MatchWiz

Ty France

Ty France — today's matchup, what the model projects, and how our calls on him have graded. Top board: hits at 95.5/100.

Today's top board
95.5
Hits · vs MIN
Our calls on him · hits
63%
1+ hit in 10/16 top-20 calls
Games graded
98
this season, box-score final
Ty France
1BBats RThrows RSan Diego Padres
Hits95.5/100proj 1.1#4H+R+RBI85.9/100proj 1.9#7Singles85.7/100proj 0.7#4Runs76.7/100proj 0.5#16RBIs71.9/100proj 0.5#17Total Bases65.2/100proj 1.7#23Fantasy Points48.7/100proj 6.8#30Doubles41/100proj 0.2#44Home Runs30/100proj 0.2#27Walks27.1/100proj 0.3#79Triples9.4/100proj 0#50Stolen Bases6.8/100proj 0#73

Today's matchup

Ty is hosting Minnesota Twins on the Sunday, August 23, 2026 slate. He shows up on 12 boards — hits (95.5/100, #4), h+r+rbi (85.9/100, #7), singles (85.7/100, #4), runs (76.7/100, #16). We've got him at 1.1 on the hits board. That's one of the stronger spots on the board today. Open any board row for the full breakdown of what's driving it.

Recent form

Ty is 11-for-36 (.306) over his last 10 games, in line with his .303 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Ty has 18 home runs and 37 extra-base hits in 317 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a right-handed bat

Ty hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Ty has recorded at least one hit in 60 of 92 games he's batted in — 65% — with 32 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Ty is hitting .317 at home (45-for-142) and .291 on the road (51-for-175) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

Ty's biggest night was Monday, August 10, 2026 against MIL — 2-for-3 with 1 homer, 1 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Ty have graded

We've ranked Ty a top-20 hitter matchup 16 times this season. He got a hit in 10 of them — 63%. That's the model reading him well, and it's the number we'd point to if you asked why we keep ranking him. It's also a season-sized sample on one player, which is smaller than it sounds; don't extrapolate it into a promise about tonight.

Where he lands across our boards

Ty was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: hits graded 95.5/100 while stolen bases came in at 6.8/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Ty and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Saturday, August 22vs MIN41001
Friday, August 21vs MIN11113
Wednesday, August 19@ NYM31000
Tuesday, August 18@ NYM51001
Monday, August 17@ NYM31000
Sunday, August 16@ CLE50000
Saturday, August 15@ CLE20000
Friday, August 14@ CLE42010
Wednesday, August 12vs MIL42000
Tuesday, August 11vs MIL52010
Monday, August 10vs MIL32121
Sunday, August 9vs HOU41000

Ty France — FAQ

Who is Ty France facing today?

Ty France is hosting Minnesota Twins on Sunday, August 23, 2026. His strongest matchup grades 95.5/100 on our hits board, ranked #4.

What is Ty France's projection today?

We project Ty for 1.1 on the hits board. That's the model's number for this specific matchup — the opposing arm, the park, the weather, and his expected playing time all feed it. It's graded against the real box score tonight.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Ty France graded?

In the 16 games where our model ranked Ty a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 10 times — 63%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Ty France been hitting lately?

Ty is 11-for-36 (.306) over his last 10 games, against .303 on the season across 317 at-bats in our log, with 18 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Ty France appear on?

Ty was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — hits, h+r+rbi, singles, runs, rbis. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Ty France's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).