Who has the best h+r+rbi matchup today (Thursday, July 2, 2026)?

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Randy Vásquez. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB h+r+rbi matchups today (Thursday, July 2, 2026)?

The top h+r+rbi matchups on Thursday, July 2, 2026: Shohei Ohtani (100), Junior Caminero (100), Otto Lopez (100), Liam Hicks (100), Yandy Díaz (95). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by h+r+rbi upside.

Did the top h+r+rbi matchup get a H+R+RBI on Thursday, July 2, 2026?

Yes — Shohei Ohtani got 1 H+R+RBI.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .554 against righties this year. Liam Hicks (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .606 against righties this year. Freddie Freeman (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .568 against righties this year. Kyle Stowers (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .467 against righties this year. Bryce Harper (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .614 against righties this year.

Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?

RHP Randy Vásquez has been getting lit up by righties — .609 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Shohei Ohtani (LAD), Freddie Freeman (LAD), and Mookie Betts (LAD). RHP Stephen Kolek has been getting lit up by righties — .560 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Junior Caminero (TB), Yandy Díaz (TB), and Jonathan Aranda (TB). RHP Dustin May has been getting lit up by righties — .558 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Ozzie Albies (ATL), Drake Baldwin (ATL), and Matt Olson (ATL). RHP Michael Lorenzen has been getting lit up by righties — .543 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Otto Lopez (MIA), Liam Hicks (MIA), and Kyle Stowers (MIA).

How is the h+r+rbi matchup score calculated?

It blends three routes to the line: his hit rate against that hand, the bats in front of him for RBI, and the bats behind him for runs. Recent form counts most. Then the bullpen, order spot and park. 0–100 across the slate.

What does H+R+RBI mean?

It adds a hitter's hits, runs scored, and runs batted in into one number — the books call it a combo prop. It rewards all-around production: a 2-hit night with a run and an RBI is 4. Per plate appearance, around .45 is league average.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better. H+R+RBI is the most forgiving prop on the board — three ways to get there — so scores run higher here than on any single-outcome board. Compare within this board, not across.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a H+R+RBI.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

This board stacks three outcomes, so the platoon split compounds. The opposite hand lifts his own hit chances and the chances he's on base when the next guy drives him in.

What are park factors?

A park that produces hits produces all three legs of this number. Gaps, altitude, and weather raise the whole line together. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a H+R+RBI in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for h+r+rbi props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ H+R+RBI" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score. Three ways to clear one line makes this the most forgiving prop we publish, and the hit rate reflects that — compare it against the other boards' rates, not in isolation.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB H+R+RBI matchups — Thursday, July 2, 2026

Every hitter on the Thursday, July 2, 2026 slate — ranked by combined hits + runs + RBI upside — the best all-around production. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Thursday, July 2, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 2/5 (40%) on our H+R+RBI over/under, against 63% on the season.

Top 5

2/540%

season 63%

Top 10

2/1020%

season 61%

Full slate

85/16053%

season 50%

Top call Otto Lopez came through. Shohei Ohtani didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 6–1

PITaway

PHIhomeTop matchup92 Final · 7–2

CINaway

MILhomeTop matchup66 Final · 4–14

MIAaway

COLhomeTop matchup100 Final · 5–6

CWSaway

CLEhomeTop matchup61 Final · 11–5

STLaway

ATLhomeTop matchup73 Final · 5–2

TBaway

KChomeTop matchup100 Final · 4–10

DETaway

TEXhomeTop matchup60 Final · 0–1

LAAaway

SEAhomeTop matchup55 Final · 7–12

SDaway

LADhomeTop matchup100

Not starting37 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 199 shownScore

