Who has the best hits matchup today (Thursday, June 25, 2026)?

Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Connelly Early. An excellent bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB hits matchups today (Thursday, June 25, 2026)?

The top hits matchups on Thursday, June 25, 2026: Paul Goldschmidt (100), Pete Crow-Armstrong (92), Jonathan Aranda (91), Jake Mangum (81), Yandy Díaz (79). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by hits upside.

Did the top hits matchup get a hit on Thursday, June 25, 2026?

Yes — Paul Goldschmidt got 2 hits.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .341 against lefties this year. Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .252 against righties this year. Jonathan Aranda (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .243 against righties this year. Jake Mangum (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .277 against righties this year. Brandon Marsh (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .316 against righties this year.

Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?

RHP Casey Legumina has been getting tattooed by righties — .290 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Nick Loftin (KC), Carter Jensen (KC), and Jac Caglianone (KC). LHP Jeffrey Springs has been giving up plenty to lefties — .257 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Casey Schmitt (SF), Bryce Eldridge (SF), and Matt Chapman (SF).

How is the hits matchup score calculated?

It's a weighted read of how often he gets a hit against the hand he's facing — last two weeks first, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then the opposing bullpen, his spot in the order, and the yard. Scores run 0–100 across the slate, so today's best matchup is always 100.

It's the share of a hitter's trips to the plate that end in a hit. Around .250 is league average. .300+ is elite. We use it instead of batting average because it's measured per plate appearance — exactly what a daily matchup is asking.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the arm, and the yard all point the same way. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It ranks today's spots against each other — it isn't the odds of a hit.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a hit.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Most bats hit the opposite hand better, and on a contact board that gap is mostly about seeing the ball early — a lefty picks up a righty's fastball a beat sooner and shoots it the other way. The score leans on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, so the same guy can lead this board on Tuesday and sit mid-pack on Wednesday.

What are park factors?

Parks aren't neutral for base hits. Big outfield gaps and fast turf turn playable balls into singles and doubles; deep foul ground eats an extra out an inning. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a hit in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for hits props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ hit" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score, and the top of the hits board lands a hit far more often than the slate as a whole. Weights are re-tuned weekly on a held-out split, and because results sit next to the projections you can audit any past date yourself.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB hits matchups — Thursday, June 25, 2026

Every hitter on the Thursday, June 25, 2026 slate — ranked by who's most likely to get a hit. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Thursday, June 25, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 4/5 (80%) on 1+ hit, against 65% on the season.

Top 5

4/580%

season 65%

Top 10

9/1090%

season 68%

Full slate

86/14460%

season 57%

Top call Paul Goldschmidt came through. Jake Mangum didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 2–13

KCaway

TBhomeTop matchup91 Final · 1–5

SEAaway

PIThomeTop matchup81 Final · 9–6

ATHaway

SFhomeTop matchup72 Final · 2–1

HOUaway

DEThomeTop matchup74 Final · 10–5

PHIaway

WSHhomeTop matchup77 Final · 6–5

TEXaway

TORhomeTop matchup68 Final · 4–3

CHCaway

NYMhomeTop matchup92 Final · 3–6

NYYaway

BOShomeTop matchup100

Not starting39 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 183 shownScore

