17
Royce Lewis1B
MIN@HOU· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #177
T17
Spencer JonesRF
NYYvsDET· 2-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #183
T17
Gabriel Arias3B
CLEvsTEX· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #187
T17
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer3B
ATHvsLAD· 3-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #192
T17
Victor CaratiniC
MIN@HOU· 1-for-2
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #197
T17
Joey OrtizSS
MILvsCIN· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #229
T17
Griffin ConineRF
MIA@COL· 1-for-2
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB
T17
Amed Rosario3B
NYYvsDET· 1-for-1
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB
41
Konnor GriffinSS
PIT@PHI· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #36
T41
Gunnar HendersonSS
BALvsCWS· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #52
T41
Chase DeLauterRF
CLEvsTEX· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #61
T41
George SpringerDH
TORvsNYM· 1-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #64
T41
Andrew Vaughn1B
MILvsCIN· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #66
T41
Luis Arraez2B
SF@AZ· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #72
T41
Hao-Yu Lee2B
DET@NYY· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #83
T41
Kyle Karros3B
COLvsMIA· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #103
T41
Seiya SuzukiRF
CHCvsSD· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #113
T41
Josh Jung3B
TEX@CLE· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #114
T41
Miguel Rojas2B
LAD@ATH· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #125
T41
Anthony Seigler2B
BOSvsWSH· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #137
T41
Victor BericotoLF
SF@AZ· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #146
T41
Edouard Julien2B
COLvsMIA· 2-for-2
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #157
T41
Cam CauleyCF
TEX@CLE· 1-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #174
T41
Jacob GonzalezSS
CWS@BAL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #179
T41
Xander BogaertsSS
SD@CHC· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #186
T41
Dansby SwansonSS
CHCvsSD· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #218
T41
Sal FrelickRF
MILvsCIN· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #223
60
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
CHCvsSD· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 2.2 TB, #2
T60
Freddie Freeman1B
LAD@ATH· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #13
T60
Bryan ReynoldsLF
PIT@PHI· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #17
T60
Kyle Stowers1B
MIA@COL· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #22
T60
Heriberto HernándezLF
MIA@COL· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #25
T60
Sam AntonacciLF
CWS@BAL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #35
T60
Ryan O'HearnRF
PIT@PHI· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #40
T60
Brooks Lee3B
MIN@HOU· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #49
T60
Ty France1B
SD@CHC· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #53
T60
Leo Jiménez3B
MIA@COL· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #59
T60
Juan SotoLF
NYM@TOR· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #63
T60
Colson MontgomerySS
CWS@BAL· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #68
T60
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
BOSvsWSH· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #69
T60
Geraldo PerdomoSS
AZvsSF· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #78
T60
Dillon DinglerC
DET@NYY· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #80
T60
Miguel Vargas3B
CWS@BAL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #88
T60
Kevin McGonigleSS
DET@NYY· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #93
T60
CJ AbramsSS
WSH@BOS· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #94
T60
Kyle TuckerRF
LAD@ATH· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #101
T60
Alika WilliamsSS
ATHvsLAD· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #108
T60
Brayan RocchioSS
CLEvsTEX· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #115
T60
Braden MontgomeryRF
CWS@BAL· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #118
T60
Curtis Mead3B
WSH@BOS· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #127
T60
Jake MangumCF
PIT@PHI· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #138
T60
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.LF
AZvsSF· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #142
T60
Teoscar HernándezLF
LAD@ATH· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #153
T60
Alex Bregman3B
CHCvsSD· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #159
T60
Bryce EldridgeDH
SF@AZ· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #170
T60
Luis Urías2B
TORvsNYM· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #171
T60
Justin CrawfordCF
PHIvsPIT· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #172
T60
Francisco AlvarezC
NYM@TOR· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #184
T60
Dalton RushingC
LAD@ATH· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #191
T60
Dane MyersCF
CIN@MIL· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #195
T60
Nicky Lopez2B
TEX@CLE· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #203
T60
Zach McKinstry2B
DET@NYY· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #204
T60
Chase Meidroth2B
CWS@BAL· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #207
T60
Tyler StephensonC
CIN@MIL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #228