121 with a H+R+RBILive count — updates as games play

1
Dalton RushingC
LADvsSD· 4-for-4
11H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #90
2
Jake McCarthyLF
COLvsMIA· 2-for-4
9H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.4 H+R+RBI, #18
3
Mickey MoniakLF
COLvsMIA· 3-for-5
8H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.4 H+R+RBI, #15
T3
Kyle TuckerRF
LADvsSD· 4-for-4
8H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #80
T3
Jordan WalkerRF
STL@ATL· 2-for-4
8H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #97
6
Jose TrevinoC
CIN@MIL· 3-for-4
7H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #143
7
Nick Gonzales3B
PIT@PHI· 3-for-5
6H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #67
T7
Esmerlyn ValdezRF
PIT@PHI· 2-for-4
6H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #70
T7
Alejandro OsunaLF
TEXvsDET· 3-for-5
6H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #151
T7
Nicky Lopez2B
TEXvsDET· 3-for-5
6H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.5 H+R+RBI, #160
11
Otto LopezSS
MIA@COL· 3-for-5
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.6 H+R+RBI, #3
T11
Mookie BettsSS
LADvsSD· 2-for-5
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.4 H+R+RBI, #19
T11
Jake MangumCF
PIT@PHI· 3-for-5
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.3 H+R+RBI, #23
T11
TJ Rumfield1B
COLvsMIA· 2-for-4
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.3 H+R+RBI, #25
T11
Max Muncy3B
LADvsSD· 2-for-5
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #49
T11
JJ Wetherholt2B
STL@ATL· 2-for-5
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #50
T11
Troy JohnstonRF
COLvsMIA· 2-for-4
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #52
T11
Dominic SmithDH
ATLvsSTL· 1-for-4
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #60
T11
Chandler SimpsonLF
TB@KC· 3-for-4
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #61
T11
Cedric MullinsCF
TB@KC· 2-for-4
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #64
T11
Josh Jung3B
TEXvsDET· 2-for-3
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #73
T11
Elias DíazC
TEXvsDET· 2-for-4
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #91
T11
Jake Cronenworth2B
SD@LAD· 1-for-5
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #92
T11
Tommy Edman2B
LADvsSD· 2-for-4
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #98
T11
Brayan RocchioSS
CLEvsCWS· 1-for-4
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #109
T11
Masyn WinnSS
STL@ATL· 3-for-4
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #121
T11
TJ FriedlCF
CIN@MIL· 2-for-3
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.4 H+R+RBI, #162
28
Andy PagesCF
LADvsSD· 1-for-4
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.3 H+R+RBI, #27
T28
Carter JensenC
KCvsTB· 2-for-4
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.3 H+R+RBI, #28
T28
Sam AntonacciLF
CWS@CLE· 2-for-4
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.3 H+R+RBI, #31
T28
Travis Bazzana2B
CLEvsCWS· 2-for-3
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.3 H+R+RBI, #34
T28
Willi Castro2B
COLvsMIA· 1-for-3
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #53
T28
Manny Machado3B
SD@LAD· 1-for-3
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #57
T28
Mauricio DubónLF
ATLvsSTL· 2-for-3
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #58
T28
Alec Burleson1B
STL@ATL· 1-for-5
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #68
T28
Cole CarriggCF
COLvsMIA· 1-for-3
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #71
T28
Ezequiel DuranSS
TEXvsDET· 2-for-4
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #83
T28
Chase Meidroth2B
CWS@CLE· 1-for-4
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #113
T28
Brett SullivanC
COLvsMIA· 2-for-5
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #115
T28
Hunter FeducciaC
TB@KC· 3-for-4
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #129
T28
Nathan ChurchCF
STL@ATL· 1-for-5
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #133
T28
Zach McKinstry2B
DET@TEX· 2-for-4
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #138
T28
Hao-Yu Lee2B
DET@TEX· 1-for-4
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.5 H+R+RBI, #156
44
Liam HicksC
MIA@COL· 1-for-4
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.6 H+R+RBI, #4
T44
Brandon Lowe2B
PIT@PHI· 2-for-4
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.4 H+R+RBI, #16
T44
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
SD@LAD· 1-for-4
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.2 H+R+RBI, #32
T44
Endy RodríguezC
PIT@PHI· 1-for-4
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #46
T44
Sal Stewart1B
CIN@MIL· 1-for-4
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #48
T44
Garrett MitchellCF
MILvsCIN· 1-for-3
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #66
T44
Iván HerreraDH
STL@ATL· 1-for-4
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #81
T44
Kyle TeelC
CWS@CLE· 1-for-4
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #82
T44
Taylor WallsSS
TB@KC· 1-for-3
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #85
T44
Lars NootbaarLF
STL@ATL· 2-for-5
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #105
T44
Colt Keith3B
DET@TEX· 1-for-2
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #112
T44
Richie Palacios2B
TB@KC· 1-for-3
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #117
T44
Isaac CollinsLF
KCvsTB· 1-for-3
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #120
T44
Edouard Julien2B
COLvsMIA· 1-for-3
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #126
T44
Noelvi MarteRF
CIN@MIL· 1-for-5
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #137
T44
Jackson MerrillCF
SD@LAD· 1-for-4
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #144
