MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Monday, April 6, 2026

SEA @ TEX Home Runs matchups · Monday, April 6, 2026

SEA
SEA
Seattle Mariners
12
Final
TEX
Texas Rangers
TEX
Globe Life FieldElevation 545 ftCenter Field 407 ft 70°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, Varies

SEA SEA Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 BF
Season.0009 BF
Last 2 Years.039358 BF
wOBA allowed.141
Hard-Hit %50%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 BF
Season.09111 BF
Last 2 Years.037375 BF
wOBA allowed.514
Hard-Hit %60%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10519 PA
Season.10519 PA
Last 2 Years.029795 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.0009 PA
Last 2 Years.039358 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.48
WHIP0.99
IP95.2
H / K / BB75 / 115 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028109 PA
Season.028109 PA
Last 2 Years.0283026 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.344
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.167

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+525
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Brendan Donovan's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.00028 PA
Last 2 Years.061966 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.0009 PA
Last 2 Years.039358 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.48
WHIP0.99
IP95.2
H / K / BB75 / 115 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028109 PA
Season.028109 PA
Last 2 Years.0283026 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.067
Plate Appearances15

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.183

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+265
BOLBetOnline+250
BRBetRivers+245

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Cal Raleigh's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.00028 PA
Last 2 Years.037975 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.037375 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.48
WHIP0.99
IP95.2
H / K / BB75 / 115 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022185 PA
Season.022185 PA
Last 2 Years.0284552 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.375
Plate Appearances16

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.146

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+475
BRBetRivers+440
BOLBetOnline+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Julio Rodríguez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.00028 PA
Last 2 Years.043873 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.0009 PA
Last 2 Years.039358 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.48
WHIP0.99
IP95.2
H / K / BB75 / 115 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028109 PA
Season.028109 PA
Last 2 Years.0283026 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.143
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.153

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Josh Naylor's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA
Season.00030 PA
Last 2 Years.030983 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.037375 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.48
WHIP0.99
IP95.2
H / K / BB75 / 115 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022185 PA
Season.022185 PA
Last 2 Years.0284552 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances15

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.139

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+540
CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Randy Arozarena's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 5 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.021233 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.037375 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.48
WHIP0.99
IP95.2
H / K / BB75 / 115 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022185 PA
Season.022185 PA
Last 2 Years.0284552 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Rob Refsnyder's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.0008 PA
Last 2 Years.016733 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.0009 PA
Last 2 Years.039358 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.48
WHIP0.99
IP95.2
H / K / BB75 / 115 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028109 PA
Season.028109 PA
Last 2 Years.0283026 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.231
Plate Appearances13

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.1

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

J.P. Crawford's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.04025 PA
Last 2 Years.023215 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.0009 PA
Last 2 Years.039358 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.48
WHIP0.99
IP95.2
H / K / BB75 / 115 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028109 PA
Season.028109 PA
Last 2 Years.0283026 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.107

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Cole Young's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.00025 PA
Last 2 Years.013149 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.0009 PA
Last 2 Years.039358 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.48
WHIP0.99
IP95.2
H / K / BB75 / 115 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028109 PA
Season.028109 PA
Last 2 Years.0283026 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.098

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+950
CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Leo Rivas's full player page →

TEX TEX Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03132 BF
Season.03132 BF
Last 2 Years.034645 BF
wOBA allowed.373
Hard-Hit %33%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 BF
Season.00012 BF
Last 2 Years.035711 BF
wOBA allowed.361
Hard-Hit %30%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.00026 PA
Last 2 Years.038946 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA
Season.03132 PA
Last 2 Years.034645 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021189 PA
Season.021189 PA
Last 2 Years.0313604 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances12

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.163

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+550
CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Brandon Nimmo's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.00027 PA
Last 2 Years.030857 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.00012 PA
Last 2 Years.035711 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.016125 PA
Season.016125 PA
Last 2 Years.0253881 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222
Plate Appearances18

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.141

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+550
CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Wyatt Langford's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.044

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11526 PA
Season.11526 PA
Last 2 Years.057684 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA
Season.03132 PA
Last 2 Years.034645 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021189 PA
Season.021189 PA
Last 2 Years.0313604 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.344
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.297
Plate Appearances37

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.223

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+330
CZRCaesars+280
BOLBetOnline+250

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Corey Seager's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.03727 PA
Last 2 Years.044676 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.00012 PA
Last 2 Years.035711 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.016125 PA
Season.016125 PA
Last 2 Years.0253881 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances12

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.163

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+390
BRBetRivers+375
BOLBetOnline+300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jake Burger's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.7× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.05020 PA
Last 2 Years.044700 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA
Season.03132 PA
Last 2 Years.034645 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021189 PA
Season.021189 PA
Last 2 Years.0313604 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.278
Plate Appearances18

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.16

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+425
CZRCaesars+390
BOLBetOnline+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Joc Pederson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.00026 PA
Last 2 Years.030333 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA
Season.03132 PA
Last 2 Years.034645 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021189 PA
Season.021189 PA
Last 2 Years.0313604 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.118
Plate Appearances17

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.122

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+700
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Evan Carter's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA
Season.05917 PA
Last 2 Years.037465 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.00012 PA
Last 2 Years.035711 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.016125 PA
Season.016125 PA
Last 2 Years.0253881 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.133

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+540
CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Danny Jansen's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.00025 PA
Last 2 Years.021911 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA
Season.03132 PA
Last 2 Years.034645 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021189 PA
Season.021189 PA
Last 2 Years.0313604 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.154
Plate Appearances26

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.106

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1000
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Josh Smith's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1437 PA
Season.1437 PA
Last 2 Years.013318 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.00012 PA
Last 2 Years.035711 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.016125 PA
Season.016125 PA
Last 2 Years.0253881 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.091
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.101

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ezequiel Duran's full player page →