88 with a HLive count — updates as games play

1
Jonathan Aranda1B
TBvsKC· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #3
T1
Dylan CrewsRF
WSHvsPHI· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #7
T1
Henry BolteCF
ATH@SF· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #33
T1
Junior Caminero3B
TBvsKC· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #50
T1
Jeff McNeil2B
ATH@SF· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #113
6
Paul Goldschmidt1B
NYY@BOS· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.3 H, #1
T6
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
CHC@NYM· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.3 H, #2
T6
Brandon MarshLF
PHI@WSH· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #6
T6
Trea TurnerSS
PHI@WSH· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #8
T6
Bryce Harper1B
PHI@WSH· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #9
T6
Jeremy PeñaSS
HOU@DET· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #11
T6
Kyle SchwarberDH
PHI@WSH· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #20
T6
Brandon Lowe2B
PITvsSEA· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #38
T6
Richie Palacios2B
TBvsKC· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #45
T6
Jake Burger1B
TEX@TOR· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #48
T6
Tyler SoderstromLF
ATH@SF· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #66
T6
Ernie Clement2B
TORvsTEX· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #67
T6
Riley GreeneLF
DETvsHOU· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #73
T6
Joc PedersonDH
TEX@TOR· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #74
T6
Caleb Durbin3B
BOSvsNYY· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #76
T6
Justin CrawfordCF
PHI@WSH· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #81
T6
Daylen LileLF
WSHvsPHI· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #82
T6
Cedric MullinsCF
TBvsKC· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #89
T6
Lawrence ButlerRF
ATH@SF· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #92
T6
José CaballeroSS
NYY@BOS· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #100
T6
Kazuma Okamoto3B
TORvsTEX· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #101
T6
Alika WilliamsSS
ATH@SF· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #107
T6
Anthony Seigler2B
BOSvsNYY· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #117
T6
Nicky Lopez2B
TEX@TOR· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #132
T6
Kyle HigashiokaC
TEX@TOR· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #136
T6
Henry DavisC
PITvsSEA· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #144
32
Yandy DíazDH
TBvsKC· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #5
T32
Bo Bichette3B
NYMvsCHC· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #10
T32
Casey SchmittLF
SFvsATH· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #13
T32
Wyatt LangfordLF
TEX@TOR· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #16
T32
Dillon DinglerC
DETvsHOU· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #17
T32
Chandler SimpsonLF
TBvsKC· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #19
T32
Curtis Mead3B
WSHvsPHI· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #21
T32
Carter JensenC
KC@TB· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #22
T32
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
BOSvsNYY· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #23
T32
Nick Gonzales3B
PITvsSEA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #24
T32
Jasson DomínguezRF
NYY@BOS· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #26
T32
Bryan ReynoldsLF
PITvsSEA· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #27
T32
Amed Rosario3B
NYY@BOS· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #29
T32
Matt Chapman3B
SFvsATH· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #30
T32
Kevin McGonigleSS
DETvsHOU· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #32
T32
Carson BengeRF
NYMvsCHC· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #35
T32
Juan SotoLF
NYMvsCHC· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #37
T32
Jung Hoo LeeRF
SFvsATH· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #44
T32
Nasim Nuñez2B
WSHvsPHI· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #51
T32
Alex Bregman3B
CHC@NYM· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #52
T32
J.P. CrawfordSS
SEA@PIT· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #54
T32
Julio RodríguezCF
SEA@PIT· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #60
T32
Randy ArozarenaLF
SEA@PIT· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #61
T32
Shea LangeliersC
ATH@SF· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #62
T32
Michael Busch1B
CHC@NYM· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #64
T32
Christian Walker1B
HOU@DET· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #68
T32
Jonah HeimC
ATH@SF· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #70
T32
Ryan O'HearnRF
PITvsSEA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #75
T32
Michael ConfortoDH
CHC@NYM· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #78
T32
Taylor WallsSS
TBvsKC· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #80
T32
Josh Naylor1B
SEA@PIT· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #85
T32
Jacob YoungCF
WSHvsPHI· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #86
T32
Ian HappLF
CHC@NYM· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #87
T32
Cal RaleighC
SEA@PIT· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #88
T32
Victor BericotoLF
SFvsATH· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #90
T32
Alejandro KirkC
TORvsTEX· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #95
T32
J.T. RealmutoC
PHI@WSH· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #96
T32
Jarren DuranLF
BOSvsNYY· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #102
T32
Willy AdamesSS
SFvsATH· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #103
T32
Cam SmithRF
HOU@DET· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #104
T32
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
NYY@BOS· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #105
T32
Ronny MauricioSS
NYMvsCHC· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #108
T32
Max Muncy3B
ATH@SF· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #109
T32
Luke RaleyRF
SEA@PIT· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #110
T32
Victor Mesa Jr.RF
TBvsKC· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #114
T32
Hao-Yu Lee2B
DETvsHOU· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #119
T32
Jared TrioloSS
PITvsSEA· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #120
T32
MJ MelendezDH
NYMvsCHC· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #122
T32
A.J. EwingCF
NYMvsCHC· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #126
T32
Austin WellsC
NYY@BOS· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #128
T32
Alejandro OsunaLF
TEX@TOR· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #129
T32
Myles StrawCF
TORvsTEX· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #133
T32
Carlos NarváezC
BOSvsNYY· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #134
T32
Taylor TrammellCF
HOU@DET· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #135
T32
Brett Baty3B
NYMvsCHC· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #137
T32
Jared Young1B
NYMvsCHC· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
T32
Nick FortesC
TBvsKC· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H

Best MLB Hits Matchups — Thursday, June 25, 2026

Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) is the top hits matchup on the Thursday, June 25, 2026 board at 100, with Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) and Jonathan Aranda (TB) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by who's most likely to get a hit — handedness splits, the pitcher and bullpen they're facing, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top hits spot: Paul Goldschmidt

Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Connelly Early. The righty is hitting .341 H/PA against lefties this year — and .350 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a hit in about 29% of his trips. And Connelly Early has been getting tattooed by lefties lately — .294 hits per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Connelly Early. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.

