Best MLB H+R+RBI Matchups — Tuesday, June 30, 2026
Top h+r+rbi spot: Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez (MIA) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Tanner Gordon. The righty is stacking production at .526 (H+R+RBI)/PA against righties this year — and .553 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a H+R+RBI in about 51% of his trips. And Tanner Gordon has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Tanner Gordon too — .333 across 3 career trips. It all sets up in a hitter's park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Xavier Edwards (MIA) (96) vs RHP Tanner Gordon: a solid bat at .456 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park, hot bat.
- Trevor Larnach (MIN) (94) vs RHP Mike Burrows: an excellent bat at .567 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.636).
- Bo Bichette (NYM) (88) vs RHP Kevin Gausman: a strong bat at .512 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (1.250).
- Travis Bazzana (CLE) (86) vs RHP Jacob deGrom: an excellent bat at .575 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.545), due to bounce back.
- Brooks Lee (MIN) (86) vs RHP Mike Burrows: a strong bat at .550 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.636), hot bat.
- Bryce Harper (PHI) (85) vs RHP Bubba Chandler: an excellent bat at .603 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.415).
- Mauricio Dubón (ATL) (84) vs LHP Matthew Liberatore: a solid bat at .466 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (1.000), hot bat.
Arms giving up production today
- RHP Kevin Gausman has been getting lit up by righties — .624 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Bo Bichette (NYM), Juan Soto (NYM), and Carson Benge (NYM).
- LHP Matthew Liberatore has been getting lit up by lefties — .607 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Mauricio Dubón (ATL), Ozzie Albies (ATL), and Michael Harris II (ATL).
- LHP Jeffrey Springs has been getting lit up by lefties — .570 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Andy Pages (LAD), Shohei Ohtani (LAD), and Max Muncy (LAD).
- RHP Mike Burrows has been getting lit up by righties — .557 H+R+RBI per batter faced. Bats to target: Trevor Larnach (MIN), Brooks Lee (MIN), and Josh Bell (MIN).
Platoon edges to target
- Xavier Edwards (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .449 against righties this year.
- Trevor Larnach (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .537 against righties this year.
- Travis Bazzana (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .531 against righties this year.
- Brooks Lee (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .565 against righties this year.
- Bryce Harper (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .614 against righties this year.
Best parks for all-around production today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% run-scoring park). Top bat there: Otto Lopez (MIA) at 100.
Lineup watch
270 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these h+r+rbi matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's combined hits + runs + RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.