T44
Patrick BaileyC
CLEvsCWS· 2-for-4
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #153
T44
David FryRF
CLEvsCWS· 1-for-1
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI
62
Bryce Harper1B
PHIvsPIT· 1-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.6 H+R+RBI, #8
T62
Xavier Edwards2B
MIA@COL· 0-for-2
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.5 H+R+RBI, #12
T62
Javier Sanoja3B
MIA@COL· 2-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.3 H+R+RBI, #20
T62
Drake BaldwinC
ATLvsSTL· 1-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.3 H+R+RBI, #29
T62
Jackson ChourioLF
MILvsCIN· 1-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #36
T62
Brice Turang2B
MILvsCIN· 1-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #39
T62
Kevin McGonigleSS
DET@TEX· 2-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #51
T62
Miguel Vargas3B
CWS@CLE· 1-for-5
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #54
T62
Dillon DinglerC
DET@TEX· 2-for-5
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #56
T62
Chase DeLauterRF
CLEvsCWS· 1-for-5
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #84
T62
Tristan PetersCF
CWS@CLE· 1-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #108
T62
Eugenio SuárezDH
CIN@MIL· 1-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #116
T62
Mike YastrzemskiLF
ATLvsSTL· 1-for-3
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #118
T62
Braden MontgomeryRF
CWS@CLE· 1-for-3
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #124
T62
J.P. CrawfordSS
SEAvsLAA· 1-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #128
T62
Gabriel Arias3B
CLEvsCWS· 1-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #131
T62
Nolan Schanuel1B
LAA@SEA· 2-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #132
T62
JJ BledayLF
CIN@MIL· 1-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #134
T62
Xander BogaertsSS
SD@LAD· 1-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #139
T62
Samad TaylorLF
SD@LAD· 1-for-3
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #149
82
Shohei OhtaniTWP
LADvsSD· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.6 H+R+RBI, #1
T82
Freddie Freeman1B
LADvsSD· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.6 H+R+RBI, #6
T82
Kyle Stowers1B
MIA@COL· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.6 H+R+RBI, #7
T82
Owen CaissieRF
MIA@COL· 0-for-1
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.5 H+R+RBI, #9
T82
Trea TurnerSS
PHIvsPIT· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.5 H+R+RBI, #10
T82
Jonathan Aranda1B
TB@KC· 1-for-5
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.6 H+R+RBI, #11
T82
Ozzie Albies2B
ATLvsSTL· 0-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.4 H+R+RBI, #21
T82
Ryan O'HearnRF
PIT@PHI· 1-for-5
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.3 H+R+RBI, #22
T82
Bryan ReynoldsLF
PIT@PHI· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.3 H+R+RBI, #24
T82
Matt Olson1B
ATLvsSTL· 0-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.3 H+R+RBI, #30
T82
Bryson Stott2B
PHIvsPIT· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #40
T82
Michael Harris IICF
ATLvsSTL· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.2 H+R+RBI, #41
T82
Gavin Sheets1B
SD@LAD· 1-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #59
T82
Alec Bohm3B
PHIvsPIT· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #62
T82
Riley GreeneLF
DET@TEX· 1-for-5
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #63
T82
Jac CaglianoneRF
KCvsTB· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #69
T82
Jakob MarseeCF
MIA@COL· 0-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #75
T82
Ty France1B
SD@LAD· 1-for-5
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #77
T82
Andrew BenintendiDH
CWS@CLE· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #79
T82
Randy ArozarenaLF
SEAvsLAA· 1-for-2
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #88
T82
Elly De La CruzSS
CIN@MIL· 1-for-5
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #93
T82
Denzer Guzman3B
LAA@SEA· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #95
T82
Lane ThomasLF
KCvsTB· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #96
T82
Jim JarvisSS
ATLvsSTL· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #99
T82
Jacob GonzalezSS
CWS@CLE· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #100
T82
Cam CauleyCF
TEXvsDET· 1-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #101
T82
Rafael MarchánC
PHIvsPIT· 0-for-2
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #103
T82
Marcell OzunaDH
PIT@PHI· 1-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #104
T82
Austin Riley3B
ATLvsSTL· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #106
T82
Colson MontgomerySS
CWS@CLE· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #107
T82
Jorge SolerDH
LAA@SEA· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #110
T82
David Hamilton3B
MILvsCIN· 1-for-2
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #122
T82
Nathaniel Lowe1B
CIN@MIL· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #136
T82
Spencer Torkelson1B
DET@TEX· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #140
T82
Freddy FerminC
SD@LAD· 1-for-2
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #146
T82
Cal RaleighC
SEAvsLAA· 0-for-2
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #150
T82
Steven KwanLF
CLEvsCWS· 1-for-2
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #155
T82
Jimmy CrooksC
STL@ATL· 1-for-2
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.5 H+R+RBI, #161
T82
Matt McLain2B
CIN@MIL· 0-for-1
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.5 H+R+RBI
T82
Daniel SchneemannCF
CLEvsCWS
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI

Best MLB H+R+RBI Matchups — Thursday, July 2, 2026

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) is the top h+r+rbi matchup on the Thursday, July 2, 2026 board at 100, with Junior Caminero (TB) and Otto Lopez (MIA) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by combined hits + runs + RBI upside — the best all-around production — the bat, the arm and bullpen they face, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top h+r+rbi spot: Shohei Ohtani

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Randy Vásquez. The lefty is stacking production at .554 (H+R+RBI)/PA against righties this year — and .688 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a H+R+RBI in about 55% of his trips. And Randy Vásquez has been getting lit up by righties lately — 1.208 H+R+RBI per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .167 in 12 career PA against Randy Vásquez, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.

The rest of the top of the board

Junior Caminero (TB) (100) vs RHP Stephen Kolek: an elite bat at .620 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (1.571), hot bat.
Otto Lopez (MIA) (100) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: a strong bat at .498 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.769), hitter's park.
Liam Hicks (MIA) (100) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: a strong bat at .501 into an arm giving up production to the same side (.444), hitter's park, hot bat.
Yandy Díaz (TB) (95) vs RHP Stephen Kolek: a strong bat at .545 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (1.571).
Freddie Freeman (LAD) (93) vs RHP Randy Vásquez: an excellent bat at .562 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (1.208).
Kyle Stowers (MIA) (93) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: a strong bat at .514 into an arm giving up production to the same side (.444), hitter's park.
Bryce Harper (PHI) (92) vs RHP Jared Jones: an excellent bat at .614 into an arm tough on the same side (.263).