T60
Evan CarterCF
TEX@CLE· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.1 TB, #234
T60
Owen CaissieRF
MIA@COL· 2-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB
T60
Kerry CarpenterRF
DET@NYY· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB
100
TJ Rumfield1B
COLvsMIA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #8
T100
Henry BolteCF
ATHvsLAD· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #9
T100
Nick Kurtz1B
ATHvsLAD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #15
T100
Jonah HeimC
ATHvsLAD· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #16
T100
Denzer Guzman3B
LAA@SEA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #24
T100
Julio RodríguezCF
SEAvsLAA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #32
T100
Xavier Edwards2B
MIA@COL· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #34
T100
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
SD@CHC· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #38
T100
Jorge SolerDH
LAA@SEA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #39
T100
Trevor LarnachLF
MIN@HOU· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #45
T100
Wade MecklerLF
LAA@SEA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #46
T100
Samad TaylorLF
SD@CHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #47
T100
Jo AdellRF
LAA@SEA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #48
T100
Samuel BasalloC
BALvsCWS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #56
T100
Masataka YoshidaDH
BOSvsWSH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #60
T100
Ryan KreidlerSS
MIN@HOU· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #65
T100
Cole CarriggCF
COLvsMIA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #70
T100
Matt VierlingCF
DET@NYY· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #73
T100
Sal Stewart1B
CIN@MIL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #82
T100
Wilyer AbreuRF
BOSvsWSH· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #84
T100
Kyle TeelC
CWS@BAL· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #85
T100
Randal GrichukDH
CWS@BAL· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #89
T100
Carson BengeRF
NYM@TOR· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #95
T100
Ernie Clement2B
TORvsNYM· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #97
T100
Tristan PetersCF
CWS@BAL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #98
T100
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
TORvsNYM· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #106
T100
Joe MackC
MIA@COL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #107
T100
Bryson Stott2B
PHIvsPIT· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #112
T100
Cal RaleighC
SEAvsLAA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #117
T100
Jake Burger1B
TEX@CLE· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #120
T100
Spencer Steer1B
CIN@MIL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #123
T100
Rafael Devers1B
SF@AZ· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #129
T100
Kahlil WatsonRF
CLEvsTEX· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #133
T100
Spencer Torkelson1B
DET@NYY· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #135
T100
J.T. RealmutoC
PHIvsPIT· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #141
T100
Jackson MerrillCF
SD@CHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #149
T100
Jared Young1B
NYM@TOR· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #152
T100
Luis García Jr.1B
WSH@BOS· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #154
T100
Michael ConfortoDH
CHCvsSD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #158
T100
Alejandro OsunaLF
TEX@CLE· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #160
T100
Rhys Hoskins1B
CLEvsTEX· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #163
T100
JJ BledayLF
CIN@MIL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #167
T100
Freddy FerminC
SD@CHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #173
T100
David FryRF
CLEvsTEX· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #175
T100
Tsung-Che ChengSS
BOSvsWSH· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #178
T100
Jackson Holliday2B
BALvsCWS· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #181
T100
Mookie BettsSS
LAD@ATH· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #182
T100
Andrés Chaparro1B
WSH@BOS· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #189
T100
James OutmanCF
DET@NYY· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #193
T100
Max Muncy3B
ATHvsLAD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #206
T100
Austin HedgesC
CLEvsTEX· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #208
T100
Noelvi MarteRF
CIN@MIL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #209
T100
Nick AllenSS
HOUvsMIN· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #210
T100
Steven KwanLF
CLEvsTEX· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #211
T100
Keibert RuizC
WSH@BOS· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #216
T100
Nico Hoerner2B
CHCvsSD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #221
T100
Matt McLain2B
CIN@MIL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #224
T100
Luke Keaschall2B
MIN@HOU· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #225
T100
Edwin Arroyo2B
CIN@MIL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #227
T100
Tommy TroyLF
AZvsSF· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #231
T100
Christian VázquezC
HOUvsMIN· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #232
T100
Jake Bauers1B
MILvsCIN· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB

Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Monday, June 29, 2026

Esteury Ruiz (MIA) is the top total bases matchup on the Monday, June 29, 2026 board at 100, with Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) and Shea Langeliers (ATH) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots — raw power, the arm and bullpen they face, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top total bases spot: Esteury Ruiz

Esteury Ruiz (MIA) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Sean Sullivan. The righty is racking up bases at .556 TB/PA against lefties this year — and .909 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a total base in about 46% of his trips. And Sean Sullivan has been thin against lefties lately. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Sean Sullivan. It all sets up in a hitter's park, weather helping.

The rest of the top of the board

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (100) vs RHP Griffin Canning: an excellent bat at .517 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.412), due to bounce back.
Shea Langeliers (ATH) (100) vs LHP Eric Lauer: a strong bat at .442 into an arm tough on the same side (.231).
Jake McCarthy (COL) (99) vs RHP Sandy Alcantara: a strong bat at .443 into an arm tough on the same side (.194), hitter's park.
Zach Neto (LAA) (98) vs RHP George Kirby: a solid bat at .411 into an arm giving up bases to the same side (.350), due to bounce back.
Otto Lopez (MIA) (93) vs LHP Sean Sullivan: a solid bat at .400 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
Dominic Canzone (SEA) (91) vs RHP Ryan Johnson: a solid bat at .415 into an arm giving up bases to the same side (.364).
TJ Rumfield (COL) (90) vs RHP Sandy Alcantara: a strong bat at .470 into an arm tough on the same side (.194), hitter's park, hot bat.

Arms giving up extra bases today

RHP Aaron Nola has been getting squared up by righties — .439 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Brandon Lowe (PIT), Bryan Reynolds (PIT), and Konnor Griffin (PIT).
RHP Zebby Matthews has been getting squared up by righties — .432 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Yordan Alvarez (HOU), Jose Altuve (HOU), and Taylor Trammell (HOU).
LHP Sean Manaea has been vulnerable to lefties — .417 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: George Springer (TOR), Kazuma Okamoto (TOR), and Ernie Clement (TOR).
RHP Miles Mikolas has been vulnerable to righties — .415 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Willson Contreras (BOS), Masataka Yoshida (BOS), and Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS).

Platoon edges to target

Esteury Ruiz (MIA) — righty bat vs LHP, .556 against lefties this year.
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .477 against righties this year.
Shea Langeliers (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .593 against lefties this year.
Jake McCarthy (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .438 against righties this year.
Otto Lopez (MIA) — righty bat vs LHP, .582 against lefties this year.

Best parks for total bases today

Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% extra-base park). Top bat there: Esteury Ruiz (MIA) at 100.

How it played out

8 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Esteury Ruiz finished with 0 total bases. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these total bases matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the total bases board is

The Total Bases board projects how many bases a hitter racks up vs the posted total-bases line. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His extra-base pop vs this arm.
The park.
Recent contact quality.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Total bases grades right at break-even even when we tune it to the hilt — the book prices the marginal leans efficiently. Transparency board.

How to use it

See who the model projects for extra-base damage; no systematic edge to bet.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best total bases matchup today (Monday, June 29, 2026)?: Esteury Ruiz (MIA) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Sean Sullivan. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Monday, June 29, 2026)?: The top total bases matchups on Monday, June 29, 2026: Esteury Ruiz (100), Pete Crow-Armstrong (100), Shea Langeliers (100), Jake McCarthy (99), Zach Neto (98). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.
Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Monday, June 29, 2026?: No — Esteury Ruiz didn't record a total base.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Esteury Ruiz (MIA) — righty bat vs LHP, .556 against lefties this year. Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .477 against righties this year. Shea Langeliers (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .593 against lefties this year. Jake McCarthy (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .438 against righties this year. Otto Lopez (MIA) — righty bat vs LHP, .582 against lefties this year.
Which parks favor total bases today?: Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% extra-base park). Top bat there: Esteury Ruiz (MIA) at 100.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: RHP Aaron Nola has been getting squared up by righties — .439 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Brandon Lowe (PIT), Bryan Reynolds (PIT), and Konnor Griffin (PIT). RHP Zebby Matthews has been getting squared up by righties — .432 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Yordan Alvarez (HOU), Jose Altuve (HOU), and Taylor Trammell (HOU). LHP Sean Manaea has been vulnerable to lefties — .417 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: George Springer (TOR), Kazuma Okamoto (TOR), and Ernie Clement (TOR). RHP Miles Mikolas has been vulnerable to righties — .415 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Willson Contreras (BOS), Masataka Yoshida (BOS), and Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS).
How is the total bases matchup score calculated?: It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.
What does TB/PA mean?: Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.
What are park factors?: Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.