MatchWiz

Ty France

Ty France — today's matchup, what the model projects, and how our calls on him have graded. Top board: doubles at 44.5/100.

Today's top board
44.5
Doubles · vs NYY
Our calls on him · hits
59%
1+ hit in 10/17 top-20 calls
Games graded
109
this season, box-score final
Ty France
1BBats RThrows RSan Diego Padres
Doubles44.5/100proj 0.2#125RBIs40.7/100proj 0.4#139Walks39.8/100proj 0.4#117Home Runs36.1/100proj 0.2#70H+R+RBI35.9/100proj 1.6#177Total Bases34/100proj 1.5#171Runs32/100proj 0.5#182Hits31.3/100proj 0.9#195Fantasy Points27/100proj 6#196Singles24.4/100proj 0.6#221Triples19.7/100proj 0#87Stolen Bases1.2/100proj 0#258

Today's matchup

Ty is hosting New York Yankees on the Saturday, September 5, 2026 slate. He shows up on 12 boards — doubles (44.5/100, #125), rbis (40.7/100, #139), walks (39.8/100, #117), home runs (36.1/100, #70). We've got him at 0.2 on the doubles board. Open any board row for the full breakdown of what's driving it.

Recent form

Ty is 12-for-34 (.353) over his last 10 games, in line with his .304 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Ty has 20 home runs and 41 extra-base hits in 355 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a right-handed bat

Ty hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Ty has recorded at least one hit in 67 of 103 games he's batted in — 65% — with 36 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Ty is hitting .312 at home (49-for-157) and .298 on the road (59-for-198) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

Ty's biggest night was Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at CIN — 2-for-3 with 1 homer, 2 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Ty have graded

In the 17 games where we ranked Ty a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 10 times — 59%. Middle of the road, which is what most players look like. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Ty was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: doubles graded 44.5/100 while stolen bases came in at 1.2/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Ty and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Friday, September 4vs NYY32010
Wednesday, September 2@ CIN32112
Tuesday, September 1@ CIN40000
Monday, August 31@ CIN53011
Sunday, August 30@ TB31011
Saturday, August 29@ TB52112
Friday, August 28@ TB30010
Wednesday, August 26vs PIT31000
Tuesday, August 25vs PIT20000
Monday, August 24vs PIT31000
Sunday, August 23vs MIN40000
Saturday, August 22vs MIN41001

Ty France — FAQ

Who is Ty France facing today?

Ty France is hosting New York Yankees on Saturday, September 5, 2026. His strongest matchup grades 44.5/100 on our doubles board, ranked #125.

What is Ty France's projection today?

We project Ty for 0.2 on the doubles board. That's the model's number for this specific matchup — the opposing arm, the park, the weather, and his expected playing time all feed it. It's graded against the real box score tonight.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Ty France graded?

In the 17 games where our model ranked Ty a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 10 times — 59%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Ty France been hitting lately?

Ty is 12-for-34 (.353) over his last 10 games, against .304 on the season across 355 at-bats in our log, with 20 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Ty France appear on?

Ty was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — doubles, rbis, walks, home runs, h+r+rbi. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Ty France's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).