MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Saturday, April 4, 2026

SD @ BOS Home Runs matchups · Saturday, April 4, 2026

SD
SD
San Diego Padres
32
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft 43°F CloudyWind 13 mph, In From RF

SD SD Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 BF
Season.0003 BF
Last 2 Years.00025 BF
wOBA allowed.299

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 BF
Season.00018 BF
Last 2 Years.00075 BF
wOBA allowed.277
Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.0007 PA
Last 2 Years.020306 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.00075 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.44
WHIP1.25
IP91.2
H / K / BB81 / 93 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040152 PA
Season.040152 PA
Last 2 Years.0264844 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.115

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+575
BOLBetOnline+500
BRBetRivers+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Fernando Tatis Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.0007 PA
Last 2 Years.054261 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.00075 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.44
WHIP1.25
IP91.2
H / K / BB81 / 93 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040152 PA
Season.040152 PA
Last 2 Years.0264844 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.138

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Ramón Laureano's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.0007 PA
Last 2 Years.031161 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.00075 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.44
WHIP1.25
IP91.2
H / K / BB81 / 93 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040152 PA
Season.040152 PA
Last 2 Years.0264844 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.334
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.117

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+650

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Miguel Andujar's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.0007 PA
Last 2 Years.054333 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.00075 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.44
WHIP1.25
IP91.2
H / K / BB81 / 93 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040152 PA
Season.040152 PA
Last 2 Years.0264844 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.135

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+575
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Manny Machado's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.7× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.00010 PA
Last 2 Years.018284 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.00075 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.44
WHIP1.25
IP91.2
H / K / BB81 / 93 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040152 PA
Season.040152 PA
Last 2 Years.0264844 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.109

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+900
CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Xander Bogaerts's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.009229 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.00075 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.44
WHIP1.25
IP91.2
H / K / BB81 / 93 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040152 PA
Season.040152 PA
Last 2 Years.0264844 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -11%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.09

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BRBetRivers+1000
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Freddy Fermin's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.022277 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.00075 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.44
WHIP1.25
IP91.2
H / K / BB81 / 93 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040152 PA
Season.040152 PA
Last 2 Years.0264844 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.104

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+900
CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Ty France's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.0005 PA
Last 2 Years.012334 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.00025 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.44
WHIP1.25
IP91.2
H / K / BB81 / 93 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07341 PA
Season.07341 PA
Last 2 Years.0272814 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.081

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1150
CZRCaesars+1100
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jake Cronenworth's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.00011 PA
Last 2 Years.021332 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.00025 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.44
WHIP1.25
IP91.2
H / K / BB81 / 93 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07341 PA
Season.07341 PA
Last 2 Years.0272814 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.085

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jackson Merrill's full player page →

BOS BOS Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 BF
Season.00013 BF
Last 2 Years.029490 BF
wOBA allowed.275
Hard-Hit %29%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 BF
Season.00010 BF
Last 2 Years.028534 BF
wOBA allowed.070
Hard-Hit %40%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.04224 PA
Last 2 Years.022229 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.029490 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01192 PA
Season.01192 PA
Last 2 Years.0262495 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.136

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+540
CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Roman Anthony's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.03727 PA
Last 2 Years.036575 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.00010 PA
Last 2 Years.028534 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045110 PA
Season.045110 PA
Last 2 Years.0322803 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.14

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500
BRBetRivers+480

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Trevor Story's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.029490 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01192 PA
Season.01192 PA
Last 2 Years.0262495 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.124

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Aroldis Chapman's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.04224 PA
Last 2 Years.036692 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.00010 PA
Last 2 Years.028534 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045110 PA
Season.045110 PA
Last 2 Years.0322803 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.128

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+500
CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Willson Contreras's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13023 PA
Season.13023 PA
Last 2 Years.051740 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.029490 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01192 PA
Season.01192 PA
Last 2 Years.0262495 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.340
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.161

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+440
BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Wilyer Abreu's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.00012 PA
Last 2 Years.025480 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.029490 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01192 PA
Season.01192 PA
Last 2 Years.0262495 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.11

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Masataka Yoshida's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.00019 PA
Last 2 Years.031128 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.029490 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01192 PA
Season.01192 PA
Last 2 Years.0262495 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.103

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+800
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Marcelo Mayer's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.00010 PA
Last 2 Years.033335 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.00010 PA
Last 2 Years.028534 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045110 PA
Season.045110 PA
Last 2 Years.0322803 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.103

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Carlos Narváez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.05020 PA
Last 2 Years.026846 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.00010 PA
Last 2 Years.028534 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.44
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045110 PA
Season.045110 PA
Last 2 Years.0322803 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.093

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Ceddanne Rafaela's full player page →