Best MLB H+R+RBI Matchups — Monday, June 29, 2026
Top h+r+rbi spot: Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez (MIA) tops the board at 100, facing RHP the starter. The righty is stacking production at .564 (H+R+RBI)/PA against righties this year — and .518 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a H+R+RBI in about 51% of his trips. And the starter has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against the starter. It all sets up in a hitter's park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) (92) vs LHP Nick Lodolo: a strong bat at .539 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.630), hot bat.
- Willi Castro (COL) (91) vs RHP Sandy Alcantara: a strong bat at .497 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.417), hitter's park.
- Sam Antonacci (CWS) (91) vs RHP Shane Baz: a strong bat at .518 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.640).
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (90) vs RHP the starter: a strong bat at .543 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) (88) vs RHP Aaron Nola: a strong bat at .535 into an arm giving up production to the same side (.469).
- Jeremy Peña (HOU) (88) vs RHP Zebby Matthews: a strong bat at .522 into an arm tough on the same side (.360), hot bat.
- Byron Buxton (MIN) (87) vs RHP Peter Lambert: a strong bat at .541 into an arm tough on the same side (.320), due to bounce back.
Arms giving up production today
- RHP Ryan Johnson has been getting lit up by righties — .552 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Julio Rodríguez (SEA), Randy Arozarena (SEA), and J.P. Crawford (SEA).
- LHP Sean Manaea has been getting lit up by lefties — .527 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: George Springer (TOR), Kazuma Okamoto (TOR), and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR).
- RHP Shane Baz has been vulnerable to righties — .501 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Sam Antonacci (CWS), Andrew Benintendi (CWS), and Miguel Vargas (CWS).
- LHP Nick Lodolo has been vulnerable to lefties — .499 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Jackson Chourio (MIL), Andrew Vaughn (MIL), and Christian Yelich (MIL).
Platoon edges to target
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) — righty bat vs LHP, .632 against lefties this year.
- Willi Castro (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .492 against righties this year.
- Sam Antonacci (CWS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .545 against righties this year.
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .603 against righties this year.
- Bryce Harper (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .614 against righties this year.
Best parks for all-around production today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% run-scoring park). Top bat there: Otto Lopez (MIA) at 100.
Lineup watch
234 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these h+r+rbi matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's combined hits + runs + RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.