The rest of the top of the board

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (92) vs RHP Freddy Peralta: an excellent bat at .285 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.295), hot bat.
Jonathan Aranda (TB) (91) vs RHP Seth Lugo: a strong bat at .268 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.286), hot bat.
Jake Mangum (PIT) (81) vs RHP Bryce Miller: an excellent bat at .284 into an arm tough on the same side (.160).
Yandy Díaz (TB) (79) vs RHP Seth Lugo: an excellent bat at .280 into an arm tough on the same side (.133).
Brandon Marsh (PHI) (77) vs RHP Cade Cavalli: an excellent bat at .272 into an arm giving up plenty to the same side (.240).
Dylan Crews (WSH) (76) vs LHP Cristopher Sánchez: an excellent bat at .273 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.289).
Trea Turner (PHI) (76) vs RHP Cade Cavalli: a solid bat at .240 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.364).

Pitchers getting tattooed today

RHP Casey Legumina has been getting tattooed by righties — .290 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Nick Loftin (KC), Carter Jensen (KC), and Jac Caglianone (KC).
LHP Jeffrey Springs has been giving up plenty to lefties — .257 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Casey Schmitt (SF), Bryce Eldridge (SF), and Matt Chapman (SF).

Platoon edges to target

Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .341 against lefties this year.
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .252 against righties this year.
Jonathan Aranda (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .243 against righties this year.
Jake Mangum (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .277 against righties this year.
Brandon Marsh (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .316 against righties this year.

Hot bats and bounce-back spots

Swinging hot bats: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Jonathan Aranda (TB), Carter Jensen (KC), Bryan Reynolds (PIT), Isaac Paredes (HOU), and Brandon Lowe (PIT). Cold but due to bounce back: Bryce Eldridge (SF), James Wood (WSH), Masataka Yoshida (BOS), Nick Kurtz (ATH), and Kerry Carpenter (DET).

How it played out

9 of the top 10 hits matchups landed at least one hit. Top play Paul Goldschmidt finished with 2 hits. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these hits matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the hits board is

The Hits board projects the chance a hitter records at least one hit, matchup-adjusted. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

The hitter's contact rate vs this pitcher's hand.
The starter's hit-suppression and the park.
Recent form, without over-reacting to a hot or cold week.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Hits is an efficient market — the book prices a 1+ hit line about as well as we do, so we publish our number as graded transparency, not a play. Our projection is sharp (the ranking is well-calibrated); the book just isn't leaving room on it.

How to use it

Use it to see who the model likes to square one up, and how that squares with the price — but there's no systematic edge here, so treat it as research, not a lean.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best hits matchup today (Thursday, June 25, 2026)?: Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Connelly Early. An excellent bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB hits matchups today (Thursday, June 25, 2026)?: The top hits matchups on Thursday, June 25, 2026: Paul Goldschmidt (100), Pete Crow-Armstrong (92), Jonathan Aranda (91), Jake Mangum (81), Yandy Díaz (79). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by hits upside.
Did the top hits matchup get a hit on Thursday, June 25, 2026?: Yes — Paul Goldschmidt got 2 hits.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .341 against lefties this year. Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .252 against righties this year. Jonathan Aranda (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .243 against righties this year. Jake Mangum (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .277 against righties this year. Brandon Marsh (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .316 against righties this year.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: RHP Casey Legumina has been getting tattooed by righties — .290 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Nick Loftin (KC), Carter Jensen (KC), and Jac Caglianone (KC). LHP Jeffrey Springs has been giving up plenty to lefties — .257 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Casey Schmitt (SF), Bryce Eldridge (SF), and Matt Chapman (SF).
Are any hitters hot or due today?: Swinging hot bats: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Jonathan Aranda (TB), Carter Jensen (KC), Bryan Reynolds (PIT), Isaac Paredes (HOU), and Brandon Lowe (PIT). Cold but due to bounce back: Bryce Eldridge (SF), James Wood (WSH), Masataka Yoshida (BOS), Nick Kurtz (ATH), and Kerry Carpenter (DET).
How is the hits matchup score calculated?: It's a weighted read of how often he gets a hit against the hand he's facing — last two weeks first, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then the opposing bullpen, his spot in the order, and the yard. Scores run 0–100 across the slate, so today's best matchup is always 100.
What does H/PA mean?: It's the share of a hitter's trips to the plate that end in a hit. Around .250 is league average. .300+ is elite. We use it instead of batting average because it's measured per plate appearance — exactly what a daily matchup is asking.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the arm, and the yard all point the same way. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It ranks today's spots against each other — it isn't the odds of a hit.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a hit.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Most bats hit the opposite hand better, and on a contact board that gap is mostly about seeing the ball early — a lefty picks up a righty's fastball a beat sooner and shoots it the other way. The score leans on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, so the same guy can lead this board on Tuesday and sit mid-pack on Wednesday.
What are park factors?: Parks aren't neutral for base hits. Big outfield gaps and fast turf turn playable balls into singles and doubles; deep foul ground eats an extra out an inning. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a hit in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for hits props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ hit" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score, and the top of the hits board lands a hit far more often than the slate as a whole. Weights are re-tuned weekly on a held-out split, and because results sit next to the projections you can audit any past date yourself.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.