Arms giving up production today

RHP Randy Vásquez has been getting lit up by righties — .609 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Shohei Ohtani (LAD), Freddie Freeman (LAD), and Mookie Betts (LAD).
RHP Stephen Kolek has been getting lit up by righties — .560 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Junior Caminero (TB), Yandy Díaz (TB), and Jonathan Aranda (TB).
RHP Dustin May has been getting lit up by righties — .558 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Ozzie Albies (ATL), Drake Baldwin (ATL), and Matt Olson (ATL).
RHP Michael Lorenzen has been getting lit up by righties — .543 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Otto Lopez (MIA), Liam Hicks (MIA), and Kyle Stowers (MIA).

Platoon edges to target

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .554 against righties this year.
Liam Hicks (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .606 against righties this year.
Freddie Freeman (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .568 against righties this year.
Kyle Stowers (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .467 against righties this year.
Bryce Harper (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .614 against righties this year.

Best parks for all-around production today

Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% run-scoring park). Top bat there: Otto Lopez (MIA) at 100.

How it played out

8 of the top 10 h+r+rbi matchups landed at least one H+R+RBI. Top play Shohei Ohtani finished with 1 H+R+RBI. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these h+r+rbi matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's combined hits + runs + RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the hits + runs + RBIs board is

The H+R+RBI board projects a hitter's combined H+R+RBI vs the book's line. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His hit, run, and RBI projections, composed from the tuned component boards.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Composed from our tuned hit/run/RBI numbers, this grades efficient — no edge in any gap bin. Transparency board.

How to use it

A tidy one-number read on a hitter's all-around night; research, not a play.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best h+r+rbi matchup today (Thursday, July 2, 2026)?: Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Randy Vásquez. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB h+r+rbi matchups today (Thursday, July 2, 2026)?: The top h+r+rbi matchups on Thursday, July 2, 2026: Shohei Ohtani (100), Junior Caminero (100), Otto Lopez (100), Liam Hicks (100), Yandy Díaz (95). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by h+r+rbi upside.
Did the top h+r+rbi matchup get a H+R+RBI on Thursday, July 2, 2026?: Yes — Shohei Ohtani got 1 H+R+RBI.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .554 against righties this year. Liam Hicks (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .606 against righties this year. Freddie Freeman (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .568 against righties this year. Kyle Stowers (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .467 against righties this year. Bryce Harper (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .614 against righties this year.
Which parks favor H+R+RBI today?: Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% run-scoring park). Top bat there: Otto Lopez (MIA) at 100.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: RHP Randy Vásquez has been getting lit up by righties — .609 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Shohei Ohtani (LAD), Freddie Freeman (LAD), and Mookie Betts (LAD). RHP Stephen Kolek has been getting lit up by righties — .560 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Junior Caminero (TB), Yandy Díaz (TB), and Jonathan Aranda (TB). RHP Dustin May has been getting lit up by righties — .558 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Ozzie Albies (ATL), Drake Baldwin (ATL), and Matt Olson (ATL). RHP Michael Lorenzen has been getting lit up by righties — .543 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Otto Lopez (MIA), Liam Hicks (MIA), and Kyle Stowers (MIA).
How is the h+r+rbi matchup score calculated?: It blends three routes to the line: his hit rate against that hand, the bats in front of him for RBI, and the bats behind him for runs. Recent form counts most. Then the bullpen, order spot and park. 0–100 across the slate.
What does H+R+RBI mean?: It adds a hitter's hits, runs scored, and runs batted in into one number — the books call it a combo prop. It rewards all-around production: a 2-hit night with a run and an RBI is 4. Per plate appearance, around .45 is league average.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better. H+R+RBI is the most forgiving prop on the board — three ways to get there — so scores run higher here than on any single-outcome board. Compare within this board, not across.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a H+R+RBI.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: This board stacks three outcomes, so the platoon split compounds. The opposite hand lifts his own hit chances and the chances he's on base when the next guy drives him in.
What are park factors?: A park that produces hits produces all three legs of this number. Gaps, altitude, and weather raise the whole line together. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a H+R+RBI in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for h+r+rbi props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ H+R+RBI" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score. Three ways to clear one line makes this the most forgiving prop we publish, and the hit rate reflects that — compare it against the other boards' rates, not in isolation.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.